May NAC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Thursday, May 6, 2021 at 9:00 AM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 24%
2 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
3 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
3 GAO Daniel 100% 96% 73% 34% 7% 1%
5 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
6 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
7 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
8 STRAUSS Luke 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
9 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 11%
10 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
11 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 29% 6%
12 KATS Dylan G. 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
13 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
14 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
15 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
16 PRIHODKO Max 100% 99% 85% 52% 18% 3%
17 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
18 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
19 BINDAS Odinn A. 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
20 KUMAR Aidan 100% 99% 82% 44% 12% 1%
21 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
22 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
23 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
24 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
25 SU Caleb 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
26 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 17%
27 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 14%
28 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
29 JIN daniel 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
30 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 5%
31 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
32 KIM Tei D. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
33 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
34 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
35 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
36 AGAON Shawn 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
37 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 2%
38 LI Patrick 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 7%
39 SONG Alexander 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
40 CAO Brad 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
41 LAI Aiden 100% 87% 43% 11% 2% - -
42 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
43 KOBI Samuel 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 6%
44 GALLO James 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 10%
45 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
46 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
47 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
48 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
49 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
50 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
51 ZHENG Haoran 100% 92% 61% 20% 3% - -
52 CHU Allan 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 13% 2%
53 TORRES Nicolas 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
54 VEZMAR Evan H. 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
55 CAO Albert 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
56 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
57 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 3%
58 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
59 AGAON Ethan 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
60 SATTERFIELD Donald 100% 91% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
61 JORDAN Anton 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
62 WANG DEVON 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
63 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
64 WANG Clayton 100% 45% 10% 1% - -
65 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% -
66 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
67 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 97% 72% 32% 7% 1%
68 DUAN eric 100% 98% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
69 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
69 XIAO Andrew 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
71 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 5% -
72 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
73 HU Robert J. 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
74 CLICK Tristan 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
75 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 32% 4% - - -
76 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2%
77 LEE JoonWon 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
77 WOLFE Alex 100% 95% 65% 26% 5% -
79 PARKS Isaac 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
80 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
81 ZHANG Andy 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
82 XIA Oliver 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
83 POIST Wylie 100% 95% 76% 45% 17% 4% -
84 SONN Rohan 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
85 KIM Sullivan 100% 59% 19% 4% - - -
86 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 94% 63% 25% 6% 1% -
87 GRENKE Wyatt 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
88 MUGA Aiden 100% 65% 22% 3% - -
89 PAK Elliot 100% 81% 35% 7% 1% - -
90 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
91 GAO Zachary 100% 47% 11% 1% - -
92 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.