Raleigh SJCC & Division II North American Cup

Junior Men's Épée

Friday, June 2, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Raleigh Convention Center - Raleigh, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIN Owen - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
2 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
3 DENNIS Ethan - 4% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
3 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
5 LEE Samuel Y. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
6 KOKENGE Reid - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
7 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 26%
8 STRAUSS Luke - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
9 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
10 GAO Daniel - - 2% 12% 33% 40% 13%
11 YAO Geoffrey B. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
12 CLICK Aiden - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 32%
13 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
14 LEE Seungwon - 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8%
15 JEYOON Ryan S. - - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
16 O'DONNELL Benjamin 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
17 MAZUR Daniil - - - - 3% 24% 73%
18 CHOI Mason - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
19 HEADRICK Lance - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
20 ZHANG Caden - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
21 CARRIER Gabriel A. - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
22 KIM Byung - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
23 PARK Frederick - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
24 CHAWLA Armaan - - 3% 17% 39% 33% 8%
25 KIM Benjamin I. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 11%
26 CHEN Eric - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
27 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 2% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
28 IARIKOV Nicholas - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
29 ZHAO Corey - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 12%
30 SAVORETTI Francesco - 3% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
31 MEGGERS Davin 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
32 WU Byron - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
33 KHANNA Nikhil - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
34 WOLFE Alex - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
35 NIKOLOV Peter - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
36 LIOZNYANSKY Simon - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
36 ROMANOV Ethan 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
38 SHCHUR Landon - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
39 DESTEFANO Julius - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 22%
40 RHYU Kozmo - - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
40 KIM Taeho 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
42 PARK Nicholas 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
43 RICHARDS Jackson D. - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
44 JIN Nicholas - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
45 LIN Kyran - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 5%
46 GAO Chaney C. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
47 MAO Benjamin - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
48 TREBON Hayden - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
49 BUI Henry 6% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
50 KOYFMAN Benjamin 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
51 GOHEL Dayus T. - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
52 PRIHODKO Max - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
53 MURPHY Thomas P. - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
54 KUMAR Aidan - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
55 WANG Aidan 2% 17% 37% 30% 12% 2% -
56 HILBERT Gabriel E. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
56 LI Benjamin - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
58 LIN Harrison 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
59 ALI Farhan 10% 38% 36% 14% 2% - -
60 BHATNAGAR Ayan - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
60 EVERS Gabriel 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
62 SPINA Joseph B. 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
63 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
64 SNYDER Ari 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
65 DAO Matthew M. - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
66 MACARTY Jordan T. - - 3% 12% 31% 37% 17%
67 WU Jonathan - - 1% 12% 37% 38% 12%
68 HE Lawrence - - 1% 8% 27% 43% 21%
69 HE Zhiheng 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 6% 1%
70 MUGA Aiden 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
71 LAI Aedin - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
72 TIYA BIAYA K. - 5% 20% 35% 29% 9% 1%
73 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
74 CHEN Brian - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
75 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
76 KIM Nathan - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6%
77 ZHANG Andy 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
78 MODULLA Yathin R. 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
79 HU Robert J. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
79 MEN Junda 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
81 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
82 DODIN David - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
83 ZHOU Stanley Q. - 2% 11% 29% 37% 20% 2%
84 SCHARF Ryan 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
85 SHA Michael - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
86 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 3% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2%
87 SAVORETTI Pietro 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
88 SINGH Aryaman 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
89 ARAVIND Athreya 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
90 MING Nathan 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
91 HENSAL Nicolas A. - - - 3% 17% 41% 37%
92 MIAO KUNQI 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
93 KIM Dylan J. - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
94 LAM Alan 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
95 JORDAN Anton - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
95 BERNARD Jack B. 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
97 ROLLO Emmett H. 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
98 CLICK Tristan 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
99 REPIC Oliver 12% 38% 37% 12% 1% - -
100 CHOI Kaiden I. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
101 KUO Garrett 6% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
102 ZIEGLER John 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
103 WALLACE James 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
104 YANG Boyan - 3% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
105 SVERDLOV Seth 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
106 KWOUN Miles S. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
107 BARG Jonathan 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
107 MCADOO Declan 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
109 KROPP Jack - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
110 SAKO Ayrton J. 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
111 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
112 FU Leon - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
113 CHENH Justin 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
114 STEPHENS Corbin 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
115 LAI Boden 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
116 STELTENKAMP Neal 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
117 MITEV Alexander 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
118 WANG zhixing (Daniel) - 3% 18% 40% 30% 8% 1%
119 PRAKASH Hari 13% 39% 36% 10% 1% - -
120 GLENNON Sebastian J. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
121 PAHLAVI Kamran 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
122 LEE Damien 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
123 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
124 DAO Alexander 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
125 RACHEL Dylan 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
126 LEONE III Charles D. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
127 SO Lorenzo 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
128 KIM Ian 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
129 CHEN Jun Ho 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
130 WANG Clayton 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
131 DURKIN Tristan E. 8% 30% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
132 PAN Tristan 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
133 SINGH Ravin 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
134 LOISEAU Eliott 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
135 ARMSTRONG TyLee 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
136 TIKHONOV Iliya 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
137 BUERGISSER Kai 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
138 LEE JoonWon 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
139 VACCARO Dominick J. 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
140 SOKOL Luke 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
141 EMMERT JP 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
142 CHIN Dylan A. 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
143 KRISHNAN Skanda 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
144 TIKHONOV Daniel 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
145 SLOUGH Sean 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
146 HU Anton 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
147 WONG King-Yee 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
148 DAN Rex 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
149 BANNEN Nicholas 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
149 ZHANG Roland 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
151 FANG Hanning 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
152 TATE William Isom 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
153 AYOTTE James 35% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
153 LEE DoWon 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
155 BEAVER Aaron 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
156 KIM Joshua 66% 29% 5% - - - -
157 MCDANIEL Eamon 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
158 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
159 HE Lingyun Matthew 32% 45% 20% 3% - - -
160 ROSS Connor 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.