USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I-A Men's Épée

Tuesday, July 5, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIN Owen 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
2 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
3 CHO Tyler H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 8%
3 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 2%
5 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
6 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
7 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
8 FULLER George K. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
9 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
10 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 4%
11 KUMAR Aidan 100% 92% 67% 34% 11% 2% -
12 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
13 HE Lawrence 100% 99% 87% 51% 13% 1%
14 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
15 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
16 WRIGHT Ezra B. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
17 LOISEAU Cedric 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 68%
18 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
19 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 12%
20 MORSE Tyler 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6%
21 ZHANG YuJian 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
22 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
23 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 27% 4%
24 WONG Daniel 100% 99% 92% 71% 40% 13% 2%
25 SHETTY Surya 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
26 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
27 JAAFAR Omar 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
28 YUMIACO Nolan C. 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
29 NEAL John P. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
30 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
31 LEVITSKY Jonathan 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
32 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
33 BLISS Atticus H. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
34 WU Byron 100% 96% 77% 39% 11% 1%
35 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
36 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
37 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
38 THAYER Jake T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
39 MOORE Jeremy S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
40 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 21%
41 ZHANG Caden 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
42 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3%
43 BINDAS Odinn A. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
44 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
45 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
46 CAO Albert 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
47 PARKER Riley D. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
48 CAI Brian 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
49 MICKO Fritz K. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
50 WONG Nicholas A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
51 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 9% 1%
52 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
53 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%
54 DIECK Logan O. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
55 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
56 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
57 ZHANG William 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 15% 2%
58 SHEN Max 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
59 LOWE-THORPE Tyler 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
60 ULINICH Alexander 100% 71% 25% 4% - -
61 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
62 EKE Frank 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 10% 1%
63 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 99% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
64 ZHU Max 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
65 MISHIMA Torata 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
66 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
67 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 13%
68 TSANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29%
69 GAO Chaney C. 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
70 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
71 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
72 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
73 STRAUSS Luke 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 1%
74 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 24%
75 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 3%
76 HERMANSON David B. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
77 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 2% -
78 ZHAO Luhan 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
78 HIGGINS Branford 100% 99% 89% 61% 28% 7% 1%
80 WANG Tristan 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
81 ELYADERANI Paxon 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
82 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
83 CHU Allan 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
84 NOWAK Jakub P. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
85 WU Jonathan 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 3%
86 PARK Elliot 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
87 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
88 WU Marcus 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
89 VELINOV Gabriel 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2%
90 YAO Shun 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
91 SUN Jason 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
92 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
92 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14%
92 DANIEL Camron 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
95 SONN Rohan 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
96 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
97 WANG Owen 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
98 AHMED saheer 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
99 WATT Darren 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
100 JACKSON James 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
101 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
102 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 18% 2%
103 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1% -
104 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
105 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
106 ALFAIATE Lucas 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1%
107 ZHANG Alec 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
108 STENCEL Andrew E. 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
109 PARK Frederick 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
110 LAURON Sean M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
111 LO Jake 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
112 KIM Dylan J. 100% 98% 84% 46% 11% 1%
113 O'CONNOR Riley 100% 77% 32% 7% 1% -
114 ALLEN Graham 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
115 WOLFE Alex 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 1%
116 TUCKER Brad W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
117 OH Matthew M. 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
118 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
119 KOZAKIEWICZ Filip 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
120 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
121 BLYTH Jourdain L. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
122 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
123 LIU Andrew 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 5% -
124 MA Victor 100% 96% 78% 47% 18% 4% -
125 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
126 DENNIS Ethan 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
127 DIXON Thomas 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
128 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
129 WONG KEVIN 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
130 KORSCHUN Daniel 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
131 PARK Nicholas 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% -
132 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 10%
133 JAIN Sarthak 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
134 GUI Runlin 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
135 CHOI Isaac 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 22% 4%
136 MAHESH Tarun 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
137 PRIHODKO Max 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3% -
138 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
139 SARKAR agniv 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
140 LUEDECKE Myles A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
141 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
142 CAO Brad 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
143 SINHA Zaan 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
144 WIECHMANN Colin 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
145 GREGORY Abram 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
146 ZHUANG William 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
147 LOESER Jacob 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% -
148 PHAM Sawyer T. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
149 ZHOU Gavin 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
150 DUAN eric 100% 84% 40% 9% 1% -
151 KILUK Andrew 100% 97% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
152 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
153 JONES Tyler 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
154 ZHENG Haoran 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
155 JOHNSTON Conner S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
155 KIM Nathan 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
157 ALGER Caleb (CJ) J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
158 PARK Brian 100% 97% 78% 43% 12% 1% -
159 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
160 BHATNAGAR Nishay V. 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 23% 4%
161 BURLING Trenor 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
162 LAI Aedin 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
163 SHETTY RIHAN 100% 87% 56% 24% 6% 1% -
164 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 46% 11% 1% - - -
165 STOCK Jordan 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% -
166 ALTMAN Jeff H. 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6%
167 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 85% 49% 17% 4% - -
168 MING Nathan 100% 55% 13% 1% - -
169 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
170 SPRINGER Michael 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
171 KING Cameron 100% 97% 78% 43% 12% 1% -
172 NESTEROV Andrew E. 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.