October NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
2 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
3 KNYSH Oleg 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
5 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
6 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
7 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
8 GORNOVSKY David J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
9 FRENCH Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
10 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
11 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
12 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
13 SHAN Simon 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
14 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
15 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 72%
16 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
17 ALIMOV fayzulla 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
18 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 99% 85% 49% 13%
19 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
20 LAI Boden 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
21 MAZUR Daniil 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
22 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
23 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 49% 15%
24 ZIEGLER John 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 5% -
25 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
26 PISKOVATSKOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
27 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
28 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 22%
29 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
30 SONG Troy 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
31 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
32 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 13%
33 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
34 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 9%
35 MANN Jake R. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 8%
36 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 19%
37 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
38 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
39 HUANG Kenneth 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3% -
39 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
41 KIM Seojoon 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
42 RUBIN Daniel 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18% 2%
43 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 7%
44 CALDERON Diego 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
45 HAMZA Tudor 100% 99% 88% 54% 19% 3%
46 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
47 GO Dongyeon 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 3%
48 WANG justin 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
49 GINZBURG Adam 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% 1%
50 MCDANIELS Jeremy 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
51 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
52 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
53 JEONG Soomin 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
54 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
55 STRONG Sean T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
56 SU Caleb 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
57 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
58 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
59 BRODSKY Julian 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
60 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 9%
61 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
62 TANG William 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
63 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% -
64 MAISONET-GUZMAN Hector E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
65 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
66 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
66 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
68 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
69 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
70 FAN Jackson 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
71 KANG Philip F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 10%
72 LANGE Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
73 RODNEY Adam R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
74 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
75 KILUK Andrew 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
75 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
77 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
78 YOO Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
79 PRIHODKO Max 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4% -
80 YANG Boyan 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 3%
81 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
82 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
83 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 71% 26% 3%
84 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 93% 69% 30% 5%
85 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
85 HEADRICK Lance 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
87 SOULAIRE Tom 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
88 LIM Julien K. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
89 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 98% 81% 41% 8%
90 CLICK Tristan 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
91 PARK Sangwook 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
92 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
93 TRAN Spencer 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
94 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
94 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
94 LACROIX Floryan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
97 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
98 FU Leon 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
99 RIGGINS Joshua 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 1%
100 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
101 MATTIS George 100% 100% 99% 85% 48% 12%
102 CARPENTER Liam 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 13%
103 IVE Isaac L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
104 DOYON - VERDON William 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 4%
105 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
106 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
107 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 33%
108 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
109 MITEV Alexander 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 8% -
110 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
111 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
112 YOON Youngdo 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
113 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
114 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% 1%
115 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
116 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
116 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
118 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
119 XIA Dashan 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1%
120 SINGLETON Aman 100% 78% 35% 9% 1% - -
121 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
123 THAYER Jake T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 9%
124 CHEN Leonardo 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
125 LI Jade 100% 84% 45% 12% 2% - -
126 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 17%
127 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6% -
128 SINGH Ravin 100% 87% 48% 15% 3% - -
129 ISAAC Joseph 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
130 SONG Jeheon 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
131 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 8%
132 KIM Byung 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
133 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
134 CAUCHY Eliot 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4% -
135 CHOI Zachary 100% 99% 90% 59% 18% 2% -
136 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
137 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
138 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
139 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 17% 2%
140 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 96% 72% 29% 5% - -
141 MEINHOLD Li 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 7%
141 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 17% 3%
143 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
144 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 33%
144 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
146 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 99% 85% 45% 12% 1%
147 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
148 WU Alistair 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
149 GACIOCH Noah 100% 59% 17% 2% < 1% - -
150 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 2%
151 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
152 LEE Aiden 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
152 LESCURE Dimitri 100% 93% 63% 24% 5% - -
154 HU Lucas 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
155 KUGLER Luke 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
156 WU Steven 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
157 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 12%
158 LEE JoonWon 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% -
159 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
