October NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Monday, November 1, 2021 at 8:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 LANGE Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 90% 74% 49% 23% 7% 1%
2 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 81% 56% 26% 6%
3 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 74% 48% 22% 6% 1%
3 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
5 MCDOWALD Curtis E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
6 ELASHRY Zeyad A. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%
7 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
8 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 66% 37% 13% 2%
9 FAFARD Fynn 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 71% 45% 19% 4%
10 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 12%
11 WHITE Sean 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
12 ELSAYED Ahmed 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 90% 73% 48% 23% 7% 1%
13 SHELANSKI Isaac 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 80% 56% 30% 10% 2% -
14 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 53% 27% 9% 1%
15 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
16 RODNEY Adam R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
17 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 15%
18 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
19 RAMIREZ Yeisser 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 34% 8%
20 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 12%
21 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
22 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 62% 34% 12% 2%
23 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 10% 1%
24 CIPRIANI Andrea 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 54% 29% 12% 3% 1% -
25 ZAGORUIKO Ivan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 65% 36% 13% 2%
26 RODNEY Maxwell 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
27 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
28 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 96% 86% 65% 40% 19% 7% 2% - - - -
29 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 60% 34% 13% 3% -
30 SMOAK Omari Z. 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
31 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 73% 47% 21% 6% 1%
32 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 52% 27% 10% 2% - -
33 YOO Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
34 ISAAC Joseph 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 7%
35 MA Ark 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 8%
36 JONES Simon A. 100% 99% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
37 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 57% 32% 13% 4% 1% -
38 GORNOVSKY David J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 51% 22% 5%
39 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
40 KAULL James T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 10%
41 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 72% 47% 24% 9% 2% - -
42 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
43 KRAVIT Connor B. 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 71% 47% 24% 9% 3% - - -
44 CANAUX Gabriel A. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
45 GALLAGHER PELLETIER Samuel H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 55% 28% 9% 1%
45 XU Timothy (Tingwei) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 73% 47% 21% 6% 1%
47 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 79% 56% 32% 13% 4% 1% -
48 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 68% 43% 21% 7% 2% - -
49 FRENCH Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 77% 55% 31% 13% 4% 1% -
50 NOLLNER Dylan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
50 SHIV Rishi 100% 99% 92% 71% 42% 18% 5% 1% - - - -
52 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 56% 30% 11% 2% -
53 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 98% 89% 70% 44% 21% 7% 2% - - - -
54 LEE Ryan 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
55 ZHANG Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 65% 41% 19% 6% 1% -
56 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 49% 25% 9% 2% - - -
57 NORTH Gary S. 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
58 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 63% 37% 16% 4% 1% -
59 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 68% 39% 15% 3%
60 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 98% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
61 JIN Owen 100% 100% 97% 85% 60% 32% 12% 3% 1% - - -
62 POPOVICI Michael A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 80% 55% 29% 11% 3% - - -
63 TRAGER Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 59% 32% 12% 2% -
64 KAMBESELES Peter G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 52% 27% 10% 2% - -
65 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 53% 27% 9% 2% -
66 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 9% 1%
67 DUNCAN Corwin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 66% 41% 19% 6% 1%
68 KOBI Samuel 100% 97% 81% 52% 24% 8% 2% < 1% - - - - -
69 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 97% 87% 67% 41% 19% 7% 2% - - - -
70 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 66% 41% 18% 5% 1%
71 KRAFT Dennis A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
72 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
73 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 75% 49% 24% 9% 2% - - - -
74 DEGUCHI Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 54% 28% 11% 3% - -
75 HAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 66% 40% 18% 5% 1% -
76 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 55% 31% 13% 4% 1% - - -
76 SLESS Alexander Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 79% 55% 29% 11% 3% - -
78 VAYSBERG Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 63% 38% 17% 5% 1% -
79 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 83% 61% 35% 14% 4% -
80 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 97% 85% 62% 35% 15% 4% 1% - - -
81 LARSEN Samuel F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 61% 33% 12% 2%
82 RUSSANOV Dennis 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 72% 48% 25% 10% 3% 1% - -
83 BISSINGER Michael P. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 9% 1%
84 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 69% 45% 23% 9% 3% 1% - -
85 LIU Alexander 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
86 SHUGART Henry R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 67% 43% 21% 7% 2% - -
87 WIEDER Benjamin (Ben) J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 60% 35% 16% 5% 1% - - -
88 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 69% 45% 23% 9% 2% - - -
89 CHEN Eric 100% 97% 83% 56% 28% 10% 3% 1% - - - - -
90 KIMATIAN Harrison J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 72% 48% 24% 8% 2% -
91 SLAVINSKIY Alan 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 56% 32% 14% 4% 1% - -
92 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 66% 41% 19% 6% 1% -
93 CAI Brian 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 51% 27% 11% 3% 1% - - -
93 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 96% 85% 64% 39% 18% 6% 1% - - - -
95 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 56% 32% 14% 5% 1% - -
95 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 64% 39% 18% 6% 1% - - -
97 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 99% 95% 82% 58% 33% 14% 4% 1% - - -
98 EKE Frank 100% 98% 87% 65% 37% 16% 5% 1% - - - - -
99 ZHANG Nicholas Z. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
100 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
101 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3%
102 KARIUCHENKO Maksym 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
103 ZHU Max 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
104 WALSH Kevin 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
105 CARPENTER Liam 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
106 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
107 KADYSZEWSKI Mateo 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
108 SNYDER IV William B. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
109 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 9%
110 ROBINSON Riley 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
111 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
112 SHARMA Sanil 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
112 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
114 SHERWOOD Dominic 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
115 YERGLER Jonathan A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
116 HOLTZ Donovan K. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
117 SMITH Dwight 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
118 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
119 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
