October NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 IMREK Samuel A. - - - 4% 24% 45% 26%
2 LAWSON Henry A. - - - - 4% 28% 67%
3 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) - - - 4% 19% 44% 33%
3 KNYSH Oleg - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
5 EWART Jr. Stephen P. - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
6 CANDELA Nicholas - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
7 SENNEWALD James J. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
8 GORNOVSKY David J. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
9 FRENCH Dylan - - - - 4% 29% 66%
10 GRIFFITHS Ryan - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
11 IMREK Elijah S. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
12 WU Jonathan - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
13 SHAN Simon - - 4% 16% 35% 33% 12%
14 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
15 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. - - - - 2% 26% 72%
16 MOORE Shomari A. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
17 ALIMOV fayzulla - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
18 KIM Benjamin I. - 1% 14% 36% 36% 13%
19 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan - 1% 8% 28% 40% 20% 3%
20 LAI Boden - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
21 MAZUR Daniil - - 1% 7% 37% 55%
22 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
23 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
24 ZIEGLER John 1% 7% 27% 39% 21% 5% -
25 MAO Benjamin - 2% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
26 PISKOVATSKOV Anton - - 2% 16% 42% 39%
27 ZAYDMAN Ethan 2% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
28 LIU Alexander - - - 5% 24% 48% 22%
29 NORTH Gary S. - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
30 SONG Troy 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
31 LIVERANT Skyler J. - - - 2% 14% 44% 41%
32 TAFOYA Devin D. - - 1% 10% 36% 39% 13%
33 ZHENG Andy - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
34 LONCAR Luka E. - - 2% 11% 36% 42% 9%
35 MANN Jake R. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
36 WU Joseph - - 1% 7% 27% 46% 19%
37 BEZRODNOV Alexander - - - 5% 23% 46% 26%
38 YAO Geoffrey B. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
39 HUANG Kenneth 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3% -
39 YUE Hongrui - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
41 KIM Seojoon - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
42 RUBIN Daniel - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17% 2%
43 KOKENGE Reid - 1% 5% 20% 37% 31% 7%
44 CALDERON Diego - - - 2% 14% 43% 42%
45 HAMZA Tudor 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 3%
46 DESTEFANO Julius - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
47 GO Dongyeon - 2% 11% 27% 36% 21% 3%
48 WANG justin - 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
49 GINZBURG Adam 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
50 MCDANIELS Jeremy - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
51 SANDERS Ian W. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
52 CARRIER Gabriel A. - - - 4% 22% 45% 28%
53 JEONG Soomin - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
54 HILBERT Xavier - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
55 STRONG Sean T. - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
56 SU Caleb - 2% 13% 34% 34% 14% 2%
57 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
58 HONDOR Robert D. - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
59 BRODSKY Julian 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
60 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - 3% 18% 37% 32% 9%
61 WEISS Miles J. - - < 1% 1% 10% 37% 52%
62 TANG William 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
63 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% -
64 MAISONET-GUZMAN Hector E. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
65 LIOZNYANSKY Simon - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
66 SZAPARY Tristan B. - - - - 1% 17% 81%
66 IYOKI Kent - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
68 FRAY Alexander - - - 2% 11% 39% 49%
69 BEZRODNOV Michael - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 17%
70 FAN Jackson - 1% 6% 22% 39% 27% 6%
71 KANG Philip F. - - 1% 9% 33% 47% 10%
72 LANGE Henry C. - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
73 RODNEY Adam R. - - - - 5% 32% 63%
74 SENNEWALD Frederick A. - 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
75 KILUK Andrew 1% 12% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
75 LE BORGNE Matthieu - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
77 ZHENG Haoran - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
78 YOO Justin - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
79 PRIHODKO Max 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4% -
80 YANG Boyan 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
81 JEYOON Ryan S. - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
82 DAVOODIAN Christopher - 4% 22% 40% 28% 6%
83 WELDON Benjamin - 4% 25% 45% 23% 3%
84 MACARTY Jordan T. - 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
85 IARIKOV Nicholas 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
85 HEADRICK Lance 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
87 SOULAIRE Tom 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
88 LIM Julien K. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
89 DIECK Logan O. - 2% 17% 39% 33% 8%
90 CLICK Tristan 5% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
91 PARK Sangwook 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
92 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
93 TRAN Spencer 5% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
94 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
94 KATS Dylan G. - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
94 LACROIX Floryan - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
97 SPIER Julian H. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
98 FU Leon - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
99 RIGGINS Joshua - 3% 13% 32% 35% 16% 1%
100 MACZIK Adam W. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
101 MATTIS George - 1% 14% 36% 36% 12%
102 CARPENTER Liam - 1% 13% 36% 37% 13%
103 IVE Isaac L. - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
