Capitol Clash SYC, RCC, Veteran ROC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, January 18, 2020 at 8:30 AM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Nicholas Z. - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
2 PARK Ian C. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
3 AGAON Ethan - - 3% 13% 32% 38% 15%
3 VAYSBUKH Konstantin - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
5 THAYER Bryce - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
6 EKE Frank - - - 7% 28% 42% 22%
7 PINERO Jose J. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
8 TIYA BIAYA K. - - 1% 8% 31% 45% 15%
9 TRIMMER Colin - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
10 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
11 GOHEL Dayus T. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
12 LEE Shwan - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
13 LONCAR Luka E. - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
14 WU Jason - - 4% 17% 36% 32% 10%
15 MURPHY Thomas P. - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9% 1%
16 SKAALAND Will 3% 24% 43% 24% 5% -
17 RHYU Kozmo - - - 2% 17% 44% 37%
18 CHATZIKALFAS Dimitris E. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
19 GOLDFINE Ian J. - - - 2% 15% 46% 37%
20 SHAH Maximilian A. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
21 LEONE III Charles D. - 1% 8% 32% 42% 17%
22 CHONG christopher - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
23 KROPP Jack - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
24 GALLANT Antoine - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
25 CHEN Eric - - 5% 23% 41% 26% 4%
26 MACARTY Jordan T. - - 1% 10% 34% 40% 14%
27 BUYANOV Nikita V. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
28 SALERNO Gaetano - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
29 MUCCIARONE Massimo - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
30 KOBI Samuel - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
31 YAO Geoffrey B. - 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2%
32 MISHIMA Torata - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
33 CHAWLA Armaan - - 4% 15% 34% 34% 13%
34 LEE Daniel Y. - - - 1% 10% 40% 48%
35 LI Benjamin - - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9%
35 CLICK Aiden - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 13%
37 HE Lawrence - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
38 KIM Edward J. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
39 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
40 JEYOON Ryan S. - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
41 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
42 DYER Ian E. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
43 HENSAL Nicolas A. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
43 LIEF Isaac R. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
45 JUN Jaywu - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
46 KOKENGE Reid - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
47 DIXON Thomas - 1% 11% 34% 40% 14%
48 BORODITSKY Ethan - - 2% 14% 37% 37% 10%
49 LEE Noah - - - 5% 23% 47% 25%
50 YUAN Calvin - 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
51 DESTEFANO Julius - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
52 BASOK Nikita - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
53 PAHLAVI Kamran 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
54 KHANNA Nikhil - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
55 CHOI Mason 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
56 SAKO Ayrton I. 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
56 PARK Frederick - 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1%
58 WU Byron - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
59 SU Caleb - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 14%
60 TIKHOMIROV Theodore - 5% 21% 40% 28% 6%
61 ZENG Zihan - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
62 DUAN eric - 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
63 WANG Tristan - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
64 ROYTBURD Samuel 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
65 KUMAR Aidan - 1% 7% 27% 41% 22% 3%
66 PIERANUNZI Jules W. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
67 NORTH Alexander M. - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
68 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - 1% 10% 39% 39% 11%
69 PRIHODKO Max - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
70 AGAON Shawn - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
71 GAO Daniel 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% < 1% -
72 LEE Samuel Y. - 6% 26% 42% 23% 3%
73 BANNEN Nicholas - 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
74 MCALISTER Ian 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2% -
75 STANCILL Hunter G. 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
76 CIGLIANO Benjamin I. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
77 O'CONNOR Riley - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
78 CHAMBLISS Logan C. - 2% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
79 GUAN Nathan - 3% 18% 40% 30% 8% 1%
80 FU Ethan 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% 1%
81 EMDEN André - 1% 10% 33% 40% 16%
82 DENNIS Ethan - 2% 15% 39% 36% 8%
83 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
84 WEI Michael - 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
85 VACCARO Dominick J. 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
86 WU Marcus - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
87 USDIN Anton - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
88 DIECK Logan O. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
89 HILBERT Gabriel E. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
