October NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Monday, November 1, 2021 at 8:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 LANGE Henry C. - - - - - 2% 7% 16% 25% 25% 16% 6% 1%
2 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. - - - - - - 1% 4% 13% 25% 30% 20% 6%
3 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) - - - - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 26% 16% 6% 1%
3 IYOKI Kent - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
5 MCDOWALD Curtis E. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
6 ELASHRY Zeyad A. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
7 KUSHNERIK Ethan 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
8 LAWSON Henry A. - - - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 29% 24% 11% 2%
9 FAFARD Fynn - - - - - 1% 3% 8% 17% 26% 26% 15% 4%
10 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
11 WHITE Sean - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
12 ELSAYED Ahmed - - - - - 2% 8% 17% 25% 25% 16% 6% 1%
13 SHELANSKI Isaac - - - 1% 5% 14% 23% 27% 19% 8% 2% -
14 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. - - - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 26% 18% 7% 1%
15 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
16 RODNEY Adam R. - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 23%
17 EWART Jr. Stephen P. - - 3% 13% 32% 38% 15%
18 HANSEN Jonas B. - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
19 RAMIREZ Yeisser - 2% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
20 SZAPARY Tristan B. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
21 WEISS Miles J. - 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 4%
22 HADDAD Justin R. - - - - 1% 4% 11% 22% 27% 22% 10% 2%
23 MARAKOV Allen B. 2% 10% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
24 CIPRIANI Andrea - - - 2% 6% 15% 23% 24% 18% 9% 3% - -
25 ZAGORUIKO Ivan - - - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 28% 23% 11% 2%
26 RODNEY Maxwell 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
27 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
28 CLICK Aiden - 3% 11% 21% 25% 21% 12% 5% 1% - - - -
29 MOORE Shomari A. - - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 26% 21% 10% 3% -
30 SMOAK Omari Z. 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
31 CANDELA Nicholas - - - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 25% 15% 5% 1%
32 ZAFFT Maximo S. - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 25% 17% 7% 2% - -
33 YOO Justin - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
34 ISAAC Joseph - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
35 MA Ark - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
36 JONES Simon A. 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
37 HILBERT Xavier - - - 1% 6% 14% 22% 25% 19% 10% 3% 1% -
38 GORNOVSKY David J. - - - - - 2% 6% 15% 26% 28% 18% 5%
39 LIVERANT Skyler J. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
40 KAULL James T. - 1% 7% 20% 33% 29% 10%
41 MACZIK Adam W. - - 2% 8% 17% 24% 23% 15% 7% 2% - -
42 GRIFFITHS Ryan - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
43 KRAVIT Connor B. - - 3% 9% 17% 24% 23% 15% 7% 2% - - -
44 CANAUX Gabriel A. - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
45 GALLAGHER PELLETIER Samuel H. - - - - - 2% 6% 14% 24% 27% 19% 8% 1%
45 XU Timothy (Tingwei) - - - - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 26% 15% 5% 1%
47 JEONG Connor - - - 2% 6% 14% 22% 25% 19% 9% 3% 1% -
48 SPIER Julian H. - 1% 3% 10% 19% 25% 22% 14% 6% 1% - -
49 FRENCH Dylan - - - 2% 6% 14% 22% 24% 18% 9% 3% 1% -
50 NOLLNER Dylan - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
50 SHIV Rishi 1% 7% 21% 29% 24% 13% 4% 1% - - - -
52 SANDERS Ian W. - - - - 2% 6% 14% 23% 26% 19% 9% 2% -
53 VAYSBUKH Konstantin - 2% 9% 19% 26% 23% 14% 5% 1% - - - -
54 LEE Ryan 1% 10% 25% 33% 22% 8% 1%
55 ZHANG Joshua - - - 1% 4% 10% 19% 24% 22% 13% 5% 1% -
56 RHYU Kozmo - - 2% 7% 17% 25% 24% 16% 7% 2% - - -
57 NORTH Gary S. 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 4% -
58 DOLGONOS Mark - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 26% 21% 11% 4% 1% -
59 LAWSON Nicholas W. - - - - - 1% 3% 9% 20% 28% 25% 12% 3%
60 MUNLIN Donovan 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
61 JIN Owen - 3% 12% 25% 28% 20% 9% 3% - - - -
62 POPOVICI Michael A. - - 1% 5% 14% 24% 26% 18% 8% 2% - - -
63 TRAGER Matthew G. - - - - 1% 5% 12% 22% 27% 21% 9% 2% -
64 KAMBESELES Peter G. - - 1% 6% 16% 24% 25% 17% 7% 2% - -
65 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. - - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 26% 18% 8% 2% -
66 VERMEULE Spencer 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
67 DUNCAN Corwin - - - - 1% 4% 10% 19% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1%
68 KOBI Samuel 3% 16% 29% 28% 16% 6% 1% < 1% - - - - -
69 LEE Daniel Y. - 3% 10% 20% 26% 22% 13% 5% 1% - - - -
70 JOVANOVIC Jovan - - - - 1% 4% 10% 19% 25% 23% 13% 4% 1%
71 KRAFT Dennis A. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 23% 6%
72 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
73 LONCAR Luka E. - 1% 7% 17% 26% 25% 15% 7% 2% - - - -
74 DEGUCHI Nicolas - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 25% 18% 8% 2% - -
75 HAN Matthew - - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 26% 22% 12% 4% 1% -
76 SMITH Justin C. - 1% 6% 15% 23% 24% 18% 9% 3% 1% - - -
76 SLESS Alexander Y. - - - 1% 5% 14% 24% 26% 18% 8% 2% - -
78 VAYSBERG Nathan - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 25% 21% 12% 4% 1% -
79 TAFOYA Devin D. - - - - 1% 4% 12% 21% 26% 21% 11% 3% -
80 CHONG christopher - 3% 12% 23% 27% 21% 10% 3% 1% - - -
81 LARSEN Samuel F. - - - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 28% 22% 10% 2%
