December NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Sunday, December 12, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 MCDOWALD Curtis E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
2 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 13%
3 HADZIC Alen 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
3 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
5 RAMIREZ Yeisser 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 15%
6 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
7 FRENCH Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 80% 57% 31% 12% 3% - -
8 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 62% 35% 14% 3% -
9 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
10 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 90% 74% 49% 24% 7% 1%
11 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 12%
12 CIPRIANI Andrea 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 64% 37% 14% 2%
13 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
14 RONG Yao 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 68% 41% 18% 5% 1%
15 YOO Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
16 LANGE Henry C. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
17 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 13%
17 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
19 COMES Matthew J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
20 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 76% 52% 27% 10% 2% -
21 SMITH Dwight 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 76% 51% 26% 8% 1%
22 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 78% 52% 23% 5%
23 SHELANSKI Isaac 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 90% 74% 49% 25% 8% 2% -
24 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
25 ZAGORUIKO Ivan 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
26 SMOAK Omari Z. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
27 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 68% 41% 17% 4% -
28 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5%
29 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 53% 28% 11% 3% - -
30 YERGLER Jonathan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 65% 37% 13% 2%
31 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 97% 86% 65% 38% 17% 5% 1% - - -
32 CANAUX Gabriel A. 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 24% 5%
33 DUNCAN Corwin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 49% 22% 6% 1%
34 RODNEY Adam R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
35 KADYSZEWSKI Mateo 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 49% 23% 6% 1%
36 KAULL James T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
37 PISKOVATSKOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 59% 25% 4%
38 KRAFT Dennis A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
39 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 58% 31% 11% 3% - - -
40 TSINIS Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 70% 38% 10%
41 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 53% 29% 11% 3% 1% - -
42 NOLLNER Dylan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
43 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 62% 37% 16% 5% 1% - -
44 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
44 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 10%
46 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 73% 47% 22% 6% 1%
47 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 3%
48 SLAVINSKIY Alan 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 48% 24% 9% 2% - - -
49 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
50 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 59% 33% 13% 4% 1% - - -
51 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 97% 84% 58% 25% 5%
52 ISAAC Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 53% 26% 8% 1%
53 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 80% 58% 33% 14% 4% 1% -
54 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 72% 46% 22% 8% 2% - - -
55 HOLTZ Donovan K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 61% 36% 15% 5% 1% -
56 BEDOR William J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 60% 34% 14% 4% 1% -
57 O'LOUGHLIN Chris S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 87% 64% 32% 7%
58 BRUNET Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 68% 44% 21% 7% 2% - -
59 JIN Owen 100% 100% 97% 88% 69% 44% 21% 7% 2% - - -
60 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
61 KAMBESELES Peter G. 100% 100% 99% 96% 83% 59% 32% 12% 3% - -
62 ZHANG Nicholas Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 73% 48% 23% 8% 1% -
63 LIU Alexander 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
64 KIMATIAN Harrison J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 55% 29% 11% 2% -
65 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
66 GERAGHTY Michael P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 81% 60% 35% 16% 5% 1% -
67 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 97% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
68 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 69% 43% 21% 7% 2% - - -
69 SAITOC Tudor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 60% 34% 14% 4% 1% -
70 KUMAR Anitya 100% 99% 95% 81% 57% 30% 12% 3% 1% - - -
71 WIMMER Chandler M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 80% 58% 34% 15% 4% 1% - -
72 ROBINSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 83% 64% 39% 18% 6% 1% -
73 SHERWOOD Dominic 100% 99% 95% 80% 54% 27% 10% 2% - - - -
74 RUSSANOV Dennis 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 69% 43% 20% 7% 1% - -
75 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 98% 92% 75% 49% 24% 8% 2% - - -
76 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 71% 46% 23% 8% 2% -
77 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 68% 43% 21% 7% 2% - - -
77 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 98% 89% 70% 44% 21% 7% 2% - - - -
79 PETROSEWICZ Thomas (TJ) ". 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 57% 30% 11% 3% - -
80 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 77% 54% 30% 12% 3% - -
81 SHIV Rishi 100% 100% 99% 92% 76% 50% 25% 9% 2% - - - -
82 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 62% 34% 12% 2%
83 ZHAO Luhan 100% 95% 75% 46% 20% 7% 2% - - - - - -
84 ZHU Zimo 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 67% 42% 19% 6% 1% -
84 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 97% 89% 71% 46% 23% 9% 2% - - - -
84 RODNEY Maxwell 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
87 ZHANG Zan 100% 88% 59% 29% 10% 2% - - - - - - -
88 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 77% 52% 27% 10% 3% 1% - - -
89 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 77% 52% 26% 9% 2% - - -
90 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 71% 44% 19% 6% 1% -
91 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 61% 36% 16% 5% 1% - - -
92 HE Lawrence 100% 98% 87% 62% 34% 13% 4% 1% - - - - -
93 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
94 BINDAS Odinn A. 100% 100% 96% 84% 60% 33% 14% 4% 1% - - - -
95 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 100% 97% 86% 65% 40% 19% 7% 2% - - - -
95 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 97% 87% 67% 40% 18% 6% 1% - - - -
97 SWANSON Lars M. 100% 99% 92% 74% 48% 23% 8% 2% - - - -
98 NDJEKA Jesse 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
99 LARSEN Samuel F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
100 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
101 KARAUSKY Joshua C. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
102 POPOVICI Michael A. 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
103 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
104 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
105 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
106 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 21%
106 WU Joseph 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
108 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
109 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
110 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
111 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
112 GRAYSON Shane W. 100% 94% 70% 36% 10% 1%
113 WATRALL Rick 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
114 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12%
115 ELLIS Yehia S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
116 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
117 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 100% 97% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
118 MUGA Boris 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
119 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
120 ZHU Max 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
121 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 97% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
122 LEE Alexander G. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
