Division 1/Para Championships + April NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Friday, April 11, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Los Angeles Convention Center - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
2 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
3 STRONG Sean T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 18%
3 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
5 KNYSH Oleg 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
6 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
7 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
8 TAI Edison 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
9 YOO Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 57%
10 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
11 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
12 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
13 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
14 BRODSKY Julian 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% - -
15 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 8% 1%
16 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 23%
17 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
18 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 11%
19 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
20 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
21 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
22 ZAGORUIKO Ivan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
23 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
24 KRAFT Dennis A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
25 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
26 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 4%
27 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
28 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24%
29 WOLFE Alex 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
30 BARG Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
31 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
32 LO Jake 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
33 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
34 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
35 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
36 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
37 SMOAK Omari Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
38 HUTTO Joshua 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7% -
39 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
40 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
41 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
42 CALDERON Diego 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
42 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 4% -
44 KOKENGE Reid 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
45 CHOI Zachary 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
46 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 45% 12%
47 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
48 LANGE Henry C. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 12%
49 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
50 DIECK Logan O. 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
51 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
52 LAM Alan 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
53 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
54 PISKOVATSKOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
55 MATTIS George 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 5%
56 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
57 LIN Kyran 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
58 SETO Jing 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
59 MODANLOU Navid 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
59 MANN Jake R. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
61 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
62 WANG Joey 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
63 ZHENG Haoran 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
64 CHEN Leonardo 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
65 SINGHA Orion 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
66 WICAS Graham E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 13%
67 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
68 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
69 THAYER Jake T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 13%
70 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
71 LAI Boden 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
72 HAMZA Tudor 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
73 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
74 SHELANSKI Isaac 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
75 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
76 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
77 EMARA Omar 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
78 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
79 KANG Philip F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
80 KIM Jayden 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
81 XIA Dashan 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
82 TRULL A.J. 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
83 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 97% 77% 40% 10% 1%
84 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
85 SU Caleb 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
86 LIU Yikun 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
87 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
88 CHEN Bailey 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1% -
89 DHAL Leon 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
90 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
90 ZIEGLER John 100% 86% 44% 12% 2% - -
92 KUGLER Luke 100% 95% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
93 HU Robert J. 100% 91% 56% 20% 4% - -
93 IVE Isaac L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 11%
95 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
95 GRAVES Lawson 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
97 PARKER Isaiah 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
98 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
98 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
100 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
100 MUGA Aiden 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
102 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
103 WU Steven 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
104 LIU Adam 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% - -
105 JIN Owen 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
105 HEADRICK Lance 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6% -
105 PARK Sangwook 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% - -
108 JOHNSON Ryder 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
109 KIM Henry 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
110 KARNAS Karol 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 1%
111 KNOX James 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 5%
112 GINZBURG Adam 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
113 BOUDREAUX James 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
114 FU Leon 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
115 MITEV Alexander 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
116 RAYNIS Jake R. 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
117 WANG justin 100% 97% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
118 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
119 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
120 MCALISTER Ian 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2% -
121 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
121 LEE Stewart S. 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
123 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
124 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
125 SHCHUR Landon 100% 97% 69% 26% 5% - -
126 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
127 TANG William 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
128 WONG Baron 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
129 HUANG Kenneth 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
130 MUGA Boris 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
131 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
131 NGUYEN Tate 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
131 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
134 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
135 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
136 PARK Nicholas 100% 95% 62% 21% 4% - -
137 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
138 LIU Yueri 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
139 MIAO Quentin 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
140 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
141 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 91% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
142 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1%
143 CHEN Brian 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
144 WU Alistair 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
145 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
146 KAULL James T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
147 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 92% 58% 19% 3% - -
148 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
149 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
149 JAIN Samyak 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
151 SINGH Ravin 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
152 YANG Gary 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
153 GALLO James 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
153 CHEW Aedan 100% 31% 4% - - - -
155 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
155 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
155 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 96% 76% 38% 11% 1% -
158 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
159 KIM Nathan 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
160 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
160 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
162 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
162 HSU Joshua 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
164 YU Austin 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
165 LEE JoonWon 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
166 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
166 LESCURE Dimitri 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
168 LIU Andrew 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
169 KRISHNAN Skanda 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% -
170 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
171 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
172 STRAUSS Luke 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.