USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Cadet Men's Épée

Tuesday, July 2, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
2 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
3 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
3 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
5 MCGAW Julian E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
6 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
7 KRAVIT Connor B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
8 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
9 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
10 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
11 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
12 KEHOE James E. 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
13 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
14 ZHANG YuJian 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
15 RA Jr. Daniel M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
16 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
17 GORNOVSKY David J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
18 MUN Michael K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
19 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
20 HUGHES Levi H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 25%
21 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
22 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
23 ZHU Wilson 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
23 LIANG Aaron 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
25 MIELE Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
26 SHIN Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
27 MA Ark 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
28 LIPPMAN Eli 100% 100% 100% 94% 74% 36% 7%
29 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
30 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22% 2%
31 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
31 GREEN Ummi 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
33 MALYSZ Anthony J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 11%
34 LEI Jacob 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 8%
35 WEI Zikun 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 21%
36 KIM Ethan J. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 5%
37 SHARMA Sanil 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
38 LIU John 100% 99% 92% 68% 35% 10% 1%
39 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
40 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
41 BLISS Atticus H. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
42 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
43 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
44 NIEBERGALL Colin G. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
45 UKOLOV Dimitri 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
46 GRABER Andrew J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
47 FELDMAN Jaemin 100% 100% 95% 68% 26% 4%
48 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
49 MORSE Tyler 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
50 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
51 IVE Isaac L. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
52 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% 1%
53 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
54 KIM PAUL 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
55 FU Bohan 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 4% -
56 SHUR Yakov C. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
57 GARCIA-ROGERS Lucas H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
58 PARKER Riley D. 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
59 ATANAS Matthew M. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
60 LAWLER Aidan 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
61 SMITH Jackson 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
62 XIAN Riley 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
63 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
64 TANG William 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
65 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
66 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
67 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 11%
68 DAO Matthew M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 27%
69 DEGUCHI Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
70 CHO Tyler H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
71 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
72 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
72 LEE Timothy S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
74 ROBINSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
75 COMBS Colson 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 5%
76 ZHENG Hagen 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
77 SIDDIQUI HUMZA K. 100% 97% 80% 46% 17% 3% -
78 LIN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
79 PADHYE Siddhant 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
80 ZHU Max 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
81 JAMES Samuel 100% 100% 98% 81% 47% 15% 2%
82 TIAN Kevin 100% 96% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
83 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 11% 1%
84 GRAY Sterling B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 10%
85 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
86 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
87 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
87 XIAN Ryan 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 1%
89 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
90 KIM Edward J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
91 SHOURIE Jai 100% 97% 75% 36% 8% 1% -
92 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 30% 5%
93 VAN EIKEMA HOMMES Neil B. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 7%
94 DIXON Samuel 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
94 WEISE Eli S. 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
94 LEE Alexander G. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
97 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
98 THAYER Bryce 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 12%
99 LI Brian X 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
100 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
100 KIM Donghyeok 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
102 WANG William M. 100% 99% 89% 61% 28% 7% 1%
103 DIAS-LALCACA Kieran P. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
104 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 35%
105 ADLER Ethan M. 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 7% 1%
106 YAN yuheng 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
107 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 31% 6%
108 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 20%
108 SHERWOOD Dominic 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
110 MAENG Jake W. 100% 97% 80% 47% 18% 3% -
111 KELSEY Ryan 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3% -
112 YUMIACO Nolan C. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
113 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
114 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
115 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
115 BENDER Rhys T. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% 1%
117 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
118 STONE Henry J. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
119 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
120 LI Zhiheng 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 6% 1%
121 GUO Oliver 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
122 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
123 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 23% 3%
124 NESTEROV Andrew E. 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
125 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31% 5%
126 HANXU Richard A. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
127 LEE Shwan 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
128 KENT Matthew 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
129 GARRETT Samuel 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% < 1% -
130 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
131 SHAMIS Mark 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
132 CAI Kevin P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
133 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1% -
134 RUSSANOV Dennis 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
135 ARANA Abraham 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
136 HUANG JINTONG 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
137 STEVENS Daniel 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
138 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2% -
139 FRAY Alexander 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
