December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, December 2, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KANG Philip F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
2 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
3 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
3 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
5 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
6 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
7 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 18%
8 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
9 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
10 TREBON Hayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
11 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
12 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
13 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
14 CAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
15 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 49%
16 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
17 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
17 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
19 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
20 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
21 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
22 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
23 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
24 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
25 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
26 NGUYEN Tate 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
27 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 19%
28 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
29 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
30 LAM Alan 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
31 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
32 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
33 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
34 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 13% 1%
35 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
36 HUTTO Joshua 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
37 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
38 KIM Byung 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
39 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
40 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
41 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
42 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 8% 1%
43 KUMAR Aidan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
44 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
44 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
46 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
47 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
48 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
49 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
50 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
51 WANG Clayton 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
52 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
53 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
54 CAO Brad 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
55 MITEV Alexander 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
56 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
57 ABBOUD Michael 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
58 JIANG ryan 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
59 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
60 BUI Henry 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
61 KOKENGE Reid 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 13% 1%
62 GAO Zachary 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 6% 1%
63 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
64 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
65 LEE JoonWon 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% < 1%
66 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
67 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
68 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
69 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
70 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 2% -
71 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 12%
72 MUGA Aiden 100% 95% 71% 32% 5% -
73 ZHAO Corey 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 22%
74 MCCOWN Ronan 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
75 GRAVES Lawson 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
76 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
77 DORASZELSKI Mark 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
78 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 12%
78 MCADOO Declan 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 6% -
80 SCHARF Ryan 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
81 YU Hunter 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
82 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
83 JU Hanul 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
84 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% 1%
85 LAI Boden 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
86 HU Anton 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
87 MEN Junda 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
88 LI Zachary 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
89 ZHANG ethan 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
90 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
91 ZHAO Zidong 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
92 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
92 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
94 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
95 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17% 2%
96 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 2% -
97 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
98 DU SHUNYU K. 100% 97% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
99 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
100 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
100 LESCURE Dimitri 100% 94% 63% 23% 4% - -
102 DUAN eric 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
103 SOKOL Luke 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
104 CHEN Luowen 100% 50% 13% 2% - - -
105 PAK Elliot 100% 97% 79% 43% 11% 1%
106 THOMAS Michael 100% 85% 46% 13% 1% -
107 HULL Liam 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
108 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 7%
109 MING Nathan 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
110 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
111 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
111 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6%
111 SINGH Ravin 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
114 ZI QIN Shang 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
115 LEE Aiden 100% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
116 KNOX James 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 8%
117 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
118 HEADRICK Jack 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
119 KIM Ian 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
120 SONG Troy 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
121 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 2%
122 SINHA Zaan 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
123 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
124 DHAL Leon 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
125 MODANLOU Navid 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
126 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
127 LEE DoWon 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
128 TOUSSAINT Semaj 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
129 SHIV Rishi 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
130 KRISHNAN Skanda 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
131 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 4%
132 YU Austin 100% 99% 86% 52% 19% 3% -
133 SUN Jason 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
134 FANG Hanning 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
135 HU Robert J. 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
136 WANG justin 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
137 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
138 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
139 TIEN Jabin 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
140 CHOI Zachary 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 4% -
141 MIAO Quentin 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
142 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
142 HE Zhiheng 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 14% 2%
144 ZHU Eric 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
145 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
145 MCALISTER Ian 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7%
145 TRULL A.J. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
148 CHEN Brian 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
148 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
148 SNYDER Ari 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
151 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
152 ZHANG Lucas 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
153 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
153 SUN Jeffery 100% 94% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
155 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
156 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
156 CHAI Ethan 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
156 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
159 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
160 ALI Farhan 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
161 PETROVICH Alexandar 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
162 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
163 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 18% 3%
164 MEGGERS Davin 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
165 CHENH Justin 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
166 NEAL John P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
167 HE Patrick 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
168 LI Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 23% 3%
169 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
169 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
171 DAN Rex 100% 99% 84% 48% 14% 2% -
172 EMMERT JP 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
173 WONG Baron 100% 79% 38% 11% 1% - -
174 GANESAN Mathavan 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
175 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
176 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
176 PARK Nicholas 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9% 1%
178 CHOI San 100% 86% 45% 13% 2% - -
179 WANG Aiden 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
180 OKUN Benjamin 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
181 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 84% 41% 10% 1% - -
182 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
183 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
184 MILLER Lance W. 100% 97% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
185 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1% -
185 FU Leon 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
187 CHEMEZOV Trent 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% - -
188 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
189 BOUDREAUX James 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
190 PAN Tristan 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
191 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
192 SHA Michael 100% 98% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
193 ORESKOVIC Olivier 100% 40% 7% - - - -
194 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
194 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% - -
194 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
197 PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
198 AMOLSCH Dylan 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
199 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
200 CHHU Allen 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
201 SO Lorenzo 100% 95% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
202 ZHANG Roland 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
203 WONG King-Yee 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
204 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
205 TIEMANN Landen 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
206 REPIC Oliver 100% 95% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
207 STEPHENS Corbin 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
208 SAKO Ayrton J. 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
208 HERNDON Liam 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
208 WANG Xiangdong 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
211 PAL Ian K. 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
212 STAFFORD Bryan 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
213 KUO Garrett 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
214 DONNELLY Enzo 100% 35% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.