104 DOYON - VERDON William - 6% 28% 40% 22% 4%
105 BOYCE Samuel H. 8% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
106 GOHEL Dayus T. - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 5%
107 KHAYAT Ziad N. - - - 3% 17% 47% 33%
108 GYURE Brayden H. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
109 MITEV Alexander 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7% -
110 LO Jake - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
111 LIU Yikun - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
112 YOON Youngdo 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
113 ATKINS Levi H. 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
114 DOLMETSCH Max - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8% 1%
115 YOUNG Peyton E. - 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4%
116 KIM Sullivan - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
116 ROMANOV Ethan - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
118 MELCHER Jack H. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
119 XIA Dashan 2% 22% 39% 28% 8% 1%
120 SINGLETON Aman 22% 43% 27% 8% 1% - -
121 TABLEMAN Doug S. - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
123 THAYER Jake T. - - 2% 12% 35% 42% 9%
124 CHEN Leonardo 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
125 LI Jade 16% 39% 33% 11% 1% - -
126 SHAH S Ayush - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 17%
127 NORMILE Nicholas - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6% -
128 SINGH Ravin 13% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
129 ISAAC Joseph - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
130 SONG Jeheon - 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
131 MOSES Alexander - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 8%
132 KIM Byung - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 6%
133 GAO Daniel - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
134 CAUCHY Eliot 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 4% -
135 CHOI Zachary 1% 9% 32% 41% 16% 2% -
136 ZHANG Andy W. - 2% 16% 39% 34% 9%
137 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
138 ESKRIDGE Caleb - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
139 LEE Samuel Y. - 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
140 BORISENKO Samuel 4% 24% 43% 24% 4% - -
141 MEINHOLD Li - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 7%
141 KHANNA Nikhil 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
143 SHCHUR Landon - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
144 CHONG christopher - - - 2% 17% 48% 33%
144 TRULL A.J. - 4% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
146 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 1% 14% 39% 33% 11% 1%
147 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
148 WU Alistair 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
149 GACIOCH Noah 41% 42% 15% 2% < 1% - -
150 CHEN Brian - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
151 HENSAL Nicolas A. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 4%
152 LEE Aiden 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
152 LESCURE Dimitri 7% 30% 38% 20% 4% - -
154 HU Lucas - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
155 KUGLER Luke 2% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
156 WU Steven 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1% -
157 FULLERTON Houston T. - 1% 9% 35% 44% 12%
158 LEE JoonWon 5% 30% 40% 21% 5% -
159 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. - 4% 18% 37% 32% 10%
159 STEPHAN Jens - 6% 26% 40% 23% 4%
161 LIOU Solomon 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
162 ROUBAILO Niels - 1% 11% 34% 40% 14%
163 TOLKACHEV Igor - 2% 11% 31% 36% 18% 2%
164 SMOAK Omari Z. - - - 4% 18% 43% 35%
165 WONG Baron 2% 13% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
166 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel - 5% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1%
167 ZHENG Jerry 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
168 DANIELS Jonah 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
169 JOHNSON Ryder 9% 36% 37% 15% 3% - -
170 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
171 KIM Henry - 4% 20% 38% 29% 7% 1%
171 BOUDREAUX James 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
173 MILLER Jeffrey E. - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 23%
174 SIEDOW William 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
175 MASON Alexander T. - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
176 KARIMOV Amir 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
177 TAI Edison 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
178 REPIC Oliver 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
179 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 4% 25% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
180 CORBIN Bennett 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
180 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
182 SMITH Justin C. 4% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
183 KIM Jayden 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
184 LIU Yueri 7% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
185 KENT V David 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
186 JOHNSON Jay 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
187 BREILING Nikki 15% 35% 31% 15% 4% - -
188 KIM Remington 34% 44% 19% 4% - - -
189 DURKIN Tristan E. 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
189 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
191 LI Yunji (Rain) 19% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
192 LAM Alan - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 1%
193 ZHANG Jonathan 55% 35% 8% 1% - - -
194 TIKHONOV Daniel 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% -
195 TOWNSEND Avery S. - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
196 SPRINGER Michael 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
197 MORIN-JIANG Jake 42% 41% 15% 2% - -
198 DAVIDENKO Alexander 9% 38% 38% 13% 2% -
199 CHEW Aedan 25% 53% 19% 3% - -
200 KARNAS Karol 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2%
201 KANAR Ian - 4% 23% 40% 27% 6%
202 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 18% 50% 27% 5% - -
203 SAUNIER Cameron 1% 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
