November NAC

Junior Men's Épée

Friday, November 8, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Kentucky International Convention Center - Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SENNEWALD James J. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
2 SHAN Simon - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
3 BEZRODNOV Alexander - - - - 3% 24% 72%
3 DOYON - VERDON William - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
5 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - - 6% 39% 55%
6 CHONG christopher - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
7 ATKINS Levi H. 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
8 BEZRODNOV Michael - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
9 IYOKI Kent - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
10 LO Jake - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
11 WU Jonathan - - 4% 22% 46% 28%
12 ZHENG Andy - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
13 WU Joseph - - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
14 SINGHA Orion - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
15 FRAY Alexander - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
16 LEE Stewart S. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
17 YOUNG Peyton E. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
18 KNOX James - - 5% 24% 45% 25%
19 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
20 TREBON Hayden - - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
21 KANG Philip F. - - - - 5% 30% 64%
22 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 7% 27% 39% 23% 5%
23 HENSAL Nicolas A. - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
24 CAUCHY Eliot - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
25 LIOZNYANSKY Simon - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
26 LACROIX Floryan - 2% 16% 44% 32% 6%
27 CAO Brad - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 6%
28 SPINA Joseph B. - 1% 8% 25% 39% 23% 4%
28 SEO Shawn - 1% 9% 28% 39% 21% 3%
28 MAO Benjamin - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
31 KIM Nathan - 1% 8% 35% 44% 13%
32 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
33 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 29%
34 BARG Jonathan - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
35 GAO Daniel - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
36 LIU Yikun - 1% 5% 21% 38% 30% 5%
37 YUE Hongrui - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
38 GOHEL Dayus T. - - 2% 14% 44% 39%
39 ROMANOV Ethan - - 5% 21% 40% 28% 5%
40 CARRIER Gabriel A. - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
41 KOKENGE Reid - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
42 LE BORGNE Matthieu - - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
43 RIGGINS Joshua - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
44 SENNEWALD Frederick A. - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
45 HU Lucas 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
46 WU Alistair 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 6% 1%
47 MANN Jake R. - 1% 6% 25% 47% 22%
48 LIU Alexander - - - - 4% 28% 68%
49 ZAYDMAN Ethan - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
50 RUBIN Daniel - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
51 MOSES Alexander - - - - 5% 31% 63%
52 KHANNA Nikhil - - 2% 12% 35% 39% 12%
53 BADEA Christian 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
54 KRISHNAN Skanda 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
55 LIPPMAN Jake 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
56 HUTTO Joshua - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
57 WANG Daniel 6% 25% 39% 25% 6%
58 BRODSKY Julian 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% 1%
59 LI Tristan 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
60 O'DONNELL Benjamin - 3% 16% 35% 35% 11%
61 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
62 XIA Dashan - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 2%
63 HSU Joshua 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
64 ERDMAN Lucas - 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
65 ZHANG Nicholas Z. - - - - 1% 15% 84%
66 TIKHONOV Iliya - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 2%
67 IMREK Elijah S. - - - 1% 10% 36% 53%
68 OBERDERFER Vladimir 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 7% < 1%
69 ZHENG Haoran - - 3% 18% 50% 29%
70 LIU Yueri 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
71 LIN Kyran - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
71 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
73 TRULL A.J. - 1% 5% 20% 39% 29% 6%
74 IARIKOV Nicholas - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
75 MACARTY Jordan T. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
76 NORMILE Nicholas - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
76 WANG justin - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
76 CHEN Leonardo - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 5%
79 PAK Elliot - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
80 PARK Ian C. - - 1% 12% 46% 41%
81 PRASAD Ankith - - 2% 18% 55% 25%
82 KATS Dylan G. - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
83 WOLFE Alex - - 4% 21% 46% 28%
84 DIECK Logan O. - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
85 ARAVIND Athreya - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
86 KIM Ian - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
87 ESKRIDGE Caleb - 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
87 LAM Alan - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
89 SETO Jing - 3% 14% 34% 34% 14% 1%
90 NGUYEN Tate - - 1% 7% 28% 44% 20%
91 PARK Sangwook 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
92 KOYFMAN Benjamin - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
93 SEEFELDT William Henry C. - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 14%
94 HEADRICK Jack 11% 38% 35% 14% 2% - -
95 KIM Dylan J. - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 17%
95 SILVERS Ari - - 3% 16% 38% 34% 9%
97 WONG Baron 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
98 FRANGER Max - 4% 20% 37% 29% 8% -
