National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Men's Épée

Saturday, June 28, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
2 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
3 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
3 MANN Jake R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
5 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
6 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
7 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
8 GALLAGHER PELLETIER Samuel H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
9 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
10 LO Jake 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6%
11 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
12 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
13 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
14 RODNEY Adam R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 30%
15 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
16 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
17 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
18 FU Leon 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
19 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
20 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
21 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
22 LAM Alan 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
23 KANG Philip F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
24 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
25 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
26 KOKENGE Reid 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
27 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
28 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 3%
28 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
30 GE Yilu 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
31 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 16% 3%
32 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
33 KAULL James T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
34 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2%
35 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
36 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
37 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
38 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
39 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
40 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
41 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
42 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
43 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
43 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% - -
45 RUBIN Daniel 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
46 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
47 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
48 FAN Jackson 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
49 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
49 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
51 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 9%
51 IVE Isaac L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 17%
53 WU Alistair 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
54 DHAL Leon 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% -
55 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
56 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 99% 96% 82% 51% 16%
57 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
58 YANG Boyan 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
59 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 99% 90% 60% 19% 2%
60 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
61 EMARA Omar 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
61 LEE Aiden 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
63 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 4%
64 LIU Yikun 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
65 CANAUX Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 13%
66 EAST William 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
67 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
68 CALDERON Diego 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
68 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
70 STRONG Sean T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
71 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
72 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
72 SU Caleb 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
74 TAI Edison 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
75 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 5%
76 SHAN Simon 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
77 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
78 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
79 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
80 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 17%
81 KNOX James 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
82 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 14%
83 MATTIS George 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
84 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
84 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 34% 7%
86 ALIMOV fayzulla 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
87 WU Joseph 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
87 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
89 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 25% 5%
90 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% - -
91 HAMZA Tudor 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
92 JONES Reilly 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
92 JOHNSON Ryder 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
94 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 4%
95 HU Robert J. 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
96 WU Steven 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
97 LEE Stewart S. 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
98 HU Lucas 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
99 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
100 HE Patrick 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
100 BOUDREAUX James 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
102 PISKOVATSKOV Anton 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
103 REPIC Oliver 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
104 LIU Andrew 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
105 XIA Dashan 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
106 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
107 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
108 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
108 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 6% 1%
110 LANGE Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
111 HUTTO Joshua 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% 1%
112 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
113 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
114 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
115 ELMAHDY Yassin Nageh 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
116 LI Zachary 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% - -
117 SHCHUR Landon 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 3% -
118 RIGGINS Joshua 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% 1%
119 LAI Boden 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% 1%
120 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
120 GOUGÉ Cooper 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
122 KUGLER Luke 100% 92% 59% 19% 3% -
123 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% -
124 THAYER Jake T. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
125 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
126 HEADRICK Lance 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 9% 1%
127 SHELANSKI Isaac 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
128 TRULL A.J. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
129 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
130 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
131 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
132 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 28% 5%
133 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
134 ROSE-JONES Simon 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
134 ZIEGLER John 100% 85% 44% 12% 1% - -
136 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
136 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
138 PARK Frederick 100% 96% 78% 47% 18% 4% -
139 PARKER Isaiah 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
139 ZHAO Zidong 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
141 BANKULLA Nihal R. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
142 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
143 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
144 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
145 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
146 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
147 UKOLOV Dimitri 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
148 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
149 LIPPMAN Jake 100% 68% 23% 4% - -
150 PAK Elliot 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
151 CARTY JR Johndale 100% 81% 40% 9% 1% -
152 CHEN Bailey 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
153 KARNAS Karol 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
154 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
155 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2%
156 HAGAG Yassin 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
157 PECH Giulio 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
158 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
159 PAN Tristan 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
159 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
159 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
162 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
163 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
163 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -
165 ZHU Eric 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
166 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
167 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
168 WOLFE Alex 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
169 TANG William 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
170 LIU Adam 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
172 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
172 SINGH Ravin 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
174 WANG justin 100% 95% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
175 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
176 WANG Joey 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
177 HE Kaixuan 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
178 TIEMANN Landen 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
179 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
180 PARK Nicholas 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
181 GRAVES Lawson 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
182 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
183 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
184 BARG Jonathan 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
185 CHEN Brian 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
186 LIU Yueri 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
187 FANG Hanning 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
188 HIGGINS Branford 100% 92% 66% 33% 10% 2% -
189 MCALISTER Ian 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
190 LEE JoonWon 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2% -
191 MODANLOU Navid 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
192 PARK Sangwook 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
193 KIM Henry 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
194 GAMIL Hamza 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
195 KRISHNAN Skanda 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
196 HUANG Kenneth 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
196 CHEN Leonardo 100% 97% 84% 54% 23% 6% 1%
198 LI Tristan 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
199 WONG King-Yee 100% 90% 54% 17% 3% - -
200 GINZBURG Adam 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
201 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 87% 48% 15% 3% - -
202 JAIN Samyak 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
203 DONDISCH ilan 100% 95% 73% 38% 10% 1% -
204 SOULAIRE Tom 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
205 MITEV Alexander 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
206 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
207 TSE Maxwell 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
208 PETERSON Matthew 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
209 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
209 SIALA Omar 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
211 CHUNG Andrew 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
212 SETO Jing 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
212 DUKO Phillip 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
214 HSU Joshua 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
215 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
216 YANG Gary 100% 51% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.