159 STEPHAN Jens 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 4%
161 LIOU Solomon 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
162 ROUBAILO Niels 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
163 TOLKACHEV Igor 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 2%
164 SMOAK Omari Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
165 WONG Baron 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
166 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 8% 1%
167 ZHENG Jerry 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
168 DANIELS Jonah 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
169 JOHNSON Ryder 100% 91% 55% 19% 3% - -
170 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
171 KIM Henry 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8% 1%
171 BOUDREAUX James 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
173 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
174 SIEDOW William 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
175 MASON Alexander T. 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
176 KARIMOV Amir 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
177 TAI Edison 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
178 REPIC Oliver 100% 98% 83% 48% 17% 3% -
179 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 96% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
180 CORBIN Bennett 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
180 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
182 SMITH Justin C. 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
183 KIM Jayden 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% 1%
184 LIU Yueri 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% -
185 KENT V David 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
186 JOHNSON Jay 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1% -
187 BREILING Nikki 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -
188 KIM Remington 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
189 DURKIN Tristan E. 100% 96% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
189 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
191 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
192 LAM Alan 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16% 1%
193 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
194 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
195 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
196 SPRINGER Michael 100% 99% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
197 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
198 DAVIDENKO Alexander 100% 91% 53% 15% 2% -
199 CHEW Aedan 100% 75% 21% 3% - -
200 KARNAS Karol 100% 99% 86% 50% 16% 2%
201 KANAR Ian 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 6%
202 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 82% 32% 5% - -
203 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 99% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
204 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 92% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
205 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
206 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
207 TSE Maxwell 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
208 CAI Brian 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
209 JEONG Arisu 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
210 LARSEN Samuel F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 19%
210 HU Robert J. 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4% -
212 JACKSON James 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
212 ZHU Eric 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
214 LI Jesse 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
215 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
216 SCHIEK Harrison 100% 88% 42% 9% 1% -
216 LI Ethan R. 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
218 KIM Sterling S. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
219 HUTTO Joshua 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
219 KIM Joshua 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
221 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% - -
222 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
222 LEE Aiden 100% 98% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
222 CHANG Andrew 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
225 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 100% 92% 66% 27% 5%
226 LEE Stewart S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26% 3%
226 JAIN Samyak 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
226 LEE DoWon 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
226 SIM Ian 100% 93% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
226 CARDENAS Lucas 100% 75% 31% 6% - - -
226 LEE Royce 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
233 SHA Michael 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
234 XIE Brandon 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3% -
234 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
234 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5% -
237 NOLAN Tyler 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
238 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
238 SU Samuel 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
238 GLEN Ethan 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
241 MUENKE Magnus 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
242 YAO Shun 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
243 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 98% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
244 LI Tristan 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
245 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
246 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 42% 7% - - -
247 ELZAYN Hadi S. 100% 89% 54% 17% 3% - -
248 WICAS Graham E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
249 TIKHONOV Ilia 100% 94% 64% 23% 4% -
250 NUTOVYCH David 100% 36% 6% - - -
251 KOEPPEL Levi E. 100% 98% 81% 37% 7% -
252 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% 1%
253 CHENG Trevor 100% 34% 4% - - -
255 CHEN zhuoyang 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% -
256 DHAL Leon 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
256 MODANLOU Navid 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
258 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 100% 85% 42% 9% 1% - -
259 ACAR Devin 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
260 PETERSON Matthew 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
261 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
262 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
262 KYPRAIOS Nicholas 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
264 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 94% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
265 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
266 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
267 YU Austin 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
268 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
270 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% - -
271 DU SHUNYU K. 100% 98% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
271 LEE Anton 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
273 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
273 MIDYANY Evan 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
275 WANG Joey 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
275 WU Johnny y. 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
277 LU Jacob 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
277 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
279 FULLER George K. 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
279 SURESH NEERAJ 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
279 MULDOON Thomas 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
282 DONDISCH ilan 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
283 YI Nathan 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
284 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
284 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
284 HENSLEY Roran 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
287 NIXON Mark 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
288 HOWARD Jackson 100% 57% 15% 1% - - -
289 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 91% 48% 13% 1% -
290 RONG Gordon 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
291 CHEN Edward 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
291 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
293 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 47% 8% 1% - -
294 WALL Peter M. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
294 ALI Farhan 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% - -
296 AGGELER Donovan 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
297 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 4% -
298 AHMED Mohsen 100% 93% 59% 21% 4% - -
298 ZHANG Austin 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
300 WANG Devin 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
300 GAO Victor 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
300 CHEN YiHeng 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
303 GUO Woody 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
303 ZHOU alex 100% 50% 10% 1% - - -
305 ALI Adam 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
306 DOWD Peter L. 100% 48% 7% - - -
307 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 23% 2% - - -
308 HELMY Richard 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
308 TIEMANN Landen 100% 92% 63% 24% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.