123 AL-TAYEB Ahmed M. 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
124 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
125 GRAY Sterling B. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
125 KOKENGE Clark 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
125 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
128 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
129 SILVER Cameron 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
130 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 100% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
131 WHITE Khristopher E. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
132 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
133 WALSH Kevin 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
134 GUO Austin S. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
135 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
136 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% -
137 SZABO Domonkos 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
138 KOKENGE Reid 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
139 WIEDER Benjamin (Ben) J. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
139 ANDREEV Arthur 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
141 ASHER Jacob 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
142 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 95% 63% 22% 3%
143 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
144 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
145 PARK Brian 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
146 TRAGER Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 8%
147 EMARA Omar 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
148 LIM Timothy D. 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
149 CHIEN Zachary M. 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
150 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
151 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
152 NOWAK Jakub P. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
153 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
154 BRADFORD Jack M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
155 WONG Daniel 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% -
156 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
157 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% -
158 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
159 DE GUZMAN Inaki P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
160 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
161 LEE Seungwon 100% 89% 54% 20% 4% - -
162 FULLER George K. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
163 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% -
164 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
165 GREEN Ummi 100% 91% 43% 10% 1% -
166 MALLOY Patrick G. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
166 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
168 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
169 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 15%
170 CARPENTER Liam 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
171 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
172 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
173 XU Zitong (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
174 POPOVICI Maximilian P. 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
174 MORSE Tyler 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 4% -
176 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
177 BODON Michele I. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
178 PRIHODKO Max 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
179 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
179 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 90% 50% 15% 2% - -
179 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
182 JOSEPH William 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
183 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 98% 77% 36% 7%
184 LI Brian X 100% 99% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
185 MALYSZ Anthony J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
186 KIM William M. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
187 KIM Donghyeok 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
188 KIM Sterling S. 100% 38% 6% - -
189 WILKINSON Derek H. 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
190 RHYU Kozmo 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
191 SHETTY Surya 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
192 TRIMMER Colin 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% -
193 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
194 CAI Brian 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
195 LI Chenyu 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
196 VALES Keyan 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
197 GREGORY Abram 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
197 LIU Kyle 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
199 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
200 LI Jesse 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 27% 5%
201 DANIEL Camron 100% 80% 43% 13% 2% - -
202 NIXON Christian A. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
203 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
203 WEAVER Neil 100% 89% 49% 15% 3% - -
205 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
205 SHEN Max 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
207 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
208 KILUK Andrew 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
209 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
209 XIANG Hongyi 100% 69% 23% 4% - - -
211 VELINOV Gabriel 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
211 DOELEMAN zeno 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
213 WILSON Jeffrey M. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
214 FAYEZ Sherif 100% 100% 92% 61% 19%
215 GORNOVSKY David J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
216 SINGHA Orion 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2%
217 GAGNON Isaac 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 10%
218 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
219 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1%
220 LEE Shwan 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
221 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
222 COHEN Jared E. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
223 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
224 MICKO Fritz K. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
225 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
226 PARK Frederick 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
227 MA Victor 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
228 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
229 GARRETT Samuel 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
230 WALKER IV Weymouth D. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
230 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% - -
232 ROSTAL Scott E. 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
233 SMITH Jackson 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
234 KAMBESELES Jack M. 100% 100% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
235 MATTIS George 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
236 USHER Alexander 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
237 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
238 SCHULTZ Alex 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 12% 1%
238 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
238 HE Zhiheng 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
238 STRAUSS Luke 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
242 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
243 GATZA Logan 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
244 EVANS noah 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
245 SPIER Julian H. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
246 PARK Jong-Eun 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
247 PHAM Sawyer T. 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
247 DENNIS Ethan 100% 77% 33% 8% 1% - -
249 DIVERIS Joseph 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
250 OH Matthew M. 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% -
251 NGUYEN Tate 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
252 EVANS Grant 100% 26% 2% - - -
253 KRAJ Pawel 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
253 CLARK Carson 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
255 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
256 ZIMINSKY Karel M. 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
256 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
258 NESTEROV Andrew E. 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
259 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
260 ELYADERANI Paxon 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.