99 GOLDFINE Ian J. - - 4% 23% 45% 27%
100 DALCOURT-GUILLOTTE Léonard 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
101 HAMZA Tudor - 1% 11% 34% 40% 14%
102 GRAVES Lawson 3% 21% 44% 27% 6% -
103 JAIN Samyak 3% 18% 39% 32% 8% 1%
104 KIM Sullivan - - 6% 28% 46% 19%
105 LAI Boden - 5% 21% 39% 28% 7%
106 YAO Geoffrey B. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
107 FAN Jackson - 1% 8% 24% 37% 26% 4%
108 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4% -
109 KARNAS Karol 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
110 DONAHUE Lake 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
111 ZHENG Jerry 1% 10% 31% 37% 17% 3% -
112 HE Kaixuan 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
113 DESTEFANO Julius - - 1% 10% 31% 41% 16%
113 GLENNON Sebastian J. - 1% 10% 28% 38% 21% 2%
115 TRAN Spencer 1% 12% 33% 35% 15% 3% -
116 JEYOON Ryan S. - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
116 MITEV Alexander - 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 3%
118 SHCHUR Landon - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 5%
118 MUENKE Magnus 12% 40% 34% 11% 2% - -
120 CHIN Dylan A. 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
120 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - 2% 13% 32% 36% 16% 1%
122 CHUNG Andrew 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
123 SIYANKO Joshua 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
124 HUANG Kenneth 18% 44% 29% 7% 1% -
125 PARK Nicholas - 1% 10% 33% 37% 16% 2%
126 SIM Ian 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
127 CHENH Justin 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1% -
127 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
129 PECH Giulio - 1% 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
130 SU Caleb - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
131 XIE Steven - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
132 RIM Eugene 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% < 1% -
133 BERNARD Jack B. - 1% 9% 27% 39% 22% 1%
134 DODIN David - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
135 KIM Alexander 4% 30% 42% 20% 4% -
136 CHOI Zachary - 6% 25% 42% 23% 4%
137 LI Yunji (Rain) 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
138 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5%
139 LONCAR Luka E. - - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
140 ROBINSON Samuel 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 5% -
141 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
142 LAI Aedin - 1% 6% 20% 37% 30% 6%
142 MODANLOU Navid 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
144 SANTOS Antonio K. - 7% 25% 37% 25% 7% -
145 ARKHIPOV Peter - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
146 WANG DEVON - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
147 SAVORETTI Francesco - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 8%
148 FANG Hanning 1% 12% 41% 33% 11% 2% -
149 TIKHOMIROV Theodore - 1% 8% 28% 39% 20% 3%
150 LEE Damien 8% 35% 37% 17% 3% - -
151 CARDENAS Lucas 7% 28% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
152 YANG Boyan - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
153 RICHARDS Jackson D. 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
153 MENDOZA Zachari 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 3%
155 CHEN Brian - 5% 23% 41% 26% 5%
156 TSE Maxwell 1% 12% 42% 38% 7% -
157 HEADRICK Lance - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
158 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% 1%
159 DAO Alexander 2% 17% 39% 32% 9% 1%
160 FU Leon - - 2% 10% 31% 39% 17%
161 GALLO James - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 4%
162 CORBIN Bennett - 1% 11% 31% 38% 16% 2%
163 ZI QIN Shang - 4% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
164 LI Ethan R. 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
165 DHAL Leon 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% -
165 MIAO Quentin 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
167 MCDOWELL Will 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
168 LEE Samuel Y. - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 6%
169 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
170 MUGA Aiden 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
171 CAMP Ethan 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
172 CHEN Bailey 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
172 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
174 BRADSHAW Carter 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
175 LEE Aiden - 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
175 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2% -
177 MEHROTRA Neel 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
177 FENG Du 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
179 TOUSSAINT Semaj 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
180 BUI Henry 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
181 TANG William 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
181 CHEN YiHeng 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
183 REPIC Oliver - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
184 WANG Tony 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
185 SIEDOW William 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
185 CHEN Jayden 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
187 YANG Gary 2% 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
188 TIKHONOV Daniel 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
189 DURKIN Tristan E. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
189 WU Steven 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
189 AGROMAYOR Benjamin 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
192 SVERDLOV Seth - 4% 24% 44% 24% 4%
193 ALI Farhan 3% 21% 47% 25% 5% -
194 BORISENKO Samuel 1% 11% 41% 39% 7% -
195 GINZBURG Adam 2% 14% 35% 36% 12% 1%
195 LEE Anton 41% 44% 13% 1% - -
197 JOHNSON Ryder 1% 11% 34% 38% 14% 2%
197 AHMED Mohsen 7% 32% 38% 18% 4% -
199 CLICK Tristan 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 1%
200 NILSEN Mark 42% 45% 12% 1% - -
201 SOKOL Luke 1% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