82 RUSSANOV Dennis - - 3% 8% 17% 24% 23% 15% 7% 2% - - -
83 BISSINGER Michael P. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
84 TABLEMAN Doug S. - 1% 3% 9% 18% 24% 22% 14% 7% 2% - - -
85 LIU Alexander 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
86 SHUGART Henry R. - - 1% 3% 10% 19% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1% - -
87 WIEDER Benjamin (Ben) J. - 1% 4% 13% 22% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% - - -
88 BEKKER Mitchel - 1% 3% 9% 18% 24% 22% 14% 6% 2% - - -
89 CHEN Eric 3% 14% 27% 28% 18% 8% 2% - - - - - -
90 KIMATIAN Harrison J. - - - 1% 3% 8% 17% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% -
91 SLAVINSKIY Alan - - 2% 6% 14% 22% 24% 18% 9% 3% 1% - -
92 TOWNSEND Avery S. - - - 1% 4% 10% 19% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1% -
93 CAI Brian - 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 16% 8% 3% 1% - - -
93 YOUNG Peyton E. - 3% 11% 21% 25% 21% 12% 5% 1% - - - -
95 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. - - 2% 6% 14% 22% 23% 18% 10% 4% 1% - -
95 GIBSON Nowell L. - 1% 4% 11% 21% 25% 21% 12% 5% 1% - - -
97 SMITH Nicholas S. 1% 4% 13% 23% 26% 19% 10% 3% 1% - - -
98 EKE Frank 2% 11% 22% 27% 21% 11% 4% 1% - - - - -
99 ZHANG Nicholas Z. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
100 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
101 GOHEL Dayus T. 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3%
102 KARIUCHENKO Maksym - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 12%
103 ZHU Max 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
104 WALSH Kevin 1% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
105 CARPENTER Liam - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
106 PRASAD Ankith - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
107 KADYSZEWSKI Mateo - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
108 SNYDER IV William B. - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
109 BENACK Steven M. - - 3% 15% 37% 36% 9%
110 ROBINSON Riley 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
111 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6%
112 SHARMA Sanil 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
112 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 2%
114 SHERWOOD Dominic 6% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
115 YERGLER Jonathan A. - - 2% 11% 34% 40% 13%
116 HOLTZ Donovan K. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
117 SMITH Dwight - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
118 JEON Alexander E. - 1% 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
119 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
120 KARAUSKY Joshua C. 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
121 LI Jesse - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 8%
122 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
123 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 2% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
124 MISHIMA Torata 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
125 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 2% 10% 25% 32% 23% 8% 1%
126 LEE Seungwon 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
127 SILVERS Noah E. - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
128 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
129 OJEDA Daniel 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
130 GOLDFINE Ian J. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
131 SHAH S Ayush - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
132 CHIEN Brandon 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
133 PISKOVATSKOV Anton - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
134 GRAY Sterling B. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
135 MILLER Jeffrey E. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
136 SWANSON Lars M. 6% 21% 33% 26% 11% 3% -
137 CHAWLA Armaan 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
138 SHEN Max 17% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
139 IMREK Samuel A. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
140 WANG DEVON 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
141 JEYOON Ryan S. 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
142 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 4% 18% 31% 29% 14% 4% -
143 KANG Philip F. 4% 21% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
144 LIEF Isaac R. 5% 23% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
145 KIM William M. 7% 24% 33% 24% 10% 2% -
146 MOSES Alexander 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
146 MUGA Boris 3% 16% 30% 30% 16% 4% 1%
148 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% 1%
149 KUMAR Anitya 1% 9% 24% 32% 24% 9% 1%
150 SHIFRON Daniel A. - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
151 GANA Jr Jorge M. 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
152 JOHNSTON Bradley 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
153 JIN Nicholas 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
154 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
155 ROSTAL Scott E. 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
156 STUSNICK Hunter - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
157 BRUNET Nathan - 4% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
158 MALYSZ Anthony J. - 1% 8% 24% 37% 24% 5%
159 WOZNIAK Sebastian 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
160 SILVER Cameron 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
161 CARRIER Gabriel A. 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
162 SIROKY Michael 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
163 YAN yuheng 3% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
