November NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Friday, November 14, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fort Worth Convention Center - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KNYSH Oleg 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 18%
3 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
3 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 19%
5 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 39%
6 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38%
7 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
8 WOLFE Alex 100% 97% 76% 32% 6% -
9 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
10 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
11 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
12 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
14 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
15 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
16 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
17 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 9%
18 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
19 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
20 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
21 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 11%
22 FU Leon 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18% 2%
23 KIM Jungbeom 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 7%
24 LANGE Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
25 SONG Troy 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
26 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
27 SHAN Simon 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
28 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
29 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37% 7%
30 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
31 MANN Jake R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
32 KUGLER Luke 100% 97% 70% 28% 5% -
33 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% < 1%
34 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
35 MAZUR Daniil 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
36 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
37 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
38 IVE Isaac L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
39 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
40 DOYON - VERDON William 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
41 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
42 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
43 KAULL James T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
44 WICAS Graham E. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
45 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 2%
46 MUGA Boris 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
47 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
48 AHMED Mohsen 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
49 GINZBURG Adam 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
50 KIM Doha 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
51 HU Lucas 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
52 SOKOL Luke 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
53 YOO Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
54 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 17%
55 ROUBAILO Niels 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
56 KNOX James 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 21% 4%
57 WANG justin 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
58 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
59 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30% 4%
60 RODNEY Adam R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
61 WU Jonathan 100% 97% 78% 38% 8%
62 TSE Maxwell 100% 91% 50% 14% 2% -
63 LI Jesse 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6%
64 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
65 FRENCH Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
65 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
67 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
68 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
69 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
70 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
71 CANAUX Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
72 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 90% 54% 16% 2%
73 TOLKACHEV Igor 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
74 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
75 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
75 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 96% 73% 28% 5% -
75 KIM Dowan 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 7%
78 LIBSON Tazman 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
79 MATTIS George 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
80 ZHAO Zidong 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
81 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
82 STRONG Sean T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
83 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
84 PARKER Isaiah 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 6% -
85 LIU Yueri 100% 97% 80% 41% 9% 1% -
86 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
87 DODIN David 100% 100% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
88 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 17%
89 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 99% 91% 63% 22% 3%
90 PISKOVATSKOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
91 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
92 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 4%
93 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 25%
94 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
94 WANG Joey 100% 99% 89% 53% 14% 2% -
96 RIGGINS Joshua 100% 100% 93% 67% 24% 3%
97 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 93% 68% 28% 5%
98 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 99% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
99 LI Jade 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
100 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
101 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
101 SHARMA Sanil 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
103 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
104 LAM Alan 100% 84% 44% 12% 1%
105 BRODSKY Julian 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
106 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
107 ALI Farhan 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
108 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 14%
109 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
110 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
111 WU Alistair 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
112 DHAL Leon 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
112 MAISONET-GUZMAN Hector E. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 14%
114 KIM Ryujin 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
115 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22% 2%
116 DADE MAXIMUS 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
117 SINGH Ravin 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% - -
118 PETROLL Jared P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 15%
118 TIKHONOV Ilia 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
120 SHI Jian-An 100% 41% 7% < 1% - - -
121 JUNG Seungho 100% 86% 44% 12% 1% -
122 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
123 PETROSEWICZ Thomas (TJ) ". 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
124 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 62% 18% 3% - - -
125 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
126 THAYER Jake T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26% 2%
126 PECH Giulio 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
128 LEE Royce 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
129 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 9%
130 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
131 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 22%
132 ROSE-JONES Simon 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
133 AJNSZTAJN Alec J. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
134 LEE Stewart S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
135 CALDERON Diego 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
136 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 7%
137 BARG Jonathan 100% 99% 91% 59% 19% 2%
138 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 98% 79% 34% 5%
139 KIM Sterling S. 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
140 ROGAK Benjamin A. 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
141 SHELANSKI Isaac 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53% 9%
142 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
143 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% -
144 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
144 TANG William 100% 100% 95% 67% 28% 5% -
146 EAST William 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
147 KIM Alexander 100% 92% 55% 18% 3% - -
148 ZIEGLER John 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
149 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
150 NDJEKA Jesse 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