204 MEHROTRA Neel 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
205 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
206 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
207 TSE Maxwell 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
208 CAI Brian 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
209 JEONG Arisu 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
210 LARSEN Samuel F. - - < 1% 6% 31% 44% 19%
210 HU Robert J. 1% 8% 28% 39% 20% 4% -
212 JACKSON James 4% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
212 ZHU Eric 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
214 LI Jesse - 2% 16% 39% 34% 9%
215 GIBSON Nowell L. - 2% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
216 SCHIEK Harrison 12% 46% 32% 8% 1% -
216 LI Ethan R. 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
218 KIM Sterling S. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
219 HUTTO Joshua - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
219 KIM Joshua 22% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
221 ADDLEMAN Joshua 15% 44% 31% 9% 1% - -
222 MUNLIN Donovan - 3% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
222 LEE Aiden 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
222 CHANG Andrew 14% 37% 34% 12% 2% - -
225 MANDOKI Sandor I. - 7% 27% 38% 23% 5%
226 LEE Stewart S. - 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 3%
226 JAIN Samyak 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
226 LEE DoWon 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
226 SIM Ian 7% 31% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
226 CARDENAS Lucas 25% 44% 25% 5% - - -
226 LEE Royce 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
233 SHA Michael 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
234 XIE Brandon 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 3% -
234 WILLIAMS Logan 6% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
234 TOLLEFSON Zachary 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
237 NOLAN Tyler 36% 44% 17% 3% - - -
238 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
238 SU Samuel 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
238 GLEN Ethan 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -
241 MUENKE Magnus 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
242 YAO Shun 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 4% -
243 ROBINSON Samuel 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
244 LI Tristan 29% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
245 WOLFE Alex - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
246 NALLICHERI Ayaan 58% 35% 6% - - -
247 ELZAYN Hadi S. 11% 35% 37% 15% 3% - -
248 WICAS Graham E. - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
249 TIKHONOV Ilia 6% 30% 42% 19% 3% -
250 NUTOVYCH David 64% 30% 5% - - -
251 KOEPPEL Levi E. 2% 17% 44% 30% 7% -
252 SUVOROV Yuly 5% 27% 39% 22% 6% 1%
253 CHENG Trevor 66% 29% 4% - - -
255 CHEN zhuoyang 14% 36% 33% 14% 2% -
256 DHAL Leon 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
256 MODANLOU Navid 5% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
258 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 15% 43% 33% 9% 1% - -
259 ACAR Devin 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
260 PETERSON Matthew 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
261 GATZA Logan - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
262 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
262 KYPRAIOS Nicholas 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
264 DOUBOV Andrew 6% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
265 CHOI Kaiden I. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
266 HILBERT Gabriel E. - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 3%
267 YU Austin 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
268 BENACK Steven M. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
270 TOYOFUKU Ethan 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
271 DU SHUNYU K. 2% 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
271 LEE Anton 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
273 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
273 MIDYANY Evan 26% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
275 WANG Joey 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
275 WU Johnny y. 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
277 LU Jacob 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
277 VYSOTSKIY Evan 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
279 FULLER George K. - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
279 SURESH NEERAJ 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
279 MULDOON Thomas 45% 41% 13% 2% - - -
282 DONDISCH ilan 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
283 YI Nathan 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
284 HRAPSKY Ryan J. - 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
284 SANTOS Francisco M. 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
284 HENSLEY Roran 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
287 NIXON Mark - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
288 HOWARD Jackson 43% 42% 13% 1% - - -
289 SANTOS Antonio K. 9% 43% 35% 11% 1% -
290 RONG Gordon 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
291 CHEN Edward 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
291 PARKE Nathaniel 20% 45% 28% 7% 1% - -
293 TOWNSHEND Connor 53% 39% 8% 1% - -
294 WALL Peter M. 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
294 ALI Farhan 16% 40% 33% 10% 1% - -
296 AGGELER Donovan 49% 40% 10% 1% - -
297 SNIDER Jeffrey H. < 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4% -
298 AHMED Mohsen 7% 34% 38% 17% 4% - -
298 ZHANG Austin 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
300 WANG Devin 49% 38% 11% 1% - - -
300 GAO Victor 29% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
300 CHEN YiHeng 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
303 GUO Woody 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
303 ZHOU alex 50% 39% 9% 1% - - -
305 ALI Adam 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
306 DOWD Peter L. 52% 41% 7% - - -
307 CUMMINGS Owen 77% 21% 2% - - -
308 HELMY Richard 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
308 TIEMANN Landen 8% 30% 39% 20% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.