July Challenge & Parafencing Nat'l Championships

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, July 24, 2021 at 8:30 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Nicholas Z. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
2 CHONG christopher - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
3 GATZA Logan - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
3 CLICK Aiden - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
5 IMREK Samuel A. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 29%
6 RHYU Kozmo - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
7 WU Joseph - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
8 MISHIMA Torata - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
9 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
10 GOHEL Dayus T. - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 21%
11 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
12 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
13 LIU Alexander - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
14 SU Caleb - 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
15 JIN Nicholas - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
16 KOKENGE Reid 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
17 MOSES Alexander - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
18 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 14%
19 GOLDFINE Ian J. - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
20 FELDMAN Jaemin - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
21 JEYOON Ryan S. - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
22 DIXON Thomas - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
23 HE Lawrence - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
24 VAYSBUKH Konstantin - - 3% 21% 47% 28%
25 IYOKI Kent - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
26 LEE Daniel Y. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
27 ZHANG Alec 1% 10% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1%
28 ZHU Max - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
29 SHAH Maximilian A. - 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 1%
30 WONG NICHOLAS A. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
31 LEE Noah - - 2% 13% 33% 38% 14%
32 JIN daniel - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
33 PRASAD Ankith - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
34 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
35 LIEF Isaac R. - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
36 GREEN Jabreel - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
37 WU Byron - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
38 KIM Dylan J. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
39 LIU Kyle - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
40 KHANNA Nikhil - 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 1%
41 LIOZNYANSKY Simon - 1% 8% 29% 38% 21% 4%
42 MCKEEVER Luca 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
43 KROPP Jack - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
44 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 21%
45 PAN Eric - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
46 GAO Daniel - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
47 SEEFELDT William Henry C. - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
48 KOPPE Alexander 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
49 SINGHA Orion - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
50 PARK Ian C. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
51 WONG Adam L. - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
52 KANG Philip F. - 2% 9% 24% 35% 25% 6%
53 KIM Darius H. 1% 15% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
54 LEVITSKY Jonathan 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
55 LEONE III Charles D. - - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11%
56 PARK Elliot - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
57 GALLANT Antoine - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
58 JAIN Aditya - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
59 MACARTY Jordan T. - 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
60 HIGGINS Branford 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
61 CHU Allan 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
62 PRIHODKO Max 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
63 HARR Carver 5% 22% 36% 26% 10% 2% -
64 NIKOLOV Peter 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
65 ZHAO corey - 1% 6% 19% 35% 30% 10%
66 LEE Seungwon - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
67 LIN Kyran - - 3% 18% 47% 32%
67 ZHENG Haoran 1% 8% 30% 41% 17% 2%
69 LACROIX Floryan 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
70 HE Yuhao - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
71 O'DONNELL Benjamin 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
72 ALVAREZ Ian T. 1% 9% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
73 PAHLAVI Kamran 2% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
74 LO Jake 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
75 SENNEWALD Frederick A. - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
76 WOLFE Alex 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
77 STRAUSS Luke 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3%
78 CHOI Mason 2% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3%
79 PARK Frederick 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
80 KIM Benjamin I. - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
81 CHAWLA Armaan - 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
82 LI Patrick 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
83 XIAO Andrew 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
84 WONG Adrian 5% 20% 32% 27% 12% 3% -
85 JAIN Sarthak - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
86 YUAN Calvin 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
87 SHIV Rishi - 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 5%
88 YAO Geoffrey B. 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
89 NESTEROV Andrew E. 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
90 DENNIS Ethan 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
91 IMREK Elijah S. 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
92 GUNDA Saketh 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
93 WU Jonathan 6% 30% 41% 20% 3% -
94 KOBI Samuel 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
95 SARKAR agniv 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
96 CHOI Isaac - 1% 6% 25% 38% 25% 6%
97 NEAL John P. - 1% 6% 20% 36% 30% 9%
98 CUI Oscar (Bo Lang) 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
99 PINERO Jose J. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
100 CARRIER Gabriel A. 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
101 LOWE-THORPE Tyler 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
102 RICHARDS Jackson D. 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
103 WONG KEVIN 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
104 NGUYEN Tate 2% 19% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
104 GUAN Nathan 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
106 WANG owen 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
107 DAVOODIAN Christopher 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
107 DIVERIS Joseph 25% 42% 25% 6% 1% - -
109 CROSSMAN Brandon 19% 46% 28% 6% 1% - -
109 WEI Jonny 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
111 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 36% 44% 18% 3% - -
112 GU Aidan 34% 41% 20% 4% - -
113 WANG DEVON 3% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2%
114 SHA Michael 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
115 YANG Edward 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
116 PHAM Sawyer T. 3% 26% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
117 YOUNG Peyton E. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
118 SARKAR Anish 12% 39% 34% 13% 2% - -
119 JUN Jaywu 1% 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% 1%
120 SKAALAND Will 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
121 DEKERMANJI Christopher - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
121 VACCARO Dominick J. 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
123 SENNEWALD James J. 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
124 LIM Matthew T. 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
125 KIM Nathan 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
126 FU Ethan 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
127 GAO Chaney C. 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
127 PHUKAN Rohin 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
129 ZHANG Andrew 42% 43% 13% 2% - - -
130 PARK Nicholas 4% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
131 KIM Sullivan 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
132 DU SHUNYU K. 28% 49% 20% 3% - - -
133 AGGELER Donovan 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
134 FERGUSON Jason 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
135 LOISEAU Eliott 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
136 DAO Alexander 13% 40% 35% 11% 1% -
137 MUGA Aiden 39% 46% 13% 2% - - -
138 EVANS noah 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
139 GAO Zachary 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
140 SCHROEDER Dylan 15% 35% 31% 15% 4% - -
141 CHRISTENSEN Parker 70% 26% 4% - - - -
142 LEE JoonWon 43% 40% 14% 3% - - -
142 SURESH NEERAJ 11% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
144 CHIN Dylan A. 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
144 ZHU Eric 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.