Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Sunday, April 24, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
2 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
3 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
3 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
5 RAMIREZ Yeisser 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
6 YOO Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
7 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
8 ZAGORUIKO Ivan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
9 ISAAC Joseph 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 8%
10 WHITE Sean 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
11 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
12 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
13 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
14 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 10%
15 EMARA Omar 100% 80% 35% 8% 1% - -
16 LARSEN Samuel F. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
17 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
18 CIPRIANI Andrea 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
19 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
20 CARPENTER Liam 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
21 TRAGER Matthew G. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
22 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
23 TSINIS Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
24 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 24% 4%
25 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 4%
26 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
27 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
28 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
29 RHYU Kozmo 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
30 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
31 IVE Isaac L. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 2%
32 LIU Alexander 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
33 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
34 CANDREVA Hunter R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 7%
35 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
36 DUNCAN Corwin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
37 POPOVICI Michael A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 43% 12%
38 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3% -
39 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 9% 1%
40 RODNEY Maxwell 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
41 ADLER Ian B. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
42 SMITH Dwight 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
43 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
44 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
45 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
46 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
47 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
48 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 26% 5%
49 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
50 GRAYSON Shane W. 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
51 HAN Matthew 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
52 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 28% 5%
53 MUGA Boris 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
54 JIN Owen 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
55 KROPP Jack 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
56 SHUGART Henry R. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
57 CHEN Eric 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
58 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
59 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 82% 45% 14% 3% - -
60 BINDAS Odinn A. 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
61 WU Joseph 100% 99% 88% 56% 22% 4% -
62 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
63 STUSNICK Hunter 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
64 WALSH Kevin 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
65 KAULL James T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
66 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 5%
67 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
68 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 8% 1%
69 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
70 NOLLNER Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
71 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
72 SHELANSKI Isaac 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
73 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
74 CANAUX Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 9%
75 YU Colin 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
76 TSANG Gary 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
77 JOSEPH William 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
78 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
79 ELASHRY Zeyad A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
79 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
81 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
82 ELLIS Yehia S. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
83 LANGE Henry C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
84 LIN Kyran 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
85 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 3% -
86 PISKOVATSKOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 14%
87 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
88 KANG Philip F. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
89 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
90 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
91 PARK Ian C. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
91 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 95% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
93 MATTIS George 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
94 VAYSBERG Nathan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
95 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
96 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% 1% -
97 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
98 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
99 GAO Daniel 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
100 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
101 JIN Nicholas 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
102 SHIV Rishi 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
103 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% 1%
104 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
105 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
106 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
107 CAO Albert 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
108 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
109 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% - -
110 SHARMA Sanil 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
111 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
112 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 66% 21% 4% - - -
113 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 90% 60% 27% 7% 1% -
114 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -
115 DIECK Logan O. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
116 ZHANG Joshua 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
117 LEE Shwan 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
117 KOBI Samuel 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
119 POPOVICI Maximilian P. 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
120 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
121 WANG DEVON 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
122 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
123 SPITERI Gareth J. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
124 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1%
125 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -
126 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
127 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 90% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
128 SMOAK Omari Z. 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 33% 7%
129 SILVER Cameron 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
130 ZHANG Alec 100% 81% 39% 10% 2% - -
131 HOLTZ Donovan K. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
132 PRASAD Ankith 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
133 ZHU Max 100% 93% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
134 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
134 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
136 KRAFT Dennis A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 16%
136 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 72% 27% 5% - - -
138 CLICK Aiden 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
139 CAO Brad 100% 69% 25% 5% 1% - -
140 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
140 CHONG christopher 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
142 KOKENGE Reid 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
143 GRAY Sterling B. 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
144 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
145 SPIER Julian H. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
146 MORSE Tyler 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
147 KIM Sterling S. 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
148 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
149 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
150 SINGHA Orion 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
151 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.