202 WANG aaron 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
203 CHOI Kaiden I. - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3%
204 HILBERT Gabriel E. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
204 BOUDREAUX James 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
206 PAN Tristan 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
207 PEREZ Daniel 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
208 WANG Joey 1% 11% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
209 ZHU Eric - 6% 25% 39% 23% 5% -
209 CHAN Raphael 7% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1% -
211 MORIN-JIANG Jake 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
211 DUKO Phillip 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
213 LU Jacob - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8% -
214 CHEN Luowen 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
215 RONG Gordon 11% 38% 36% 13% 2% - -
215 IBANEZ Benjamin 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
215 KIM Joshua 8% 33% 38% 18% 3% - -
218 OSBORN Hunter 1% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
219 LIU Zicheng (Andy) 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
220 GOROZA Eric 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
221 ZIEGLER John 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
222 SURESH NEERAJ 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
222 LIU Adam 1% 13% 33% 35% 15% 3% -
224 HERNDON Liam 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
225 LESCURE Dimitri 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
226 NALLICHERI Ayaan 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
227 LEE Aiden 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
228 WANG Jason 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
229 KARIMOV Amir 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
230 KIM Jayden 1% 10% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
231 LOISEAU Eliott 7% 27% 39% 23% 5%
232 YU Austin 20% 40% 30% 10% 1%
233 WILLIAMS Logan 10% 33% 38% 16% 2% -
234 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
235 WU Johnny y. 15% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
236 DOUBOV Andrew 3% 26% 42% 24% 5% -
237 CHANG Andrew 15% 38% 33% 12% 1% -
238 BARFORD Giovanni 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
239 MULDOON Thomas 13% 37% 35% 13% 1% -
240 DOWD Peter L. 22% 42% 28% 7% 1% -
241 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 15% 43% 32% 9% 1% -
242 HU Robert J. 4% 24% 42% 25% 5% -
243 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 37% 47% 14% 1% - -
244 HENSLEY Roran 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
245 MILLER Lance W. 2% 17% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
246 JONES Reilly 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
247 BOSS Evan 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
248 KUGLER Luke 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
249 SHA Michael 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
249 ANDERSON Kai 2% 20% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
249 CHENG Trevor 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
252 YI Nathan 6% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
253 HERDMAN Julian 43% 42% 13% 2% - - -
254 PAN Anthony 16% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
255 KE Sebastian 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
256 SANTOS Francisco M. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
256 HOWES William 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
258 ZHANG Lucas 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
259 MOORE Alexander 10% 39% 35% 13% 2% - -
260 LEE JoonWon - 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
261 SHOUSHA Yassin 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
261 SHIN Ryan 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
263 LEE Inwoo 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
263 MA Ciel 47% 43% 9% 1% - - -
265 BO Genero 47% 40% 11% 1% - - -
266 LI Timothy 64% 30% 5% - - - -
267 DELONG Joshua 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
267 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
267 ZHANG Austin 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
270 WANG Devin 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
271 NOFZIGER Bennett 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
271 MCLAREN Mason 42% 41% 15% 2% - - -
273 REID Wesley 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
274 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
275 RUSSELL James 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
276 GUO Woody 31% 43% 20% 4% - - -
277 LEE Royce 21% 43% 28% 8% 1% -
278 KIM Teo 22% 47% 26% 5% - -
279 KIM Remington 40% 43% 15% 2% - -
279 LI zerong 35% 44% 18% 3% - -
281 SAVORETTI Pietro 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
282 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 26% 50% 21% 3% - -
283 AYOTTE James 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
284 ZHANG Luqi 67% 28% 4% - - -
285 PAL Ian K. 14% 36% 33% 14% 2% - -
285 VAN VACTER Thomas 19% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
285 LOISEAU Oscar 3% 24% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
285 SHEN Orlando 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
289 SOOS Whitman 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
290 LEE Daniel 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
290 MCNARY Sean 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
292 DECKER Hunter 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
293 OTTAVIANO Aaron 26% 52% 19% 3% - - -
293 CLARE James 46% 41% 12% 1% - - -
295 ZHANG Caden < 1% 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
295 MILLER Hayden 68% 27% 4% - - - -
297 WONG King-Yee 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
298 LEHNER Brian 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
298 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
300 GADBURY Logan 33% 50% 16% 2% - -
301 ALEXANDER Christopher 46% 40% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.