National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Cadet Men's Épée

Monday, July 3, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
2 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 52%
3 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
3 DODIN David 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
5 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
6 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
7 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
8 ELYADERANI Paxon 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
9 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
10 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
11 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
12 KIM Byung 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
13 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
14 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 18%
15 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
16 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 27%
17 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
18 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
19 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
20 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
21 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
22 ZHANG ethan 100% 100% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
23 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
24 CAO Brad 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
25 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
26 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 19% 2%
27 NOEL Sebastien A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 12%
28 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
29 KIM Tei D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
30 HE Kaixuan 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
31 BARG Jonathan 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 14% 1%
32 CHOI Zachary 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
33 SHAN Junzhe 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
34 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
35 DOWDELL Riley 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
36 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
37 KENT V David 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
38 TREBON Hayden 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
39 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
40 WANG DEVON 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
41 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
42 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
43 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
43 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
45 LU Ivan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
46 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28% 3%
47 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
48 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
49 CAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
49 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 8%
51 DONDISCH ilan 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
52 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
53 SINGH Aryaman 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
54 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 8%
55 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
56 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
57 TRULL A.J. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 9% 1%
58 ZI QIN Shang 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
59 LI Zachary 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 7% 1%
60 YUE Hongrui 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
61 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
61 XI Benjamin 100% 97% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
63 YU Austin 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
64 PAK Elliot 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
65 CHAI Ethan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
66 MUGA Aiden 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 29% 4%
67 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
68 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
69 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
70 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
71 MIAO KUNQI 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
72 KIM Minjae 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
73 HU Robert J. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
74 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
75 SOKOL Luke 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
76 WANG owen 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 9%
77 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 52%
78 ELLISON Harper F. 100% 100% 94% 73% 40% 13% 2%
79 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
80 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
81 LAPP Oliver 100% 98% 83% 49% 18% 4% -
82 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 7%
83 THAKUR Om S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
84 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
85 SHA Michael 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
86 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
86 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
86 JACKSON Thomas 100% 93% 67% 33% 9% 1% -
89 CASTELLY Luke 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
89 CHEN Leonardo 100% 94% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
91 CARTY JR Johndale 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 4% -
92 LIU Yikun 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
93 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
94 TIEN Jabin 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
95 PETERSON Matthew 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
96 ZHU Eric 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 2%
97 KUGLER Luke 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 3% -
98 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
99 NAKAS Levent 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 5%
100 LIU Adam 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% -
101 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
102 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
103 BUI Henry 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
104 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
105 ZHAO Corey 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
106 LAI Boden 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
107 SINHA Zaan 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
108 KIM Jayden 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
109 GINZBURG Adam 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
109 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
111 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 4%
112 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
113 CARDENAS Lucas 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
114 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
115 WANG Clayton 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
115 WONG Ethan 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
117 PANG Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
118 HU Anton 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
119 LU Jacob 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
120 HOWARD Paolo 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
121 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
122 CHEN Bailey 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1%
123 SCHIEK Harrison 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
124 MODULLA Yathin R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 22% 3%
125 JU Hanul 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
126 GAITHER Christopher W. 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
127 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
128 FU Jason 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
129 HE Zhiheng 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
130 LEE Jayden J. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
131 SNYDER Ari 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
132 SCHROEDER Dylan 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
133 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
134 DONAHUE Lake 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
135 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
136 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
137 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 12%
138 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
138 MEN Junda 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
140 ALABI Tobi 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3% -
141 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
142 NGUYEN Tate 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
143 SONG Troy 100% 99% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
144 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
145 PARK Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
145 BOUDREAUX James 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
147 XIE Brandon 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
148 JONES Reilly 100% 98% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
149 ABBOUD Michael 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
150 NG Biwon 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
151 CHOU Benson 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
151 PATEL Kushal 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
153 MIZRAHI Michael 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
154 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
154 DAN Rex 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
154 XIA Dashan 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
154 TANG William 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
158 GRAVES Lawson 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
159 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
160 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
161 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
162 ZIEGLER John 100% 99% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
163 JIANG ryan 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
164 BRODSKY Julian 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 14% 2%
165 DAO Alexander 100% 97% 77% 39% 12% 2% -
165 KIM Teddy 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
167 DU SHUNYU K. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
168 KIM Ian 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
169 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
170 HERNANDEZ Cole F. 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
171 ZHANG Roland 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
172 WONG King-Yee 100% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
173 ZHENG Jerry 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
174 YAO Bowen 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% -
175 LAURIMAA Emil 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
176 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
177 KIM Joshua 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% -
178 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
179 LIU Yueri 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
180 WANG Joey 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
181 MODANLOU Navid 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
182 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
183 WEGENER Soren 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
183 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
185 HULL Liam 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
185 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
187 WANG justin 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
188 LAM Alan 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
189 CHENH Justin 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
190 DHAL Leon 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2% -
190 LEE Aiden 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1%
192 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
193 YU Samuel 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
194 SEO Shawn 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
195 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
196 DURKIN Brian 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
197 REPIC Oliver 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
197 COHEN Nathan 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
199 PETROV Niki A. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5% -
200 SINGH Ravin 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
200 LI zerong 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
202 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
202 RACHEL Dylan 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
202 FAN Joshua 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
205 GOROZA Eric 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
206 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
207 SHEN Jiayi 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
208 PAN Tristan 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
208 CARNALL Hunter 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
208 DADE MAXIMUS 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
211 PARKER Isaiah 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1% -
211 WU Colin 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2% -
213 DAS Roshan 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
214 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% - -
215 HUANG Kenneth 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
216 WU Eric 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
217 GANTSOUDES Isaac 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
218 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
218 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
220 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
221 GUAN Nathan 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
222 RICHARD silas 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
223 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 96% 76% 38% 8% -
223 PERALTA Christian 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
225 PETROVICH Alexandar 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
226 JAIN Samyak 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
226 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
228 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
228 ALI Farhan 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
228 ZHAI Avalo 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
231 GAO Zachary 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
232 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
233 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 88% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
233 LEE Inwoo 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
235 FERRIERE Joshua 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
235 FENG Shang 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
237 MEGGERS Davin 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
238 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
238 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
238 RAO Neil 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
238 DECKER Hunter 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
242 GONZALEZ Kian 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
243 ANDERSON Kai 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
243 TASKIRAN Mete 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
243 HIGGINS Calvin 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
246 LEE Damien 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
247 PARKS Isaac 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 4% -
248 OBREBSKI Kevin 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
248 JONELEIT Aidan 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
250 AYOTTE James 100% 93% 67% 31% 9% 1% -
251 NALLAMSHETTY Ayan 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
252 LI Ethan R. 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
252 ZENG Andrew 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
254 CHEN Bowen 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
255 FRANGER Max 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
256 HERNDON Liam 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
257 PETROW Zoryan 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
257 FERDOWSIAN Samuel A 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
257 GILSBACH Ben 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
260 NAGEL August 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
261 MANGAN Hunter 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
262 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
263 KE Sebastian 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
264 MAJAM Brandon Audie 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
265 ZAHRAN Aiden 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
266 RAHMAN Yousef 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
267 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
268 CLAES Lucas 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% - -
269 OLSON Kevin 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
270 CHUNG Andrew 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
271 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
272 PEREZ Daniel 100% 18% 1% - - - -
273 PATEL Aayan 100% 34% 5% - - - -
274 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.