Raleigh SJCC & Division II North American Cup

Junior Men's Épée

Friday, June 2, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Raleigh Convention Center - Raleigh, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
2 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
3 DENNIS Ethan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
3 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
5 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
6 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
7 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 26%
8 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
9 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
10 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13%
11 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
12 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
13 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
14 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
15 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
16 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
17 MAZUR Daniil 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
18 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 10%
19 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
20 ZHANG Caden 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
21 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
22 KIM Byung 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
23 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 15%
24 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
25 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
26 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
27 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
28 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
29 ZHAO Corey 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
30 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
31 MEGGERS Davin 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
32 WU Byron 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
33 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
34 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
35 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
36 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
36 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
38 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
39 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
40 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
40 KIM Taeho 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
42 PARK Nicholas 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
43 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
44 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
45 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
46 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
47 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
48 TREBON Hayden 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
49 BUI Henry 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
50 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
51 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
52 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
53 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
54 KUMAR Aidan 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
55 WANG Aidan 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
56 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
56 LI Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
58 LIN Harrison 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
59 ALI Farhan 100% 90% 52% 16% 3% - -
60 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
60 EVERS Gabriel 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
62 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
63 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
64 SNYDER Ari 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
65 DAO Matthew M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
66 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
67 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 12%
68 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
69 HE Zhiheng 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
70 MUGA Aiden 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
71 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 3%
72 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
73 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
74 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
75 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
76 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
77 ZHANG Andy 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
78 MODULLA Yathin R. 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
79 HU Robert J. 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
79 MEN Junda 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
81 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
82 DODIN David 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
83 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 2%
84 SCHARF Ryan 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
85 SHA Michael 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
86 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
87 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
88 SINGH Aryaman 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
89 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
90 MING Nathan 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
91 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
92 MIAO KUNQI 100% 96% 76% 41% 14% 2% -
93 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
94 LAM Alan 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
95 JORDAN Anton 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 28% 5%
95 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
97 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
98 CLICK Tristan 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
99 REPIC Oliver 100% 88% 50% 13% 1% - -
100 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
101 KUO Garrett 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
102 ZIEGLER John 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
103 WALLACE James 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
104 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
105 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
106 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
107 BARG Jonathan 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
107 MCADOO Declan 100% 98% 83% 47% 16% 3% -
109 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
110 SAKO Ayrton J. 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
111 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
112 FU Leon 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
113 CHENH Justin 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
114 STEPHENS Corbin 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
115 LAI Boden 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
116 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
117 MITEV Alexander 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
118 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 9% 1%
119 PRAKASH Hari 100% 87% 47% 12% 1% - -
120 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
121 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
122 LEE Damien 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
123 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
124 DAO Alexander 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
125 RACHEL Dylan 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
126 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
127 SO Lorenzo 100% 95% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
128 KIM Ian 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
129 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
130 WANG Clayton 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
131 DURKIN Tristan E. 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
132 PAN Tristan 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 4% -
133 SINGH Ravin 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
134 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
135 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
136 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
137 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
138 LEE JoonWon 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
139 VACCARO Dominick J. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
140 SOKOL Luke 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
141 EMMERT JP 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
142 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
143 KRISHNAN Skanda 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
144 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
145 SLOUGH Sean 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% 1%
146 HU Anton 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
147 WONG King-Yee 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
148 DAN Rex 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1% -
149 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% - -
149 ZHANG Roland 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
151 FANG Hanning 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
152 TATE William Isom 100% 64% 23% 5% - - -
153 AYOTTE James 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
153 LEE DoWon 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
155 BEAVER Aaron 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
156 KIM Joshua 100% 34% 5% - - - -
157 MCDANIEL Eamon 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
158 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
159 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 68% 23% 3% - - -
160 ROSS Connor 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.