USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I-A Men's Épée

Tuesday, July 5, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIN Owen - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
2 GYURE Brayden H. - 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
3 CHO Tyler H. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
3 SHAH Maximilian A. 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
5 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
6 KHAYAT Ziad N. - - - - 4% 27% 68%
7 INSLER Ethan C. - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
8 FULLER George K. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
9 JONES Simon A. - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
10 GOHEL Dayus T. - 1% 7% 23% 39% 26% 4%
11 KUMAR Aidan 8% 25% 33% 23% 9% 2% -
12 WU Joseph - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
13 HE Lawrence 1% 12% 36% 37% 12% 1%
14 GAO Daniel - 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
15 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 12%
16 WRIGHT Ezra B. - 2% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8%
17 LOISEAU Cedric - - - - 3% 28% 68%
18 FULLERTON Houston T. - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
19 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
20 MORSE Tyler 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 6%
21 ZHANG YuJian 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
22 MUNLIN Donovan - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
23 SMITH Nicholas S. - 1% 8% 25% 38% 23% 4%
24 WONG Daniel 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
25 SHETTY Surya 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
26 KIM Benjamin I. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
27 JAAFAR Omar 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% 1%
28 YUMIACO Nolan C. - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
29 NEAL John P. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
30 CARRIER Gabriel A. 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
31 LEVITSKY Jonathan 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
32 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
33 BLISS Atticus H. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
34 WU Byron 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
35 MELCHER Jack H. - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
36 GATZA Logan - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
37 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
38 THAYER Jake T. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
39 MOORE Jeremy S. - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
40 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - - 6% 26% 47% 21%
41 ZHANG Caden 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
42 CHIRASHNYA Adam 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
43 BINDAS Odinn A. 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
44 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
45 NORTH Alexander M. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
46 CAO Albert 2% 10% 27% 34% 22% 5%
47 PARKER Riley D. 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
48 CAI Brian - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
49 MICKO Fritz K. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
50 WONG Nicholas A. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
51 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 2% 11% 26% 32% 22% 8% 1%
52 MILLER Jeffrey E. - - 3% 19% 43% 34%
53 CHAWLA Armaan 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 4%
54 DIECK Logan O. 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
55 BENACK Steven M. - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
56 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
57 ZHANG William 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
58 SHEN Max 2% 14% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
59 LOWE-THORPE Tyler 4% 17% 31% 29% 14% 4% -
60 ULINICH Alexander 29% 45% 21% 4% - -
61 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
62 EKE Frank 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
63 YAO Geoffrey B. 1% 11% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
64 ZHU Max - 4% 18% 37% 33% 9%
65 MISHIMA Torata - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
66 BORODITSKY Ethan - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
67 SHAH S Ayush - - 1% 5% 27% 54% 13%
68 TSANG Gary - - 1% 7% 23% 40% 29%
69 GAO Chaney C. 12% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
70 KROPP Jack - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 10%
71 ALVAREZ Ian T. 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
72 BOYCE Samuel H. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
73 STRAUSS Luke 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
74 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 24%
75 KOKENGE Reid - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
76 HERMANSON David B. 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
77 TUMIBAY Noah C. 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
78 ZHAO Luhan 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
78 HIGGINS Branford 1% 10% 28% 33% 21% 6% 1%
80 WANG Tristan 4% 22% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
81 ELYADERANI Paxon 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
82 RHYU Kozmo - - 2% 10% 28% 38% 20%
83 CHU Allan 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
84 NOWAK Jakub P. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
85 WU Jonathan 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3%
86 PARK Elliot 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
87 LEONE III Charles D. 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
88 WU Marcus 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
89 VELINOV Gabriel 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
90 YAO Shun 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
91 SUN Jason 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
92 SUVOROV Yuly - 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
92 SODERBERG Alex Z. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 14%
92 DANIEL Camron 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
95 SONN Rohan 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
96 DISIMONE David Z. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
97 WANG Owen 7% 30% 37% 20% 6% 1% -
98 AHMED saheer 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
99 WATT Darren 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
100 JACKSON James 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 6% 1%
101 ZUCKER Noah L. - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
102 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. - 3% 14% 31% 34% 17% 2%
103 DEKERMANJI Christopher 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
104 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
105 CHRISTENSEN Parker 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
106 ALFAIATE Lucas 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
107 ZHANG Alec 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
108 STENCEL Andrew E. 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 7%
109 PARK Frederick 3% 14% 31% 32% 17% 3%
110 LAURON Sean M. - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
111 LO Jake 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
112 KIM Dylan J. 2% 14% 38% 35% 10% 1%
113 O'CONNOR Riley 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
114 ALLEN Graham - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
115 WOLFE Alex 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 1%
116 TUCKER Brad W. - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
117 OH Matthew M. 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
118 SCHULZE Ethan 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
119 KOZAKIEWICZ Filip 7% 25% 34% 23% 9% 2% -
120 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
121 BLYTH Jourdain L. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
122 ZHOU Stanley Q. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
123 LIU Andrew 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
124 MA Victor 4% 18% 31% 29% 14% 4% -
125 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
126 DENNIS Ethan 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
127 DIXON Thomas 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
128 ROLLO Emmett H. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
129 WONG KEVIN 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
130 KORSCHUN Daniel 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 1%
131 PARK Nicholas 19% 37% 30% 12% 2% -
132 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - 1% 7% 20% 33% 28% 10%
133 JAIN Sarthak - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
134 GUI Runlin 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
135 CHOI Isaac - 4% 14% 28% 31% 18% 4%
136 MAHESH Tarun 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
137 PRIHODKO Max 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3% -
138 SPINA Joseph B. 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
139 SARKAR agniv 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
140 LUEDECKE Myles A. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
141 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
142 CAO Brad 7% 26% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
143 SINHA Zaan 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
144 WIECHMANN Colin 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
145 GREGORY Abram 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
146 ZHUANG William 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
147 LOESER Jacob 31% 43% 21% 5% - -
148 PHAM Sawyer T. 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
149 ZHOU Gavin 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
150 DUAN eric 16% 44% 31% 8% 1% -
151 KILUK Andrew 3% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
152 HUSSAIN Kamran 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
153 JONES Tyler 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
154 ZHENG Haoran 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
155 JOHNSTON Conner S. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
155 KIM Nathan 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
157 ALGER Caleb (CJ) J. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
158 PARK Brian 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1% -
159 PAHLAVI Kamran 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
160 BHATNAGAR Nishay V. - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
161 BURLING Trenor 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
162 LAI Aedin 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
163 SHETTY RIHAN 13% 31% 32% 17% 5% 1% -
164 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 54% 35% 9% 1% - - -
165 STOCK Jordan 13% 37% 34% 14% 2% -
166 ALTMAN Jeff H. 1% 10% 26% 35% 22% 6%
167 KWOUN Miles S. 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
168 MING Nathan 45% 42% 12% 1% - -
169 SIMPSON Patrick 6% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
170 SPRINGER Michael 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
171 KING Cameron 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1% -
172 NESTEROV Andrew E. 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.