National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Cadet Men's Épée

Monday, July 3, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
2 JEYOON Ryan S. - - - 2% 10% 36% 52%
3 GAO Chaney C. - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
3 DODIN David - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
5 LO Jake - - - 3% 15% 41% 40%
6 MACARTY Jordan T. - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
7 LEE Samuel Y. - 1% 6% 26% 44% 24%
8 ELYADERANI Paxon - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
9 BEZRODNOV Alexander - - - - 4% 30% 66%
10 FU Leon - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
11 ZHENG Andy - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
12 KIM Byung - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
13 LEE Seungwon - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
14 KARNAS Karol - - 3% 12% 30% 38% 18%
15 KIM Nathan - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
16 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
17 IARIKOV Nicholas - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
18 ZHENG Haoran - - - 5% 21% 43% 32%
19 LIN Kyran - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 28%
20 IMREK Elijah S. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
21 BEZRODNOV Michael - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
22 ZHANG ethan - 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
23 YANG Boyan - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 7%
24 CAO Brad - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
25 DESTEFANO Julius - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
26 ESKRIDGE Caleb - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 2%
27 NOEL Sebastien A. - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
28 HILBERT Gabriel E. - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
29 KIM Tei D. - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 15%
30 HE Kaixuan 1% 6% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
31 BARG Jonathan 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 1%
32 CHOI Zachary 3% 16% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
33 SHAN Junzhe - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
34 SU Caleb - - - 4% 29% 67%
35 DOWDELL Riley - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
36 SHCHUR Landon - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
37 KENT V David - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
38 TREBON Hayden - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
39 SILVERS Ari - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
40 WANG DEVON - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
41 LEE JoonWon - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
42 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
43 KATS Dylan G. - - - 2% 13% 40% 46%
43 SVERDLOV Seth - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
45 LU Ivan - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 26%
46 TIKHONOV Iliya - 1% 5% 23% 43% 25% 3%
47 LEE Noah - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
48 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
49 CAO Albert - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
49 ARAVIND Athreya - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
51 DONDISCH ilan 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
52 WOLFE Alex - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 29%
53 SINGH Aryaman - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
54 HEADRICK Lance - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
55 CHOI Mason - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
56 MAO Benjamin - 2% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
57 TRULL A.J. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
58 ZI QIN Shang - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
59 LI Zachary 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 6% 1%
60 YUE Hongrui 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
61 SEEFELDT William Henry C. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 16%
61 XI Benjamin 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
63 YU Austin 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
64 PAK Elliot - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
65 CHAI Ethan 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
66 MUGA Aiden - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 4%
67 CARRIER Gabriel A. - - - 5% 29% 66%
68 SAVORETTI Francesco - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
69 KOYFMAN Benjamin 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
70 TIYA BIAYA K. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
71 MIAO KUNQI 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
72 KIM Minjae - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 1%
73 HU Robert J. 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
74 SAUNIER Cameron 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
75 SOKOL Luke 9% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
76 WANG owen - 3% 16% 36% 36% 9%
77 YAO Geoffrey B. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
78 ELLISON Harper F. - 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
79 CHOI Kaiden I. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
80 WU Jonathan - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
81 LAPP Oliver 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
82 IRWIN Peter - - 2% 14% 39% 38% 7%
83 THAKUR Om S. - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
84 CHEN Brian - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 14%
85 SHA Michael - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
86 KIM Sullivan - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
86 LIU Andrew - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
86 JACKSON Thomas 7% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
89 CASTELLY Luke - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
89 CHEN Leonardo 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
91 CARTY JR Johndale 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
92 LIU Yikun 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
93 BAZHENOV Anthony 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
94 TIEN Jabin 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
95 PETERSON Matthew 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
96 ZHU Eric - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
97 KUGLER Luke 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
98 OBERDERFER Vladimir 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
99 NAKAS Levent - 4% 18% 40% 33% 5%
100 LIU Adam 6% 29% 40% 20% 4% -
101 KHANNA Nikhil - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
102 KOKENGE Reid - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 21%
103 BUI Henry 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
104 TIKHOMIROV Theodore - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
105 ZHAO Corey - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
106 LAI Boden - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
107 SINHA Zaan - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
108 KIM Jayden 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
109 GINZBURG Adam 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
109 XIAO Hanzhi （Shawn） - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
111 HAMZA Tudor - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 4%
112 TIKHONOV Daniel - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
113 CARDENAS Lucas 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
114 MULCAHY Olaf - - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9%
115 WANG Clayton - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
115 WONG Ethan 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
117 PANG Lucas - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
118 HU Anton 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
119 LU Jacob 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
120 HOWARD Paolo 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
121 CHIN Dylan A. 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 3%
122 CHEN Bailey 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
123 SCHIEK Harrison 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
124 MODULLA Yathin R. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
125 JU Hanul 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
126 GAITHER Christopher W. 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
127 KIM Andrew J. - 1% 6% 21% 38% 28% 7%
128 FU Jason 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
129 HE Zhiheng - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
130 LEE Jayden J. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
131 SNYDER Ari - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
132 SCHROEDER Dylan - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
133 ZAYDMAN Ethan - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
134 DONAHUE Lake 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
135 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
136 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
137 SPINA Joseph B. - - 4% 15% 34% 35% 12%
