Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Sunday, April 24, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SZAPARY Tristan B. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
2 LIVERANT Skyler J. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
3 HANSEN Jonas B. - - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
3 KUSHNERIK Ethan - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
5 RAMIREZ Yeisser - - - 5% 24% 45% 25%
6 YOO Justin - - - 6% 31% 63%
7 GRIFFITHS Ryan - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
8 ZAGORUIKO Ivan - - 2% 12% 31% 39% 16%
9 ISAAC Joseph - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 8%
10 WHITE Sean - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
11 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
12 MOORE Shomari A. - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
13 JEON Alexander E. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
14 JONES Simon A. - 1% 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
15 EMARA Omar 20% 44% 27% 7% 1% - -
16 LARSEN Samuel F. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
17 HADDAD Justin R. - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
18 CIPRIANI Andrea - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
19 SHAH S Ayush - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
20 CARPENTER Liam 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
21 TRAGER Matthew G. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
22 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
23 TSINIS Alexander E. - - - 4% 21% 45% 29%
24 TAFOYA Devin D. - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
25 NORTH Gary S. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
26 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
27 LAWSON Nicholas W. - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
28 WEISS Miles J. - - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10%
29 RHYU Kozmo 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 3% -
30 MUNLIN Donovan - 5% 19% 34% 29% 10% 1%
31 IVE Isaac L. - 2% 11% 31% 38% 16% 2%
32 LIU Alexander 2% 13% 31% 34% 18% 3%
33 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
34 CANDREVA Hunter R. - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
35 EWART Jr. Stephen P. - - - 4% 20% 43% 31%
36 DUNCAN Corwin - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
37 POPOVICI Michael A. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 32% 12%
38 LONCAR Luka E. 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
39 FULLERTON Houston T. 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
40 RODNEY Maxwell 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
41 ADLER Ian B. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
42 SMITH Dwight - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
43 SANDERS Ian W. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
44 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
45 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
46 TOWNSEND Avery S. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
47 VERMEULE Spencer - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
48 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
49 KHANNA Nikhil 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
50 GRAYSON Shane W. 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
51 HAN Matthew - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
52 MACZIK Adam W. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
53 MUGA Boris 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
54 JIN Owen 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
55 KROPP Jack 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
56 SHUGART Henry R. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
57 CHEN Eric 6% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
58 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
59 SENNEWALD James J. 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
60 BINDAS Odinn A. 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
61 WU Joseph 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
62 HILBERT Xavier - 3% 14% 35% 37% 11%
63 STUSNICK Hunter 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
64 WALSH Kevin 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
65 KAULL James T. - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
66 IMREK Samuel A. - 4% 20% 39% 31% 5%
67 FRAY Alexander - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
68 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
69 GIBSON Nowell L. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
70 NOLLNER Dylan - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
71 JEONG Connor - 2% 9% 25% 34% 24% 6%
72 SHELANSKI Isaac - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
73 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
74 CANAUX Gabriel A. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
75 YU Colin - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
76 TSANG Gary - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
77 JOSEPH William 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
78 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
79 ELASHRY Zeyad A. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
79 HILBERT Gabriel E. 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
81 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
82 ELLIS Yehia S. - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
83 LANGE Henry C. - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
84 LIN Kyran 4% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
85 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
86 PISKOVATSKOV Anton - - 3% 13% 33% 38% 14%
87 SILVERS Noah E. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
88 KANG Philip F. 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
89 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
90 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
91 PARK Ian C. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
91 SMITH Nicholas S. 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
93 MATTIS George 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
94 VAYSBERG Nathan - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
95 KIM Benjamin I. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
96 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
97 LEE Daniel Y. 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
98 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 5% 23% 38% 27% 8% 1%
99 GAO Daniel 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
100 BORATIN Daniel I. 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
101 JIN Nicholas 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
102 SHIV Rishi 6% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
103 GANA Jr Jorge M. 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
104 GOHEL Dayus T. 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
105 LEONE III Charles D. 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
106 IYOKI Kent - 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
107 CAO Albert 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
108 YOUNG Peyton E. 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
109 DESTEFANO Julius 24% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
110 SHARMA Sanil 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
111 NORTH Alexander M. 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
112 CARRIER Gabriel A. 34% 44% 18% 3% - - -
113 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
114 ROLLO Emmett H. 47% 38% 12% 2% - - -
115 DIECK Logan O. 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
116 ZHANG Joshua - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
117 LEE Shwan 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
117 KOBI Samuel 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
119 POPOVICI Maximilian P. 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
120 BORODITSKY Ethan 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
121 WANG DEVON 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
122 INSLER Ethan C. 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
123 SPITERI Gareth J. 1% 8% 26% 36% 24% 6%
124 GYURE Brayden H. 4% 22% 38% 28% 8% 1%
125 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
126 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
127 HENSAL Nicolas A. 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
128 SMOAK Omari Z. - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 7%
129 SILVER Cameron 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
130 ZHANG Alec 19% 42% 28% 9% 1% - -
131 HOLTZ Donovan K. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
132 PRASAD Ankith 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
133 ZHU Max 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
134 SODERBERG Alex Z. 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
134 GOLDFINE Ian J. 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
136 KRAFT Dennis A. - < 1% 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
136 HUSSAIN Kamran 28% 45% 22% 4% - - -
138 CLICK Aiden 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
139 CAO Brad 31% 44% 20% 5% 1% - -
140 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 5% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
140 CHONG christopher 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
142 KOKENGE Reid 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
143 GRAY Sterling B. 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
144 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
145 SPIER Julian H. 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
146 MORSE Tyler 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
147 KIM Sterling S. 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
148 JEYOON Ryan S. 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
149 LIEF Isaac R. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
150 SINGHA Orion 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
151 CHIRASHNYA Adam 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.