151 LACROIX Floryan 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
152 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 41%
153 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 11% 1%
154 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 6%
155 KANG Philip F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
156 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 10% 1%
158 SOULAIRE Tom 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
159 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
160 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
161 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
161 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
163 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
164 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
165 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
166 THAYER Bryce 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 2%
167 LIPTON Jason S. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% -
168 GATZA Logan 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
169 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
170 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 95% 69% 23% 3%
171 KIM Henry 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
172 GUO Austin S. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
172 MCDANIELS Jeremy 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 34% 5%
174 PIASIO Jack E. 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
175 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
176 SINAI Nathan G. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
176 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6% -
176 KIM Geonwoo 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
179 CHEN Leonardo 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
180 ZUBECK Dominic 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32% 5%
180 ZHANG Austin 100% 93% 42% 9% 1% - -
182 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% 1% -
182 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 51% 10% 1% - -
184 SU Samuel 100% 43% 7% < 1% - - -
184 JOHNSON Ryder 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
186 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 83% 30% 4% - - -
187 ZHANG William 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
188 WU Steven 100% 97% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
189 YU Austin 100% 100% 96% 73% 34% 7% 1%
190 XIA Dashan 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
191 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
192 VOO Lucas 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
193 GUINAN Joseph 100% 100% 96% 72% 29% 4%
194 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
195 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 91% 47% 10% 1%
196 GAO Victor 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% -
197 KIM Gene 100% 83% 44% 14% 2% -
198 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
199 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
199 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 6%
201 SMITH Justin C. 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
201 CAI Brian 100% 99% 89% 53% 17% 2%
203 ZHOU alex 100% 60% 10% 1% - -
204 KIM Hyunbin 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
205 MCLAREN Mason 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
206 LAI Boden 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
206 HERNDON Liam 100% 62% 18% 2% - -
208 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
209 KRAMER Jack P. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
209 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 99% 82% 37% 7% 1% -
211 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
212 HUANG Kenneth 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% - -
213 CLICK Tristan 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% -
214 CAUCHY Eliot 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 6% -
215 CORTRIGHT Caedmon 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
215 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 11% 1%
217 CHUNG Andrew 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
217 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
217 LESCURE Dimitri 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% - -
220 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 2%
221 LU Jacob 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
221 JEONG Arisu 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
224 HSU Joshua 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
224 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
226 CHEN Brian 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
226 MODANLOU Navid 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
228 SOOS Whitman 100% 34% 4% - - -
229 JACKSON James 100% 99% 87% 48% 11% 1% -
230 LIM Julien K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
230 YI Nathan 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% - -
232 WANG Marcus 100% 30% 4% - - -
234 CHEN Jayden 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
235 TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios 100% 60% 15% 2% - - -
236 WATERS Nathaniel 100% 59% 14% 1% - - -
237 LEE DoWon 100% 88% 41% 9% 1% - -
238 LUEDECKE Myles A. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
238 RITCHIE Phillip 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
238 HOWARD Jackson 100% 59% 17% 3% - - -
241 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
242 TIEMANN Landen 100% 81% 33% 6% 1% - -
243 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
244 LEE Aiden 100% 56% 14% 2% - -
245 DAVIDENKO Alexander 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
246 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 99% 90% 56% 18% 2%
246 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 100% 75% 32% 6% 1% -
248 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% -
248 SURESH NEERAJ 100% 82% 33% 6% 1% -
250 SIEDOW William 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% -
251 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
252 SANCHEZ Emanuel 100% 73% 29% 6% -
253 KIM Remington 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
254 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
254 NIXON Scott 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
256 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
256 ZHENG Jerry 100% 85% 44% 10% 1% -
256 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 33% 5% - - - -
259 KIM Nathan 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
260 LIU Yikun 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
261 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 85% 42% 10% 1% -
262 VINOTH Aaron 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
263 SAYLOR Harrison G. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
263 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
265 SMITH Troy H. 100% 89% 51% 17% 3% - -
266 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% 1% -
267 OSBORN Hunter 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
268 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
268 DEMPSEY Connor 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
268 MUENKE Magnus 100% 83% 41% 11% 2% - -
272 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 98% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
273 NGO-D'ANDRE Nicolas 100% 87% 48% 15% 3% - -
274 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
275 SPRINGER Michael 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
276 WANG Devin 100% 54% 12% 1% - - -
277 ALI Adam 100% 73% 24% 4% - - -
278 WEBB Jacob T. 100% 91% 57% 20% 4% - -
279 SHEPARD Trevor S. 100% 97% 69% 26% 5% -
280 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 83% 42% 11% 2% - -
281 KOEPPEL Levi E. 100% 86% 32% 5% - -
282 GUO Woody 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
283 WELDON Benjamin 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
284 KIM Jayden 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
285 DAN Rex 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
285 HERDMAN Julian 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
287 SINGLETON Aman 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
287 CHEN Ryan 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
289 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 75% 26% 4% - - -
290 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 99% 87% 48% 13% 1%
291 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 26%
291 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% -
293 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
294 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 93% 61% 22% 4% - -
295 ONG Jee Ken 100% 72% 29% 6% - -
296 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 58% 9% - - -
297 CARDENAS Lucas 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
298 RONG Gordon 100% 38% 6% - - -
299 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
300 JENNINGS Adin 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
301 YAO Shun 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
302 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 48% 9% 1% - -
303 HELMY Richard 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
304 YANG Julian 100% 20% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.