USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I Men's Épée

Saturday, July 2, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Nicholas Z. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
2 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
3 WHITE Sean 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
3 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
5 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
6 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
7 LANGE Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
8 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
9 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 27%
10 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
11 CHONG christopher 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
12 MA Ark 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
13 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
14 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 3%
15 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7% -
16 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 93% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
17 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
18 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
19 IVE Isaac L. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
20 TRAGER Matthew G. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
21 NOLLNER Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
22 FRENCH Dylan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
23 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
23 KATS Dylan G. 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
25 CHEN Eric 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
26 PISKOVATSKOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 10%
27 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
28 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
29 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
30 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 12% 2%
31 JOSEPH William 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
32 PARK Ian C. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
33 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
34 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
35 KUMASHI Mihir R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
36 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
37 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
38 PRASAD Ankith 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
39 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
40 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 13%
41 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
42 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
43 HAN Matthew 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
44 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
45 HOLTZ Donovan K. 100% 100% 95% 80% 49% 18% 3%
46 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 25%
47 KROPP Jack 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
48 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
49 MAZUR Daniil 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
50 ROBINSON Riley 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
51 SMOAK Omari Z. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10%
52 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
53 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
54 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
54 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
56 SHARMA Sanil 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
57 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
58 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
59 JIN Daniel 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
60 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
61 ZUBECK Dominic 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
62 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1%
63 MOSES Alexander 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
64 JIN Owen 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
65 CIPRIANI Andrea 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
66 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
67 RHYU Kozmo 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
68 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
69 XU Timothy (Tingwei) 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
70 SAITOC Tudor 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
71 UKOLOV Dimitri 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
72 SMITH Justin C. 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
73 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
73 HUGHES Levi H. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
75 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
76 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
77 LEE Shwan 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
78 KUMAR Anitya 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
78 XU Zitong (Evan) 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
80 BINDAS Odinn A. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
81 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
82 GRAYSON Shane W. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
83 SHEN Max 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
84 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
85 KANG Philip F. 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% -
86 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
87 YAN yuheng 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1%
88 ZHANG Alec 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
89 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
90 POPOVICI Maximilian P. 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
91 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
92 POPOVICI Michael A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
93 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
94 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
95 BRATTON Benjamin E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
95 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 9%
97 CLICK Aiden 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
98 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
99 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 18% 2%
100 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
101 LEVITSKY Jonathan 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
102 POULIQUEN Nicolas J. 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
102 GUINAN Joseph 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
102 GAO Daniel 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
105 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
106 KIM Darius H. 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
107 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
108 SPIER Julian H. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
109 LEE Seungwon 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
110 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8%
111 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
112 RICHARD Owen 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
113 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% -
114 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
115 WU Joseph 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
116 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
117 BELL Jack 100% 86% 49% 17% 3% - -
118 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
119 GERAGHTY Michael P. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
120 KIM Sterling S. 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
121 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
122 MATTIS George 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
123 KIM Dylan J. 100% 82% 41% 12% 2% - -
124 DAO Matthew M. 100% 99% 93% 69% 35% 10% 1%
124 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 9% 1%
126 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 13% 1%
127 TREBON Hayden 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
128 CAI Brian 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
129 ELLIS Yehia S. 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
130 SHIV Rishi 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% 1%
131 KILUK Andrew 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
132 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
133 KOBI Samuel 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
133 JACKSON James 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
135 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
136 KIM Donghyeok 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
137 CARPENTER Liam 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
138 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
139 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
140 LI Jesse 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
141 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
142 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
143 TSANG Gary 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
144 ANDERSON Brendan P. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
145 LI Brian X 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
145 MORSE Tyler 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
147 PARK Brian 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
148 ZHU Max 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
149 LAURON Sean M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
150 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1% -
151 ODEN Isaac M. 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
152 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
152 RODNEY Maxwell 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 1%
154 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
155 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
156 LIN Kyran 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
157 WANG Devon 100% 76% 35% 10% 1% - -
158 WU Jonathan 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
159 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 27% 5%
160 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 72% 29% 7% 1% - -
161 KOKENGE Reid 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
162 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
162 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% - -
162 LIPPMAN Eli 100% 99% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
165 CHOI Isaac 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
166 JIN Nicholas 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
167 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
168 PRABHAKAR Vibhav 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
169 GATZA Logan 100% 94% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
170 GLAZ Nicholas S. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
171 SINGHA Orion 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
172 MUGA Boris 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
173 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
174 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 70% 27% 5% 1% -
175 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
176 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.