USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, July 8, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
2 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
3 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
3 ZHAO corey 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
5 TREBON Hayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
6 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
7 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
8 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
9 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
10 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
11 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
12 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
13 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
14 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
15 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
16 ELYADERANI Paxon 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 19%
17 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
18 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
18 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 33%
20 WANG Devon 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 41%
21 NGUYEN Tate 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
22 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
23 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
24 SONN Rohan 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 5%
25 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
26 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
27 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
28 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
29 ROMERO KURI Carlos Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
29 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
31 ZHANG ethan 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
32 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
33 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
34 DOWDELL Riley 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 3%
35 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
36 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
37 WANG Clayton 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
37 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
39 ZHENG Jerry 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
40 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 21%
41 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
42 NATSVLISHVILI John Vano 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
43 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
44 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
45 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
46 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
47 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
48 MAHESH Tarun 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
49 SEO Shawn 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
50 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
51 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 5%
52 PRABHAKAR Agasthya 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 1%
52 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
54 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
54 PALIWODA Nicholas 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
56 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 11%
57 FRANGER Max 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
58 KIM Ian 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5% -
59 CHOI Aleksey 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 12%
60 CAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
61 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
62 DAO Alexander 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
63 DU Shunyu K. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
64 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% 1%
65 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
66 ZHU Eric 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
67 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
68 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
69 DODIN David 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
70 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
71 KIM Byung 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
72 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
73 MALHAM Andrew 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
73 CHEN Zhengyang 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
75 QUITORIANO Matthew 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
76 KRZYSIAK David F. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
77 CHEN Bailey 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
78 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
79 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
80 GAO Zachary 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
81 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
82 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
83 SHA Michael 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 1%
83 XIA Oliver 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
85 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
86 PETERSON Matthew 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
87 MUGA Aiden 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
88 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 12%
89 MAO Benjamin 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
90 CAO Brad 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 13%
91 PARKS Isaac 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
92 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
93 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
94 SCHIEK Harrison 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 5% -
95 SERAFYM Damian 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
96 TRULL A.J. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
97 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
98 LEE Aiden 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
99 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
100 TASKIRAN Mete 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
101 GAITHER Christopher W. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
101 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
103 ELLISON Harper F. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
104 GUAN Nathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
105 PARK Nicholas 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
106 DHAL Leon 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
107 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
108 LEE Inwoo 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
109 WU Colin 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1%
109 CORBIN Bennett 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
111 ZENG Andrew 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
112 SINHA Zaan 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
112 LAM Alan 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
114 REPIC Oliver 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
115 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
116 MAJAM Brandon Audie 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
117 CARTY JR Johndale 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
118 PETROV Niki A. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
119 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
120 SONG Troy 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
121 BRODSKY Julian 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
122 MISHRA Milan B. 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
123 PETROW Zoryan 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
124 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
125 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
126 ARMITAGE Liam 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
127 TAM Ethan 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
128 OSBORN Hunter 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
129 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
130 BLEICHER Simon 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
131 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
132 DAS Roshan 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
133 SINGH Aryaman 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2%
134 DONAHUE Lake 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
135 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
136 FERRIERE Joshua 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
137 MIAO Kunqi 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
138 DRIBIN Ezra 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 13%
139 CHOI Zachary 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
140 CHOU Benson 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
141 GINZBURG Adam 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
142 ABBOUD Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 21%
143 HINTON Evan 100% 73% 32% 7% 1% - -
144 MITEV Alexander 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
145 LOFTUS Luca 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
146 MCWILLIAMS Miles 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
147 GOLDSON Tyrese 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 3%
148 PAK Elliot 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
149 DONDISCH Ilan 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
149 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
151 BARG Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
152 KUGLER Luke 100% 98% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
153 KENT V David 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
154 GRAMMATIKOV Michael 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 6% 1%
155 LAI Boden 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
156 YU Austin 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
157 LIU Noah 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% -
158 LIU Adam 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
159 JONES Reilly 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 3% -
160 LI Ethan R. 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
161 TISKA Jack 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
162 KOLLARS Jacob 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -
163 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 2% -
163 BLACK Zachary 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% 1% -
165 NG Biwon 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
166 JU Hanul 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
167 TONG Samuel 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
168 FU Leon 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
169 LIU Yikun 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
169 MEGGERS Davin 100% 94% 63% 24% 4% - -
171 PETROVICH Alexandar 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
172 HIGGINS Calvin 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
173 HERNDON Liam 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
174 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% - -
174 MASSE Jack 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
176 LAWRENCE Brady 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
177 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
178 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% -
179 ALI Farhan 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
180 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
181 HOGE William P. 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% 1%
181 VRAPI Dorian A. 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
183 TIEN Jabin 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
184 MARTIN Charles 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
185 DAN Rex 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
186 GRAVES Lawson 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
187 MIZRAHI Michael 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
188 PRAKASH Hari 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
188 LU Jacob 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
190 FENG du 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
190 TENHUNDFELD Jack 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
192 FENG shang 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% 1% -
192 CHEN Leonardo 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
194 HULL Liam 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
194 BUI Henry 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
196 SINGH Ravin 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
197 XIONG Aaron 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
198 KIM Teddy 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
199 MENDOZA Zander 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
200 BUERGISSER Tae 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
201 LIU Yueri 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
202 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
202 JURKECH Jacob 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
204 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham 100% 95% 74% 41% 13% 2% -
204 RICHARD silas 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
206 RAHMAN Yousef 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
207 SIEDOW William 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
208 XIE Brandon 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
209 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
210 HU Robert J. 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
211 NORDQUIST Zach 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
212 YE Gavin 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
213 SOKOL Luke 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
214 VAN VACTER Thomas 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
215 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
216 NAGEL August 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
217 MANGAN Hunter 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
218 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
219 THOMPSON North D. 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
220 STAUDINGER Enzo 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
221 MAXU Tiger 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
222 BAKKEN Archer 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
222 GOROZA Eric 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
224 VENZON Gavin 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.