138 CORBIN Bennett - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
138 MEN Junda - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
140 ALABI Tobi 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
141 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
142 NGUYEN Tate - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 22%
143 SONG Troy 1% 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
144 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
145 PARK Nicholas - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
145 BOUDREAUX James 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
147 XIE Brandon 1% 14% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
148 JONES Reilly 2% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
149 ABBOUD Michael - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
150 NG Biwon 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
151 CHOU Benson 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% - -
151 PATEL Kushal 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
153 MIZRAHI Michael 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
154 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
154 DAN Rex 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
154 XIA Dashan 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
154 TANG William 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
158 GRAVES Lawson 5% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
159 GLENNON Sebastian J. - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
160 SANTOS Antonio K. 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
161 LE BORGNE Matthieu 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
162 ZIEGLER John 1% 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
163 JIANG ryan - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 2%
164 BRODSKY Julian - 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
165 DAO Alexander 3% 21% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
165 KIM Teddy 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
167 DU SHUNYU K. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
168 KIM Ian 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
169 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 5% 22% 37% 28% 8% 1%
170 HERNANDEZ Cole F. 2% 15% 36% 35% 12% 1%
171 ZHANG Roland 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
172 WONG King-Yee 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
173 ZHENG Jerry 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
174 YAO Bowen 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% -
175 LAURIMAA Emil 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
176 RICHARDS Jackson D. - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9%
177 KIM Joshua 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
178 BUERGISSER Kai 7% 27% 38% 23% 5% -
179 LIU Yueri 16% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
180 WANG Joey 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
181 MODANLOU Navid 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
182 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 3%
183 WEGENER Soren 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
183 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
185 HULL Liam 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
185 ZHOU Justin - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 12%
187 WANG justin 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
188 LAM Alan 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
189 CHENH Justin 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
190 DHAL Leon 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
190 LEE Aiden 1% 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
192 KNUDSEN Travis 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
193 YU Samuel 20% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
194 SEO Shawn - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
195 MEHROTRA Neel 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
196 DURKIN Brian 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
197 REPIC Oliver 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
197 COHEN Nathan 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
199 PETROV Niki A. 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
200 SINGH Ravin 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
200 LI zerong 22% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
202 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
202 RACHEL Dylan - 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
202 FAN Joshua 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
205 GOROZA Eric 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
206 BRADSHAW Carter 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
207 SHEN Jiayi 56% 34% 8% 1% - - -
208 PAN Tristan 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
208 CARNALL Hunter 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
208 DADE MAXIMUS 12% 35% 35% 15% 2% - -
211 PARKER Isaiah 4% 20% 37% 29% 8% 1% -
211 WU Colin 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
213 DAS Roshan 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
214 LI Yunji (Rain) 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% - -
215 HUANG Kenneth 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
216 WU Eric 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
217 GANTSOUDES Isaac 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
218 WANG zhixing (Daniel） - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
218 LIU Jeremiah W. 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
220 SIYANKO Joshua 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
221 GUAN Nathan 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
222 RICHARD silas 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
223 BORISENKO Samuel 4% 20% 39% 29% 8% -
223 PERALTA Christian 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
225 PETROVICH Alexandar 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
226 JAIN Samyak 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
226 DOUBOV Andrew 16% 39% 31% 12% 2% - -
228 LOISEAU Oscar 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
228 ALI Farhan 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
228 ZHAI Avalo - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
231 GAO Zachary - 2% 12% 30% 36% 17% 3%
232 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
233 SANTOS Francisco M. 12% 32% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
233 LEE Inwoo 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
235 FERRIERE Joshua 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
235 FENG Shang 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
237 MEGGERS Davin 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
238 ATKINS Levi H. 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
238 NOFZIGER Bennett 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
238 RAO Neil 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
238 DECKER Hunter 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
242 GONZALEZ Kian 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
243 ANDERSON Kai 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
243 TASKIRAN Mete 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
243 HIGGINS Calvin 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
246 LEE Damien 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
247 PARKS Isaac 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
248 OBREBSKI Kevin 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
248 JONELEIT Aidan 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
250 AYOTTE James 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
251 NALLAMSHETTY Ayan - 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
252 LI Ethan R. 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
252 ZENG Andrew 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% - -
254 CHEN Bowen 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
255 FRANGER Max 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
256 HERNDON Liam 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
257 PETROW Zoryan 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
257 FERDOWSIAN Samuel A 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
257 GILSBACH Ben 49% 37% 11% 2% - - -
260 NAGEL August 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
261 MANGAN Hunter 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
262 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
263 KE Sebastian 37% 43% 17% 3% - -
264 MAJAM Brandon Audie 23% 42% 26% 8% 1% - -
265 ZAHRAN Aiden 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
266 RAHMAN Yousef 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
267 ROMANOV Ethan 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
268 CLAES Lucas 17% 39% 32% 11% 1% - -
269 OLSON Kevin 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
270 CHUNG Andrew 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
271 MAZAHERI Fletcher 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
272 PEREZ Daniel 82% 16% 1% - - - -
273 PATEL Aayan 66% 29% 5% - - - -
274 BAJAJ Nakul 13% 38% 33% 13% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.