140 MOSES Alexander 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
141 LEE Matthew C. 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
142 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 94% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
143 BUHEIS Alexander I. 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1% -
144 MOON Ryan Y. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
145 PARAMESH Dhilan R. 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
145 DE JONG Thijmen J. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
147 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 8% 1%
148 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
149 SHAH S Ayush 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
150 KAUFMANN Connor G. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
151 KOFROTH Zachary R. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
151 KIM William M. 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
151 MATTIS George 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
154 GREGORY Nicholas 100% 71% 31% 8% 1% - -
155 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 98% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
156 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
157 KROPP Jack 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
158 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
159 PAK Charles 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
160 PARNAS Ely 100% 97% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
161 LI Brian 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
162 KOPPE Benjamin 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
163 FRANCO-TENTIOUK Christopher J. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
164 THOMPSON Chester 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
165 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
166 WU Byron 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
167 ALIYEV Telman 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2%
168 CHUNG Thomas 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
169 ODEN Isaac M. 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1%
170 LEVY Jeffrey M. 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
171 MIEZIANKO Sebastian A. 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
172 SCHLEUDER Aidan 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
173 JACKSON James 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
174 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
175 TUCKER Owen J. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
175 PARNAS Apollo 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
177 VENKAT Rakesh 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
177 AU Marcus J. 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8% 1%
179 MCLOUDREY Callan E. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
180 LI Jeffrey 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
181 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
182 WANG Kevin de-tai 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
183 DESOUZA Hansel S. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 5%
184 MISHIMA Torata 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
185 PIEKARSKI John P. 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
185 KOH Tommy 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
185 LI Benjamin 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
188 KANG Philip F. 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
189 HOLDERNESS Landon 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
190 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
191 BANKULLA Nihal R. 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
192 MAAS Sean H. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
192 HONGYI WANG 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
194 KWON Ryan S. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
194 WANG Eric S 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
194 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
197 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
198 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 99% 83% 45% 12% 1% -
199 CRANE Matthew T. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
200 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
201 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
202 GOLCZEWSKI Benjamin 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
203 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 83% 39% 9% 1% - -
204 LANGTON Sawyer 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
205 WU Jason 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1% -
205 HESSE Frederick Q. 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -
207 HE Lawrence 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
208 LU Sebastian X. 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
209 GOLDMAN Rami 100% 80% 39% 11% 1% -
210 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1%
211 FERREIRA Noah J. 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
212 JAAFAR Omar 100% 71% 22% 3% - -
213 SMITH Zane A. 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
214 KOTCHEN Peter Trammell 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% - -
215 KRISTIANSEN Phillip 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
216 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
217 ZHANG Andrew 100% 98% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
217 TROAKE Henry R. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
219 ANDERSON Elias W. 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
219 MUGA Boris 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
221 BRENNAN Charles F. 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
222 MOHEBI Saam 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
223 COX Gavin V. 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
224 OH Matthew M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
224 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
226 CHITU Andreas C. 100% 95% 67% 28% 7% 1% -
226 ZIEBART Jeremy J. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
226 AHN Gus 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 2% -
229 USHER Alexander 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
230 LI Ruoyu 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
231 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 97% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
231 KOBI Samuel 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
233 BYNAGARI Niketh 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
234 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 20% 2%
235 HU Matthew 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
236 BARGE Jackson 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
236 KERN Joseph 100% 88% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
238 DYER Ian E. 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
238 BARTCH Ethan L. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
240 ZHAO Luhan 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
241 GROSSMAN August 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 6% -
242 MUFIC Oliver 100% 69% 19% 3% - - -
242 JOSEPH William 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
244 KIM Darius H. 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% - -
245 LOUIE Jason 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
246 DIXON Thomas 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
247 SHIV Rishi 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% - -
248 WIEDEBURG Jonathan 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
249 SOLTER Kai 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% - -
250 YU Jonathan J. 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
250 LI Yuchong 100% 41% 7% - - - -
252 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
253 NICHOLS JR Cortez 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
254 CUMMING Thomas 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
254 CHATZIKALFAS Dimitris E. 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
256 PANAYOTOV Alexander 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
257 LEONE Charles D. 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
257 PHAM Ian Q. 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
259 KIM Sterling S. 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
259 TRUJILLO Andres 100% 38% 6% - - - -
259 CHEN Austin 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
259 CABRERA Jose Faber 100% 73% 32% 7% 1% - -
263 LEE Kennith 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
264 LIU Jack 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
265 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
265 YEH ZONGSIN 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
267 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
268 JOO Benjamin 100% 61% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.