90 LEE Seungwon - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
91 ELYADERANI Paxon 1% 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% -
92 JANG Elliot - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
93 KIM Byung - 2% 16% 42% 31% 9% 1%
93 LIU Yichen 1% 9% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
95 KNOEPFFLER Alex - - 3% 19% 42% 30% 6%
96 NGUYEN Tate 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
96 SINGH Aryaman 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
98 ILYAS Zakariya - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
99 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. - - 3% 16% 40% 35% 7%
99 ZHANG Braydon - 3% 14% 33% 33% 14% 2%
101 KATS Dylan G. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
102 LEE Hudson 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
103 KHALITOV Alexander - 10% 33% 37% 16% 2% -
104 WOLFE Alex 2% 12% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
105 KIM Dylan J. 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
106 LOWENSTEIN Isaac 12% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
107 KIM Nathan - 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
108 MORTIMER Gavin 19% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
109 CAO Albert - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
110 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
111 CROSS Kieran 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 4% -
112 CAO Brad - 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
113 JOSLIN Tyler 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
114 SINFUEGO Adrian 17% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
115 ABBOUD Michael - 4% 16% 32% 32% 15% 2%
116 KWOUN Miles S. 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
117 BUTLER Miles 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
118 HUBSCHER Max 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
119 PARK Nicholas 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
120 MORAN Joseph 41% 43% 14% 2% - - -
121 WANG zhixing (Daniel） 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
122 JORDAN Anton 2% 16% 41% 32% 9% 1%
123 ZHUANG Alex 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
124 SUN Jason 2% 15% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
125 WANG Clayton 5% 36% 40% 17% 3% - -
126 CHOI Marcus 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
127 CILOGLU Dorukhan 2% 14% 37% 34% 12% 2% -
128 BERNARD Jack B. 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
129 KESTNER Jack - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
130 CANO Marcos E. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
130 NIKOLOV Peter - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
132 JONES Aidan 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
133 LOISEAU Eliott - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
134 IVKOV Dmitriy 1% 8% 30% 39% 19% 3% -
135 RUNGE Patrick A. 16% 45% 30% 8% 1% -
136 NESTERCZUK Maddox W. 21% 51% 23% 4% - - -
137 WALCH Logan 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
137 SCHOENEG Liam 1% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
139 LAZARRE Alex 1% 12% 36% 36% 13% 2% -
140 CHEN Zhong Han 3% 24% 47% 22% 4% - -
141 IVKOV Alexander 4% 23% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
142 MEI Andrew 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
143 CLICK Tristan 3% 19% 42% 28% 7% 1% -
144 NELSON Tennyson - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
145 CHOPRA-KHAN Jonah 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
146 GARLAND Nathaniel 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
147 SNYDER Ari - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
148 SLEDJESKI Christopher 18% 41% 30% 10% 2% - -
149 MARGHUB Safi 12% 40% 35% 11% 1% -
150 WITTENWYLER Henry 51% 39% 9% 1% - -
150 TIRADO Giancarlo 9% 40% 38% 12% 1% -
152 CHIN Dylan A. 1% 12% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
153 SKORUPAN Grant - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
154 KUBATIN Anton V. 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
155 ZHANG Andy 40% 42% 16% 3% - - -
156 PHUKAN Rohin 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
156 ZHAO corey 4% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
158 LEE JoonWon 31% 46% 19% 3% - - -
159 ROBERTS Magnus 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
160 ZHANG Caden 50% 40% 9% 1% - - -
161 SCHULZE Ethan 35% 41% 19% 5% 1% - -
162 SUN Jeffery 3% 20% 40% 30% 6% - -
163 OTTO Nathaniel B. 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
164 BHATTACHARYYA Rohan 24% 46% 24% 6% 1% - -
165 MING Isaac 27% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
166 WANG Yi Nan 16% 46% 29% 8% 1% - -
167 SHARMA Om V. 12% 46% 33% 9% 1% - -
168 HU Anton 12% 44% 33% 10% 1% - -
169 BECK James 3% 33% 41% 19% 4% - -
170 PENHOET Adrien E. 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
170 SANTOS Francisco M. 40% 45% 13% 2% - - -
172 ROSE Nicholas E. 15% 41% 34% 9% 1% -
172 SANTOS Antonio K. 45% 42% 12% 1% - -
174 STEPHENSON Jacob 29% 48% 20% 3% - - -
174 ROMERO KURI Carlos Alexander 6% 27% 37% 22% 7% 1% -
176 LAI Aiden 52% 39% 8% 1% - - -
177 FANG Hanning 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
178 TOM Derek 11% 38% 36% 13% 2% - -
179 CHENH Justin 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
180 MCBRIDE Ryan J. 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
180 YEUNG Yun 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
180 PAN Tristan 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
183 HUGHES Enda 23% 51% 23% 3% - - -
184 DOWD Peter L. 78% 21% 2% - - - -
185 BOWDEN Ian 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
186 TOM Edwin 11% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.