National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Men's Épée

Friday, June 30, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 IMREK Samuel A. - 1% 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
2 SHAH S Ayush - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 7%
3 RAMIREZ Yeisser - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
3 KUSHNERIK Ethan - - - 3% 15% 39% 43%
5 LAWSON Nicholas W. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
6 EMARA Omar 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
7 FRAY Alexander - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
8 KUMASHI Mihir R. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
9 LAWSON Henry A. - - - 4% 18% 42% 37%
10 LIU Alexander - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
11 LIVERANT Skyler J. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 10%
12 SILVERS Noah E. 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
13 YOO Justin - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
13 LANGE Henry C. - - 1% 7% 26% 44% 23%
15 HANSEN Jonas B. - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
16 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
17 BIDA Sergey - - 1% 13% 44% 34% 8%
18 MA Ark - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
19 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 11%
20 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
20 GRIFFITHS Ryan - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
22 PARK Ian C. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
23 KAULL James T. - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
24 PARK Frederick 15% 36% 33% 14% 2% -
25 EWART Jr. Stephen P. - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
26 GOHEL Dayus T. 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
27 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) - 2% 11% 26% 34% 21% 5%
28 MATVEEV Valentin S. - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
29 MOSES Alexander 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
30 LIN Kyran 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
31 ZAFFT Maximo S. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
32 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
33 WEISS Miles J. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
34 TAFOYA Devin D. - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
35 MOORE Shomari A. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
36 SINGHA Orion 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
37 YOUNG Peyton E. 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
38 LIEF Isaac R. - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
39 VINNITCHOUK Theodore (Ted) - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
40 HILBERT Xavier 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
40 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
42 WU Joseph - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 5%
43 RODNEY Adam R. - - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
43 WHITE Sean - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
45 MAZUR Daniil - - 4% 16% 35% 35% 9%
46 BOYCE Samuel H. 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
47 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
47 BEZRODNOV Alexander - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
49 BEZRODNOV Michael 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6%
49 XU Timothy (Tingwei) - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
51 MILLER Jeffrey E. - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
52 KNYSH Oleg - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
53 JIN Owen 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% 1%
54 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
55 LI Jesse - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
56 CLICK Aiden 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
57 IVE Isaac L. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 19% 4%
58 TRAGER Matthew G. - - 2% 9% 26% 39% 23%
59 NORTH Gary S. - 1% 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
60 INSLER Ethan C. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 9% 1%
61 WRIGHT Christopher 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% 1% -
62 GUO Austin S. 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
63 MICKO Fritz K. 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
64 HENSAL Nicolas A. 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 1%
65 SHELANSKI Isaac - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
66 GIBSON Nowell L. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% < 1%
67 GANA Jr Jorge M. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
68 YERGLER Jonathan A. - - 4% 16% 36% 34% 10%
69 KATS Dylan G. 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3% -
70 HADDAD Justin R. - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
71 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
72 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
73 SENNEWALD James J. 1% 14% 37% 34% 12% 1%
74 SMOAK Omari Z. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
75 LEE Daniel Y. - 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
76 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. - - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
77 LOGUE Ethan D. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
78 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
79 VERMEULE Spencer - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
80 CHONG christopher - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
81 BINDAS Odinn A. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
82 IVAKIMOV Vasil 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
83 JONES Simon A. - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
84 KIM Benjamin I. 2% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
85 EVERS Gabriel 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
86 LO Jake 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
87 TREBON Hayden 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
88 ZHOU Stanley Q. 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
89 LEE Seungwon 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
90 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
91 IARIKOV Nicholas 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
92 ZHAO Corey 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
93 HE Lawrence 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2% -
94 CANDELA Nicholas - - 3% 13% 35% 38% 11%
95 JIN Daniel 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
96 IMREK Elijah S. 4% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
96 WANG DEVON 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
98 MUGA Boris 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 6% 1%
99 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
99 HUANG Thomas 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
101 BENACK Steven M. 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
102 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - 4% 16% 33% 33% 12% 1%
103 NOWAK Jakub P. 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
104 KANG Philip F. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
105 MUNLIN Donovan 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
105 O'DONNELL Benjamin 16% 38% 31% 12% 3% - -
105 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 2% 14% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
105 YAO Geoffrey B. 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
109 LEE Samuel Y. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
109 GALLO James 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
111 WU Jonathan 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 3% -
112 YU Colin - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
113 MURPHY Thomas P. 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% -
114 DAVOODIAN Christopher 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
115 GOLDFINE Ian J. 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
116 SANDERS Ian W. - - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
117 RHYU Kozmo - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
118 GAO Daniel 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
119 LONCAR Luka E. 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
120 DESTEFANO Julius 10% 38% 36% 14% 2% -
121 CARRIER Gabriel A. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
122 MATTIS George 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
123 LARSEN Samuel F. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
123 NORTH Alexander M. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
125 IYOKI Kent - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
126 FULLER George K. 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
127 THOMAS Harris 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
128 DUNCAN Corwin - - 1% 6% 22% 43% 29%
129 MACZIK Adam W. - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
130 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
131 BORODITSKY Ethan 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
131 JOSEPH William 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
133 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
133 KNOX James 12% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
135 NGUYEN Tate 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
136 SHCHUR Landon 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
137 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 9% 1%
138 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
139 ZHANG Andy W. - 6% 26% 40% 24% 4%
140 KIM Byung 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
141 KHAYAT Ziad N. - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
142 RODNEY Maxwell 12% 33% 35% 16% 4% -
143 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
144 FU Leon 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% - -
145 KUMAR Aidan 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
146 PRASAD Ankith - 4% 17% 32% 32% 14% 1%
146 SHARMA Sanil 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
148 KOKENGE Reid 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
149 FULLERTON Houston T. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
150 AGAON Shawn 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
150 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 19% 37% 29% 12% 2% - -
152 MACARTY Jordan T. 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
152 BHATNAGAR Ayan 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
154 MELCHER Jack H. - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 2%
155 JEYOON Ryan S. - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
156 KIM Dylan J. 5% 21% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
157 TOWNSEND Avery S. - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 3%
158 ZHAO Luhan 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
159 NIKOLOV Peter 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
160 SHAH Maximilian A. 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4% -
161 NEAL John P. 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 2% -
162 CHOI Mason 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
163 ULINICH Alexander 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
164 SPIER Julian H. 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
165 SPINA Joseph B. 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% -
166 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
167 HILBERT Gabriel E. 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
168 JIN Nicholas 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 3% -
169 PAK Elliot 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
170 DAO Matthew M. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
171 SHIV Rishi 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
172 LU Ivan 24% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
173 CARPENTER Liam - 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
174 GALLANT Antoine 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
175 SEINI Leandro 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
176 WANG owen 34% 44% 19% 3% - - -
176 SERAFIN Ben 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
178 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
178 KROPP Jack 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
178 STRAUSS Luke 17% 38% 30% 12% 3% - -
181 PRIHODKO Max 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% - -
182 KIM Nathan 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
183 LI Chenyu 25% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
184 PISKOVATSKOV Anton - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
184 GULLO Kenji Y. 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
186 SMITH Nicholas S. 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
187 SCHULZE Ethan 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
188 KIM Darius H. 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
189 KOBI Samuel 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
190 SODERBERG Alex Z. 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
191 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
192 GYURE Brayden H. 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
193 PHAM Sawyer T. 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
194 PANG Lucas 7% 25% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
195 GAO Chaney C. 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
195 HE Kaixuan 50% 39% 10% 1% - -
197 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
198 ZHENG Haoran 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.