USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I Men's Épée

Saturday, July 2, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Nicholas Z. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
2 WEISS Miles J. - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 24%
3 WHITE Sean - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
3 CANDELA Nicholas - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
5 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
6 SILVERS Noah E. - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 17%
7 LANGE Henry C. - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
8 LAWSON Nicholas W. - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
9 GRIFFITHS Ryan - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
10 HILBERT Xavier - 5% 18% 35% 31% 11%
11 CHONG christopher 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
12 MA Ark - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
13 JEON Alexander E. - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
14 IMREK Samuel A. - 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
15 GANA Jr Jorge M. 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% -
16 SMITH Nicholas S. 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
17 HANSEN Jonas B. - - - 2% 14% 45% 40%
18 KUSHNERIK Ethan - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
19 IVE Isaac L. - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
20 TRAGER Matthew G. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
21 NOLLNER Dylan - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
22 FRENCH Dylan - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
23 SANDERS Ian W. - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 13%
23 KATS Dylan G. 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
25 CHEN Eric 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
26 PISKOVATSKOV Anton - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 10%
27 SHAH S Ayush - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
28 LAWSON Henry A. - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
29 TAFOYA Devin D. - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
30 LONCAR Luka E. 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
31 JOSEPH William 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
32 PARK Ian C. 1% 5% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
33 IYOKI Kent - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
34 HENSAL Nicolas A. 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
35 KUMASHI Mihir R. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
36 LEE Ryan - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
37 FRAY Alexander - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 2%
38 PRASAD Ankith 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
39 EWART Jr. Stephen P. - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
40 ZAFFT Maximo S. - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
41 JONES Simon A. - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
42 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
43 HAN Matthew - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 6%
44 NORTH Gary S. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
45 HOLTZ Donovan K. - 4% 16% 30% 31% 15% 3%
46 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. - - - 4% 22% 48% 25%
47 KROPP Jack 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
48 LIVERANT Skyler J. - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
49 MAZUR Daniil 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
50 ROBINSON Riley - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
51 SMOAK Omari Z. - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
52 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
53 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
54 MELCHER Jack H. 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
54 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) - - 3% 14% 32% 37% 15%
56 SHARMA Sanil 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
57 INSLER Ethan C. 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
58 LEE Daniel Y. 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
59 JIN Daniel 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
60 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
61 ZUBECK Dominic 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
62 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
63 MOSES Alexander 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
64 JIN Owen 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
65 CIPRIANI Andrea - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
66 VAYSBUKH Konstantin - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
67 RHYU Kozmo 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
68 KIM Benjamin I. 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
69 XU Timothy (Tingwei) - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
70 SAITOC Tudor - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
71 UKOLOV Dimitri 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
72 SMITH Justin C. 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
73 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. 1% 6% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
73 HUGHES Levi H. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
75 HADDAD Justin R. - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
76 GOHEL Dayus T. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
77 LEE Shwan 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
78 KUMAR Anitya 2% 13% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
78 XU Zitong (Evan) 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
80 BINDAS Odinn A. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
81 TOWNSEND Avery S. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
82 GRAYSON Shane W. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
83 SHEN Max 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
84 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
85 KANG Philip F. 20% 39% 29% 11% 2% -
86 YOUNG Peyton E. 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
87 YAN yuheng 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
88 ZHANG Alec 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
89 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
90 POPOVICI Maximilian P. 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
91 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
92 POPOVICI Michael A. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
93 SENNEWALD James J. 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
94 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 3% 16% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
95 BRATTON Benjamin E. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
95 JEONG Connor - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
97 CLICK Aiden 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
98 LIU Alexander - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
99 VERMEULE Spencer - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 2%
100 CHAWLA Armaan 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
101 LEVITSKY Jonathan 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
102 POULIQUEN Nicolas J. 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
102 GUINAN Joseph 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
102 GAO Daniel 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
105 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
106 KIM Darius H. 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
107 ZUCKER Noah L. 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
108 SPIER Julian H. 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
109 LEE Seungwon 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
110 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
111 JEYOON Ryan S. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
112 RICHARD Owen 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
113 LIEF Isaac R. 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
114 GOLDFINE Ian J. 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
115 WU Joseph - 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2%
116 MOORE Shomari A. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
117 BELL Jack 14% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
118 NORTH Alexander M. 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
119 GERAGHTY Michael P. 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
120 KIM Sterling S. 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
121 MOOSEKIAN Stafford - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
122 MATTIS George 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
123 KIM Dylan J. 18% 41% 29% 10% 2% - -
124 DAO Matthew M. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
124 MUNLIN Donovan 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
126 FULLERTON Houston T. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 1%
127 TREBON Hayden 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
128 CAI Brian 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
129 ELLIS Yehia S. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
130 SHIV Rishi 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
131 KILUK Andrew 16% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
132 BORODITSKY Ethan 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
133 KOBI Samuel 14% 35% 33% 15% 4% - -
133 JACKSON James 39% 40% 17% 4% - - -
135 MCKEEVER Luca 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
136 KIM Donghyeok 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 4% -
137 CARPENTER Liam - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
138 KHANNA Nikhil 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
139 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% 1%
140 LI Jesse - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7%
141 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
142 GIBSON Nowell L. 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
143 TSANG Gary 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
144 ANDERSON Brendan P. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
145 LI Brian X 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
145 MORSE Tyler 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
147 PARK Brian 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
148 ZHU Max 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
149 LAURON Sean M. - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
150 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 4% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
151 ODEN Isaac M. 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
152 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
152 RODNEY Maxwell 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
154 HRAPSKY Ryan J. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
155 HILBERT Gabriel E. 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
156 LIN Kyran 2% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
157 WANG Devon 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
158 WU Jonathan 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
159 MACZIK Adam W. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
160 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
161 KOKENGE Reid 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
162 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 5% 21% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
162 HUSSAIN Kamran 14% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
162 LIPPMAN Eli 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
165 CHOI Isaac 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
166 JIN Nicholas 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
167 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
168 PRABHAKAR Vibhav 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
169 GATZA Logan 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
170 GLAZ Nicholas S. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
171 SINGHA Orion 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
172 MUGA Boris 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
173 GYURE Brayden H. 3% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
174 CHIRASHNYA Adam 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
175 CARRIER Gabriel A. 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
176 SUVOROV Yuly 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.