164 CUMMINGS Atticus C. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 11% 2%
165 IVAKIMOV Vasil 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
166 XU Zitong (Evan) - 2% 12% 32% 37% 15% 2%
167 CHIN Ethan 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
168 GRAYSON Shane W. 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
169 GAO Daniel 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
170 WOZNIAK David 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
171 THAYER Jake T. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
172 SUVOROV Yuly 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
173 MELCHER Jack H. 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
174 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
175 LEONE III Charles D. 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
176 PARK Ian C. 4% 23% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
177 GORDON Reis J. 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
178 LIN Kyran 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
178 GYURE Brayden H. - 2% 15% 35% 35% 12% 1%
180 WHITE Khristopher E. - - 5% 20% 38% 29% 7%
180 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
182 BORATIN Daniel I. 6% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
183 WU Joseph 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 5%
184 GUO Austin S. 2% 11% 28% 34% 21% 5%
185 NOWAK Jakub P. 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
186 THAYER Bryce 6% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
187 FULLER George K. 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
188 CHIEN Zachary M. 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
189 JIN daniel 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% -
190 DECKARD Blake B. - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
191 LIU Kyle - 6% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
192 LEE Shwan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
193 YUMIACO Nolan C. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
194 DIXON Thomas 11% 33% 35% 16% 4% - -
195 DAO Matthew M. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 4%
196 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
197 BUYANOV Nikita V. 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
197 GASPAROVICH IV George M. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
199 MCKEEVER Luca 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% - -
200 KROPP Jack 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
201 SHAH Maximilian A. 2% 20% 43% 28% 7% 1% -
202 GREGORY Abram 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
203 BASSINDER Jake 32% 45% 19% 3% - - -
204 NORBUTAS Jackson S. - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
205 MANDOKI Sandor I. 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
206 KIM Dylan J. 36% 41% 18% 4% 1% - -
206 SPRINGER Michael 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
208 HRAPSKY Ryan J. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
209 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 6% 1%
209 LIM Timothy D. 3% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
211 KILUK Andrew 10% 33% 37% 16% 3% - -
212 TODREAS Simon 19% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
213 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 14% 34% 32% 15% 3% -
214 BUHEIS Alexander I. 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
215 JAIN Sarthak 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
216 VILLALOBOS Felipe 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% -
217 KIM Ethan J. 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 1%
218 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
219 CRASWELL Andrew J. 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
220 HENSAL Nicolas A. 2% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
221 POPOVICI Maximilian P. 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
222 INSLER Ethan C. 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
223 KHANNA Nikhil 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
224 DIVERIS Joseph 44% 42% 13% 2% - - -
225 SWANSON Dave 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
226 ZHANG Alec 9% 42% 36% 11% 2% - -
226 SAITOC Tudor - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4%
228 MATTIS George 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
228 ZHUANG William 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
230 KIM Benjamin I. 6% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
230 GUI Runlin 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
230 GUINAN Joseph - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
233 MORSE Tyler 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
234 PRIHODKO Max 40% 41% 15% 3% - - -
234 HE Lawrence 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
236 KIM Sterling S. 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
237 DENNIS Ethan 42% 41% 15% 3% - - -
238 CHOI Isaac 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
239 YAO Geoffrey B. 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
240 PHUKAN Rohin 42% 41% 14% 2% - - -
241 WANG William M. 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 1%
242 PAHLAVI Kamran 34% 41% 19% 5% 1% - -
243 TUCKER Brad W. < 1% 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
243 BUTLER Joseph D. 21% 43% 27% 8% 1% - -
245 WONG Daniel 14% 36% 33% 13% 2% - -
246 PARK Brian 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
247 ZHOU Stanley Q. 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
248 KUMAR Aidan 29% 43% 22% 5% - - -
249 STENCEL Andrew E. 36% 42% 18% 4% - -
250 BUTTZ John-Henry 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
251 TIERNEY Luke 57% 34% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.