120 KARAUSKY Joshua C. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
121 LI Jesse 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
122 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
123 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 98% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
124 MISHIMA Torata 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
125 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
126 LEE Seungwon 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
127 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
128 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2%
129 OJEDA Daniel 100% 99% 89% 64% 29% 6%
130 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
131 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
132 CHIEN Brandon 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
133 PISKOVATSKOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
134 GRAY Sterling B. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
135 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
136 SWANSON Lars M. 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
137 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
138 SHEN Max 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
139 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 96% 80% 51% 20% 3%
140 WANG DEVON 100% 87% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
141 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
142 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 96% 78% 47% 18% 4% -
143 KANG Philip F. 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
144 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
145 KIM William M. 100% 93% 69% 36% 12% 2% -
146 MOSES Alexander 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
146 MUGA Boris 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% 1%
148 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% 1%
149 KUMAR Anitya 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
150 SHIFRON Daniel A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
151 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4%
152 JOHNSTON Bradley 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
153 JIN Nicholas 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
154 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
155 ROSTAL Scott E. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
156 STUSNICK Hunter 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
157 BRUNET Nathan 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
158 MALYSZ Anthony J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 5%
159 WOZNIAK Sebastian 100% 94% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
160 SILVER Cameron 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
161 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
162 SIROKY Michael 100% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
163 YAN yuheng 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
164 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
165 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
166 XU Zitong (Evan) 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16% 2%
167 CHIN Ethan 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
168 GRAYSON Shane W. 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5% -
169 GAO Daniel 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
170 WOZNIAK David 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
171 THAYER Jake T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
172 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
173 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
174 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
175 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
176 PARK Ian C. 100% 96% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
177 GORDON Reis J. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
178 LIN Kyran 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
178 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13% 1%
180 WHITE Khristopher E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 7%
180 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
182 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
183 WU Joseph 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
184 GUO Austin S. 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
185 NOWAK Jakub P. 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
186 THAYER Bryce 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1%
187 FULLER George K. 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
188 CHIEN Zachary M. 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
189 JIN daniel 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% -
190 DECKARD Blake B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
191 LIU Kyle 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
192 LEE Shwan 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
193 YUMIACO Nolan C. 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
194 DIXON Thomas 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
195 DAO Matthew M. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 4%
196 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5% -
197 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3% -
197 GASPAROVICH IV George M. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
199 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
200 KROPP Jack 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
201 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 98% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
202 GREGORY Abram 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
203 BASSINDER Jake 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
204 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 35% 8%
205 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
206 KIM Dylan J. 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
206 SPRINGER Michael 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
208 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
209 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% 1%
209 LIM Timothy D. 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
211 KILUK Andrew 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -
212 TODREAS Simon 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
213 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% -
214 BUHEIS Alexander I. 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
215 JAIN Sarthak 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% -
216 VILLALOBOS Felipe 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% -
217 KIM Ethan J. 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1%
218 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% -
219 CRASWELL Andrew J. 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
220 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
221 POPOVICI Maximilian P. 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
222 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
223 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 89% 53% 19% 4% - -
224 DIVERIS Joseph 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
225 SWANSON Dave 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
226 ZHANG Alec 100% 91% 49% 13% 2% - -
226 SAITOC Tudor 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 4%
228 MATTIS George 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
228 ZHUANG William 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
230 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
230 GUI Runlin 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
230 GUINAN Joseph 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 20% 3%
233 MORSE Tyler 100% 94% 70% 37% 12% 2% -
234 PRIHODKO Max 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
234 HE Lawrence 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
236 KIM Sterling S. 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
237 DENNIS Ethan 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
238 CHOI Isaac 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
239 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
240 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
241 WANG William M. 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 11% 1%
242 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 66% 25% 6% 1% - -
243 TUCKER Brad W. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5%
243 BUTLER Joseph D. 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
245 WONG Daniel 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
246 PARK Brian 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
247 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
248 KUMAR Aidan 100% 71% 28% 5% - - -
249 STENCEL Andrew E. 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
250 BUTTZ John-Henry 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
251 TIERNEY Luke 100% 43% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.