November NAC

Junior Men's Épée

Friday, November 8, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Kentucky International Convention Center - Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
2 SHAN Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
3 DOYON - VERDON William 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
5 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 55%
6 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
7 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 12% 1%
8 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
9 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
10 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
11 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
12 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
13 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
14 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
15 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
16 LEE Stewart S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
17 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
18 KNOX James 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
19 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
20 TREBON Hayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
21 KANG Philip F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
22 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 93% 66% 28% 5%
23 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
24 CAUCHY Eliot 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
25 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
26 LACROIX Floryan 100% 100% 98% 82% 39% 6%
27 CAO Brad 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6%
28 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 4%
28 SEO Shawn 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 3%
28 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
31 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 13%
32 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
33 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
34 BARG Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
35 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
36 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 5%
37 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
38 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
39 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 5%
40 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
41 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
42 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
43 RIGGINS Joshua 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
44 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
45 HU Lucas 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 12% 1%
46 WU Alistair 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
47 MANN Jake R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 22%
48 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
49 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
50 RUBIN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
51 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
52 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
53 BADEA Christian 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
54 KRISHNAN Skanda 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 7% 1%
55 LIPPMAN Jake 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
56 HUTTO Joshua 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
57 WANG Daniel 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
58 BRODSKY Julian 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
59 LI Tristan 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
60 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
61 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
62 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
63 HSU Joshua 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
64 ERDMAN Lucas 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
65 ZHANG Nicholas Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
66 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 2%
67 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
68 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% < 1%
69 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 29%
70 LIU Yueri 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
71 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
71 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
73 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 35% 6%
74 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
75 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
76 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
76 WANG justin 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
76 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
79 PAK Elliot 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
80 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 41%
81 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 25%
82 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
83 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
84 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
85 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
86 KIM Ian 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
87 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
87 LAM Alan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
89 SETO Jing 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 1%
90 NGUYEN Tate 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
91 PARK Sangwook 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
92 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 2%
93 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
94 HEADRICK Jack 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% - -
95 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
95 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
97 WONG Baron 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
98 FRANGER Max 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% -
99 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
100 DALCOURT-GUILLOTTE Léonard 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
101 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
102 GRAVES Lawson 100% 97% 77% 33% 6% -
103 JAIN Samyak 100% 97% 79% 40% 8% 1%
104 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 19%
105 LAI Boden 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
106 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
107 FAN Jackson 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 4%
108 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
109 KARNAS Karol 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
110 DONAHUE Lake 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
111 ZHENG Jerry 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3% -
112 HE Kaixuan 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
113 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
113 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 2%
115 TRAN Spencer 100% 99% 86% 54% 18% 3% -
116 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
116 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 3%
118 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 5%
118 MUENKE Magnus 100% 88% 47% 13% 2% - -
120 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% -
120 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 1%
122 CHUNG Andrew 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
123 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
124 HUANG Kenneth 100% 82% 38% 8% 1% -
125 PARK Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 2%
126 SIM Ian 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
127 CHENH Justin 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
127 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 3% -
129 PECH Giulio 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
130 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
131 XIE Steven 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
132 RIM Eugene 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% < 1% -
133 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 1%
134 DODIN David 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
135 KIM Alexander 100% 96% 66% 24% 4% -
136 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 94% 69% 27% 4%
137 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
138 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
139 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
140 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
141 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
142 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 6%
142 MODANLOU Navid 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
144 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
145 ARKHIPOV Peter 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
146 WANG DEVON 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
147 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 8%
148 FANG Hanning 100% 99% 87% 46% 13% 2% -
149 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 3%
150 LEE Damien 100% 92% 57% 20% 4% - -
151 CARDENAS Lucas 100% 93% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
152 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
153 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3%
153 MENDOZA Zachari 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 3%
