January NAC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, January 8, 2022 at 8:00 AM

San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81%
2 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
3 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 31%
3 COOPER Rowan 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
5 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
5 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
7 GAIDAR Daniel B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 29%
8 SHIV Rishi 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
9 ZHANG Nicholas Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
10 SHUGART Henry R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
11 WESTPHAL David R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
12 XU Zitong (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
13 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
14 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
14 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
16 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
17 RUSSANOV Dennis 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
18 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 67%
19 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 15%
20 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
21 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 99% 91% 58% 21% 3%
22 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
23 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
24 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
25 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
26 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
27 RONG Yao 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
28 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 99% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
29 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
30 VINNITCHOUK Theodore (Ted) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
31 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 24% 2%
32 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
33 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
34 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 29% 5%
34 PAN Eric 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 25% 3%
36 GORNOVSKY David J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 31%
37 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
38 GRAYSON Shane W. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
39 GUI Runlin 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 15% 1%
40 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 4%
40 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
42 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
43 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 12%
43 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
45 IVE Isaac L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
46 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 18%
46 POPOVICI Maximilian P. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
48 SLAVINSKIY Alan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48% 8%
49 HUGHES Levi H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
50 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 10%
51 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
52 POHL Merik A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
52 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 10%
54 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60% 11%
55 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 8%
56 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
57 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
58 MA Ark 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
59 XU Timothy (Tingwei) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
60 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
61 WEI Zikun 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 17%
62 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
63 SHEN Max 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 5% -
64 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
65 LI Brian X 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
66 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
67 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
68 LIM Timothy D. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 1%
69 PARK Brian 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
70 KUMAR Anitya 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
70 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
72 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
73 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
73 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 23% 2%
75 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
76 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
77 BINDAS Odinn A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
78 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 7% 1%
79 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11%
80 POS Theo 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 1%
81 KUMASHI Mihir R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
81 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
83 SHUR Yakov C. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
83 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
85 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 1%
86 BRUNET Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
87 EMARA Omar 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
88 BRUSKOTTER Reiland 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% - -
89 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 19%
90 GARRETT Samuel 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
91 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 10%
91 LEE Timothy S. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
93 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
94 JONES Caleb 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
95 GAO Daniel 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3%
96 DAO Matthew M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
97 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
98 MUGA Boris 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
99 FERRIERE Joshua 100% 90% 57% 20% 4% - -
100 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
101 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
102 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
103 LEE Wesley 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
104 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
104 WOZNIAK David 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1%
104 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
104 KIM Sterling S. 100% 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
108 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
109 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
109 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
111 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 95% 66% 27% 5% - -
112 PADHYE Siddhant 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
113 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
114 GLAZ Nicholas S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
115 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
115 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
117 TRIMMER Colin 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
117 JANG Elliot 100% 98% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
119 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
120 ZHU Max 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
121 PARKER Riley D. 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
122 MARCHANT Albert J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5%
123 MA Victor 100% 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
124 WEISE Eli S. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
125 LEE Seungwon 100% 99% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
126 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 3%
127 KIM Darius H. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
128 TORVINEN Trevor J. 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% -
