National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Men's Épée

Friday, June 30, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
2 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
3 RAMIREZ Yeisser 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
3 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43%
5 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
6 EMARA Omar 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
7 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
8 KUMASHI Mihir R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
9 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
10 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
11 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
12 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
13 YOO Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
13 LANGE Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 23%
15 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 45%
16 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
17 BIDA Sergey 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 42% 8%
18 MA Ark 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
19 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
20 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
20 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
22 PARK Ian C. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 13% 1%
23 KAULL James T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
24 PARK Frederick 100% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
25 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
26 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
27 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 5%
28 MATVEEV Valentin S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
29 MOSES Alexander 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
30 LIN Kyran 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2%
31 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
32 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
33 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30%
34 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 35%
35 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
36 SINGHA Orion 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
37 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
38 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 18% 3%
39 VINNITCHOUK Theodore (Ted) 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20%
40 HILBERT Xavier 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
40 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
42 WU Joseph 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
43 RODNEY Adam R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
43 WHITE Sean 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
45 MAZUR Daniil 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 9%
46 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
47 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
47 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
49 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
49 XU Timothy (Tingwei) 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
51 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
52 KNYSH Oleg 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
53 JIN Owen 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
54 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
55 LI Jesse 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
56 CLICK Aiden 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
57 IVE Isaac L. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
58 TRAGER Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
59 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 47% 14%
60 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
61 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% 1% -
62 GUO Austin S. 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5% -
63 MICKO Fritz K. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
64 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
65 SHELANSKI Isaac 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
66 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% < 1%
67 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
68 YERGLER Jonathan A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
69 KATS Dylan G. 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
70 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
71 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
72 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
73 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 1%
74 SMOAK Omari Z. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
75 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
76 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
77 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
78 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 99% 89% 65% 31% 8% 1%
79 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
80 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
81 BINDAS Odinn A. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
82 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
83 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
84 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
85 EVERS Gabriel 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
86 LO Jake 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
87 TREBON Hayden 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
88 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
89 LEE Seungwon 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
90 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
91 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
92 ZHAO Corey 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
93 HE Lawrence 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
94 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 11%
95 JIN Daniel 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
96 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
96 WANG DEVON 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
98 MUGA Boris 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
99 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
99 HUANG Thomas 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
101 BENACK Steven M. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
102 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
103 NOWAK Jakub P. 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
104 KANG Philip F. 100% 99% 89% 65% 31% 8% 1%
105 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
105 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
105 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
105 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
109 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 98% 84% 53% 22% 5% -
109 GALLO James 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
111 WU Jonathan 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 4% -
112 YU Colin 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
113 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 98% 84% 56% 24% 6% -
114 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
115 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
116 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
117 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
118 GAO Daniel 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
119 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
120 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 90% 53% 16% 2% -
121 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
122 MATTIS George 100% 98% 84% 56% 24% 5% -
123 LARSEN Samuel F. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
123 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
125 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
126 FULLER George K. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
127 THOMAS Harris 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
128 DUNCAN Corwin 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
129 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 2%
130 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
131 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
131 JOSEPH William 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
133 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
133 KNOX James 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
135 NGUYEN Tate 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
136 SHCHUR Landon 100% 89% 52% 18% 3% - -
137 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
138 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
139 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 93% 68% 28% 4%
140 KIM Byung 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2%
141 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
142 RODNEY Maxwell 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
143 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
144 FU Leon 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
145 KUMAR Aidan 100% 86% 46% 14% 2% - -
146 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 15% 1%
146 SHARMA Sanil 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
148 KOKENGE Reid 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
149 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
150 AGAON Shawn 100% 95% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
150 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
152 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
152 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
154 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 2%
155 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
156 KIM Dylan J. 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
157 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
158 ZHAO Luhan 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
159 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
160 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
161 NEAL John P. 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
162 CHOI Mason 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
163 ULINICH Alexander 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
164 SPIER Julian H. 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
165 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% -
166 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 1%
167 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
168 JIN Nicholas 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 4% -
169 PAK Elliot 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
170 DAO Matthew M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
171 SHIV Rishi 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
172 LU Ivan 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% - -
173 CARPENTER Liam 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
174 GALLANT Antoine 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
175 SEINI Leandro 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
176 WANG owen 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
176 SERAFIN Ben 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
178 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
178 KROPP Jack 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
178 STRAUSS Luke 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
181 PRIHODKO Max 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
182 KIM Nathan 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
183 LI Chenyu 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
184 PISKOVATSKOV Anton 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
184 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
186 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
187 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
188 KIM Darius H. 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
189 KOBI Samuel 100% 91% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
190 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
191 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
192 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
193 PHAM Sawyer T. 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
194 PANG Lucas 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
195 GAO Chaney C. 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
195 HE Kaixuan 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
197 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
198 ZHENG Haoran 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.