155 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
156 TSE Maxwell 100% 99% 88% 45% 8% -
157 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
158 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
159 DAO Alexander 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1%
160 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
161 GALLO James 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
162 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
163 ZI QIN Shang 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
164 LI Ethan R. 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
165 DHAL Leon 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
165 MIAO Quentin 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5% -
167 MCDOWELL Will 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
168 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 6%
169 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
170 MUGA Aiden 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
171 CAMP Ethan 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
172 CHEN Bailey 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
172 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
174 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
175 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9% 1%
175 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2% -
177 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
177 FENG Du 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
179 TOUSSAINT Semaj 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
180 BUI Henry 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
181 TANG William 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
181 CHEN YiHeng 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
183 REPIC Oliver 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
184 WANG Tony 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
185 SIEDOW William 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
185 CHEN Jayden 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
187 YANG Gary 100% 98% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
188 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
189 DURKIN Tristan E. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
189 WU Steven 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
189 AGROMAYOR Benjamin 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
192 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 95% 72% 28% 4%
193 ALI Farhan 100% 97% 77% 30% 5% -
194 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 99% 88% 47% 8% -
195 GINZBURG Adam 100% 98% 84% 49% 13% 1%
195 LEE Anton 100% 59% 15% 1% - -
197 JOHNSON Ryder 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 2%
197 AHMED Mohsen 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% -
199 CLICK Tristan 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
200 NILSEN Mark 100% 58% 13% 1% - -
201 SOKOL Luke 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
202 WANG aaron 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
203 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
204 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
204 BOUDREAUX James 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
206 PAN Tristan 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
207 PEREZ Daniel 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
208 WANG Joey 100% 99% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
209 ZHU Eric 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 6% -
209 CHAN Raphael 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
211 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
211 DUKO Phillip 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
213 LU Jacob 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% -
214 CHEN Luowen 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
215 RONG Gordon 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% - -
215 IBANEZ Benjamin 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
215 KIM Joshua 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
218 OSBORN Hunter 100% 99% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
219 LIU Zicheng (Andy) 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
220 GOROZA Eric 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
221 ZIEGLER John 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
222 SURESH NEERAJ 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
222 LIU Adam 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
224 HERNDON Liam 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
225 LESCURE Dimitri 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
226 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
227 LEE Aiden 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
228 WANG Jason 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
229 KARIMOV Amir 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
230 KIM Jayden 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% 1%
231 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 93% 67% 28% 5%
232 YU Austin 100% 80% 41% 11% 1%
233 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 90% 57% 19% 2% -
234 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
235 WU Johnny y. 100% 85% 46% 13% 1% -
236 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 97% 71% 29% 5% -
237 CHANG Andrew 100% 85% 46% 13% 1% -
238 BARFORD Giovanni 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
239 MULDOON Thomas 100% 87% 50% 14% 1% -
240 DOWD Peter L. 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
241 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 85% 42% 10% 1% -
242 HU Robert J. 100% 96% 72% 30% 6% -
243 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 63% 16% 1% - -
244 HENSLEY Roran 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
245 MILLER Lance W. 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
246 JONES Reilly 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
247 BOSS Evan 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% - -
248 KUGLER Luke 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
249 SHA Michael 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
249 ANDERSON Kai 100% 98% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
249 CHENG Trevor 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
252 YI Nathan 100% 94% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
253 HERDMAN Julian 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
254 PAN Anthony 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
255 KE Sebastian 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
256 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
256 HOWES William 100% 92% 60% 23% 4% - -
258 ZHANG Lucas 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
259 MOORE Alexander 100% 90% 51% 16% 2% - -
260 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
261 SHOUSHA Yassin 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
261 SHIN Ryan 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
263 LEE Inwoo 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
263 MA Ciel 100% 53% 10% 1% - - -
265 BO Genero 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
266 LI Timothy 100% 36% 6% - - - -
267 DELONG Joshua 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
267 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
267 ZHANG Austin 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
270 WANG Devin 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
271 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% - -
271 MCLAREN Mason 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
273 REID Wesley 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
274 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian 100% 87% 48% 15% 2% - -
275 RUSSELL James 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
276 GUO Woody 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -
277 LEE Royce 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
278 KIM Teo 100% 78% 31% 5% - -
279 KIM Remington 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
279 LI zerong 100% 65% 20% 3% - -
281 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
282 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 74% 23% 3% - -
283 AYOTTE James 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
284 ZHANG Luqi 100% 33% 4% - - -
285 PAL Ian K. 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
285 VAN VACTER Thomas 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
285 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 97% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
285 SHEN Orlando 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
289 SOOS Whitman 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
290 LEE Daniel 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
290 MCNARY Sean 100% 45% 8% 1% - - -
292 DECKER Hunter 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
293 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 74% 22% 3% - - -
293 CLARE James 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
295 ZHANG Caden 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 7%
295 MILLER Hayden 100% 32% 5% - - - -
297 WONG King-Yee 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 4% -
298 LEHNER Brian 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
298 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
300 GADBURY Logan 100% 67% 17% 2% - -
301 ALEXANDER Christopher 100% 54% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.