129 MISHIMA Torata 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
130 CHAI Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
131 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
132 WONG KEVIN 100% 99% 79% 39% 11% 1% -
133 DIXON Thomas 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
134 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
135 ZHOU Alec Q. 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2% -
136 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
137 KANG Philip F. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
138 AU Marcus J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
138 CHOI Isaac 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4%
140 MATTIS George 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
141 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 4%
142 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 99% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
143 GAO Chaney C. 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% - -
144 NEAL John P. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
144 KIM Dylan J. 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
146 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
147 JAIN Sarthak 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
148 CHUNG Thomas 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% -
148 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
148 WANG owen 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
151 LOWE-THORPE Tyler 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
152 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 8% 1%
153 HE Zhiheng 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
154 GREEN Jabreel 100% 99% 88% 50% 14% 2% -
155 BAGCHI Aritra 100% 90% 48% 13% 2% - -
156 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 14% 2%
157 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
158 GUAN Nathan 100% 97% 72% 29% 6% - -
159 GU Aidan 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% - -
160 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
161 LIU Felix 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
162 KOBI Samuel 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
163 ZHUANG William 100% 93% 65% 24% 4% - -
164 KIM Sullivan 100% 65% 24% 5% - - -
165 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
166 SEINI Leandro 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
167 WONG NICHOLAS A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
167 LIBSON Tazman 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
169 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 96% 63% 22% 4% - -
170 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
171 LI Sui Lun (Phillip) 100% 99% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
172 WONG Daniel 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
173 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
173 STABB Xuan 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -
175 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 86% 37% 8% 1% - -
176 MEINHOLD Li 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 12%
177 DIVERIS Joseph 100% 93% 63% 21% 3% - -
178 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 86% 43% 11% 1% - -
179 ROSENBERG Jacob 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
179 BHARGAV Siddharth 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
181 USHER Alexander 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 7% -
182 SIVAGAR Leo 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
183 LEE Chun Po 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
184 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 97% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
184 VEZMAR Evan H. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
186 KUO Elvin 100% 98% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
186 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
186 CUI Oscar (Bo Lang) 100% 94% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
189 NORMAN Christian 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
189 WATT Darren 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
191 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 98% 86% 51% 13% 1% -
192 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 100% 93% 69% 30% 5% -
193 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 99% 86% 45% 11% 1% -
194 MING Nathan 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
195 JIN daniel 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 4% -
196 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 97% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
196 KIM Tei D. 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 6% -
198 STCLAIR Jake 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
199 MENDOZA Zachari 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14% 1%
199 WILCOX Alexander 100% 96% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
201 CANO Diego A. 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
202 JAAFAR Omar 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 9% 1%
203 LI Patrick 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
204 GREEN Ummi 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
205 BUHEIS Alexander I. 100% 86% 44% 12% 1% -
206 CHU Allan 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
207 AHMED saheer 100% 61% 18% 3% - -
208 LIU Andrew 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
209 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
210 PARK Frederick 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
211 PAK Elliot 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
212 COMER Alexander J. 100% 92% 42% 8% 1% - -
213 ZHANG Nathan 100% 80% 38% 8% 1% - -
214 PHAM Sawyer T. 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
214 CASTELLY Luke 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
214 WEAVER Neil 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
217 MIAO KUNQI 100% 43% 6% - - - -
218 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
219 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
220 GENCHEV Madav 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
221 JU Hanul 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
222 LOFTUS Luca 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
223 HERMANSON David B. 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
224 EVANS noah 100% 87% 44% 10% 1% - -
225 COVAL Benjamin 100% 83% 33% 6% - - -
226 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 95% 63% 21% 3% - -
227 KIM Nathan 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
228 DAO Alexander 100% 89% 45% 12% 2% - -
228 FU Leon 100% 82% 46% 15% 3% - -
230 LI Chenyu 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
231 KUO Rylan 100% 65% 24% 5% - - -
231 BHARGAV Angad 100% 38% 6% 1% - - -
231 ULINICH Alexander 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
234 BHATT Arjun 100% 40% 6% - - - -
235 EVERS Gabriel 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
236 AGHAZARIAN Samuel G. 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
237 DOWDELL Riley 100% 69% 28% 7% 1% - -
238 STENNIS Brendan 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -
238 ARMITAGE Liam 100% 31% 4% - - - -
240 LOMIO Nicholas A. 100% 33% 5% - - - -
240 BURLING Trenor 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
242 CASASSOVICI Georges 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
243 WILLIS Alan 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
244 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
244 KHANNA Keshav 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
244 WONG Nathan 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
247 LAI Aaron 100% 23% 2% - - - -
248 TETALI Vishwanath 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
249 TONG Samuel 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
250 BENNETT Peter 100% 9% - - - - -
251 XIANG Hongyi 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
252 PRAKASH Hari 100% 24% 2% - - - -
252 LEE Bryson 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
252 EPHRAIM Dennis Malcolm 100% 76% 32% 6% 1% - -
255 LIU Noah 100% 37% 5% - - - -
255 WONG Ethan 100% 17% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.