The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Capitol Clash SYC, RCC, Veteran ROC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, January 18, 2020 at 8:30 AM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Nicholas Z. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
2 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
3 AGAON Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
3 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
5 THAYER Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
6 EKE Frank 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 22%
7 PINERO Jose J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
8 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 15%
9 TRIMMER Colin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
10 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
11 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
12 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
13 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
14 WU Jason 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
15 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10% 1%
16 SKAALAND Will 100% 97% 73% 29% 6% -
17 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
18 CHATZIKALFAS Dimitris E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
19 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 37%
20 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
21 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 17%
22 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
23 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
24 GALLANT Antoine 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
25 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 4%
26 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
27 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
28 SALERNO Gaetano 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
29 MUCCIARONE Massimo 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
30 KOBI Samuel 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
31 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
32 MISHIMA Torata 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
33 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
34 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
35 LI Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
35 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
37 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
38 KIM Edward J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
39 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
40 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
41 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 7%
42 DYER Ian E. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
43 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
43 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
45 JUN Jaywu 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
46 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
47 DIXON Thomas 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
48 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
49 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 25%
50 YUAN Calvin 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
51 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
52 BASOK Nikita 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
53 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
54 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
55 CHOI Mason 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
56 SAKO Ayrton I. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
56 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
58 WU Byron 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
59 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
60 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
61 ZENG Zihan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
62 DUAN eric 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1%
63 WANG Tristan 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
64 ROYTBURD Samuel 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
65 KUMAR Aidan 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24% 3%
66 PIERANUNZI Jules W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
67 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 9%
68 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50% 11%
69 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
70 AGAON Shawn 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
71 GAO Daniel 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% < 1% -
72 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 3%
73 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1%
74 MCALISTER Ian 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2% -
75 STANCILL Hunter G. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
76 CIGLIANO Benjamin I. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
77 O'CONNOR Riley 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
78 CHAMBLISS Logan C. 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
79 GUAN Nathan 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 9% 1%
80 FU Ethan 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% 1%
81 EMDEN André 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 16%
82 DENNIS Ethan 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 8%
83 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
84 WEI Michael 100% 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
85 VACCARO Dominick J. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
86 WU Marcus 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
87 USDIN Anton 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
88 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
89 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
90 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
91 ELYADERANI Paxon 100% 99% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
92 JANG Elliot 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 25% 4%
93 KIM Byung 100% 100% 98% 82% 40% 9% 1%
93 LIU Yichen 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
95 KNOEPFFLER Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 6%
96 NGUYEN Tate 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
96 SINGH Aryaman 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
98 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
99 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 7%
99 ZHANG Braydon 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
101 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
102 LEE Hudson 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
103 KHALITOV Alexander 100% 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
104 WOLFE Alex 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
105 KIM Dylan J. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
106 LOWENSTEIN Isaac 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% - -
107 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
108 MORTIMER Gavin 100% 81% 38% 10% 1% -
109 CAO Albert 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
110 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 3% -
111 CROSS Kieran 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 5% -
112 CAO Brad 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
113 JOSLIN Tyler 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
114 SINFUEGO Adrian 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
115 ABBOUD Michael 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
116 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
117 BUTLER Miles 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
118 HUBSCHER Max 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
119 PARK Nicholas 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
120 MORAN Joseph 100% 59% 15% 2% - - -
121 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
122 JORDAN Anton 100% 98% 82% 42% 10% 1%
123 ZHUANG Alex 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
124 SUN Jason 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
125 WANG Clayton 100% 95% 60% 20% 3% - -
126 CHOI Marcus 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
127 CILOGLU Dorukhan 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 2% -
128 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
129 KESTNER Jack 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
130 CANO Marcos E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 6%
130 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
132 JONES Aidan 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
133 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
134 IVKOV Dmitriy 100% 99% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
135 RUNGE Patrick A. 100% 84% 38% 8% 1% -
136 NESTERCZUK Maddox W. 100% 79% 28% 5% - - -
137 WALCH Logan 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
137 SCHOENEG Liam 100% 99% 86% 52% 19% 3% -
139 LAZARRE Alex 100% 99% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
140 CHEN Zhong Han 100% 97% 73% 26% 4% - -
141 IVKOV Alexander 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
142 MEI Andrew 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
143 CLICK Tristan 100% 97% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
144 NELSON Tennyson 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
145 CHOPRA-KHAN Jonah 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
146 GARLAND Nathaniel 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
147 SNYDER Ari 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
148 SLEDJESKI Christopher 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% - -
149 MARGHUB Safi 100% 88% 48% 13% 1% -
150 WITTENWYLER Henry 100% 49% 10% 1% - -
150 TIRADO Giancarlo 100% 91% 51% 14% 2% -
152 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
153 SKORUPAN Grant 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
154 KUBATIN Anton V. 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
155 ZHANG Andy 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
156 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
156 ZHAO corey 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
158 LEE JoonWon 100% 69% 23% 3% - - -
159 ROBERTS Magnus 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
160 ZHANG Caden 100% 50% 9% 1% - - -
161 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
162 SUN Jeffery 100% 97% 77% 36% 7% - -
163 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% - -
164 BHATTACHARYYA Rohan 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -
165 MING Isaac 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - -
166 WANG Yi Nan 100% 84% 38% 9% 1% - -
167 SHARMA Om V. 100% 88% 42% 10% 1% - -
168 HU Anton 100% 88% 45% 11% 1% - -
169 BECK James 100% 97% 64% 23% 4% - -
170 PENHOET Adrien E. 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
170 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 60% 14% 2% - - -
172 ROSE Nicholas E. 100% 85% 44% 10% 1% -
172 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 55% 13% 1% - -
174 STEPHENSON Jacob 100% 71% 23% 3% - - -
174 ROMERO KURI Carlos Alexander 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
176 LAI Aiden 100% 48% 9% 1% - - -
177 FANG Hanning 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
178 TOM Derek 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% - -
179 CHENH Justin 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
180 MCBRIDE Ryan J. 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
180 YEUNG Yun 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
180 PAN Tristan 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
183 HUGHES Enda 100% 77% 26% 3% - - -
184 DOWD Peter L. 100% 22% 2% - - - -
185 BOWDEN Ian 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
186 TOM Edwin 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.