July Challenge & Parafencing Nat'l Championships

Junior Men's Épée

Thursday, July 22, 2021 at 9:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
2 LEE Ryan - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
3 LIVERANT Skyler J. - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
3 CANDELA Nicholas - - - 4% 20% 42% 32%
5 HADDAD Justin R. - - - 2% 14% 46% 38%
6 TOWNSEND Avery S. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
7 SILVERS Noah E. - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
8 DOLGONOS Mark - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
9 LAWSON Henry A. - - - - 4% 27% 69%
10 LAWSON Nicholas W. - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
11 MA Ark - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
12 SHAH S Ayush - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
13 LIU John - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
14 WICKBOLDT Eric 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
15 KUMAR Anitya - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 14%
16 WIMMER Chandler M. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
17 KUMASHI Mihir R. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
18 XU Zitong (Evan) - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
19 RUSSANOV Dennis - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
20 ZAFFT Maximo S. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
21 ZHANG Nicholas Z. - - 3% 17% 37% 34% 10%
22 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - - 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
23 DAO Matthew M. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 17%
24 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - 2% 13% 32% 36% 16% 2%
25 RONG Yao - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
26 GRAYSON Shane W. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
27 IVAKIMOV Vasil - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
28 CHONG christopher - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
29 COOPER Rowan 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
30 GOHEL Dayus T. 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
31 KANG Philip F. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
32 BORATIN Daniel I. 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
33 SHARMA Sanil - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
34 PAN Eric - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
35 WEISS Miles J. - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
36 GRABER Andrew J. - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
37 MATTIS George - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
38 JOVANOVIC Jovan - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
39 SPIER Julian H. - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
40 MUN Michael K. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
41 JEON Alexander E. - - 3% 13% 32% 38% 14%
42 INSLER Ethan C. - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
42 WU Joseph - - 5% 21% 39% 28% 7%
44 LIEF Isaac R. - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
45 SINGHA Orion 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3% -
46 LEE Daniel Y. - - 3% 15% 37% 36% 9%
47 MUGA Boris - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
48 ZHU Max - 2% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1%
49 WANG Nathan - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
50 LEONE III Charles D. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
51 VINNITCHOUK Theodore (Ted) - - - 4% 21% 48% 27%
52 GRAY Sterling B. - 1% 5% 20% 39% 30% 6%
52 GAO Daniel 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
54 GOLDFINE Ian J. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
55 VAYSBUKH Konstantin - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
55 JOSEPH William 6% 27% 40% 22% 4% -
57 NORBUTAS Jackson S. - 1% 7% 27% 45% 20%
58 IYOKI Kent - - 2% 15% 44% 38%
59 CHOI Isaac 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
60 CARRIER Gabriel A. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
61 GIBSON Nowell L. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
62 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
63 SHIV Rishi 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
64 WEI Jonny 23% 40% 26% 9% 1% - -
65 VERMEULE Spencer - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
66 MERCHANT Reza H. - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
67 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 1% 9% 29% 37% 21% 4%
68 LIU Alexander - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
69 LIBSON Tazman - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
70 MA Victor 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 2%
71 STRAUSS Luke 4% 21% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
72 KOKENGE Clark - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
73 JEONG Connor - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 26%
74 MISHIMA Torata 1% 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
75 KRAVIT Connor B. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
76 BEKKER Mitchel - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
76 WANG DEVON 2% 23% 45% 25% 5% -
78 SJOSTEDT Jacob H. - 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
79 JIN Alexander - 2% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
80 O'HARA Keegan J. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
81 FELDMAN Jaemin - 6% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
82 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
82 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
84 JIN daniel 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
84 WONG Daniel 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
86 PARK Brian 2% 15% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
86 GUNDA Saketh 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
88 PARK Ian C. 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6% -
88 MOSES Alexander - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
90 WESTPHAL David R. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
90 YOUNG Peyton E. 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
90 SMITH Nicholas S. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
93 KHANNA Nikhil 2% 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
94 AHN Gus 1% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
95 KROPP Jack - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
96 LAI Coby 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
97 SHI Edric - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
98 WONG NICHOLAS A. 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
99 GALLANT Antoine 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
100 LAWLER Aidan 2% 16% 36% 34% 11% 1%
101 ZHAO corey 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
102 ZHENG Haoran 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
103 KIM Ethan J. - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 3%
104 MOOSEKIAN Stafford - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
105 KOBI Samuel 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
106 ROBINSON Riley - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
107 BLISS Atticus H. - 10% 31% 35% 19% 4% -
108 PRASAD Ankith - 1% 5% 20% 39% 32% 5%
109 JEYOON Ryan S. - 3% 14% 33% 33% 14% 2%
109 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 2% 13% 32% 34% 15% 3% -
111 HOLDERNESS Landon 1% 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% -
112 JIN Owen - 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
113 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 1% 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
113 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
115 ANDREEV Arthur - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
116 SHETTY Surya 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
117 RHYU Kozmo - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
118 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
119 LI Patrick 2% 19% 38% 29% 10% 2% -
120 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
121 WU Byron - 4% 22% 39% 26% 7% 1%
122 CLICK Aiden - 1% 8% 31% 43% 18%
123 LIN Ryan - 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
124 LESPERANCE Lucas - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 7%
125 WOZNIAK David - 2% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
126 HE Yuhao 16% 35% 31% 14% 4% - -
127 LIANG Aaron 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
128 PARK Frederick 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
129 PHUKAN Rohin 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
130 LIU Kyle - 2% 16% 41% 33% 8%
131 TUCKER Owen J. 5% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1%
132 JIN Nicholas - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
133 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 5%
134 O'DONNELL Benjamin 6% 32% 39% 18% 4% - -
135 KIM Dylan J. 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
136 WEISE Eli S. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
137 GARCIA-ROGERS Lucas H. - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
138 WU Jonathan 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
139 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
140 LEE Alexander G. - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
141 JAIN Sarthak - 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
142 ALVAREZ Ian T. 6% 29% 38% 21% 6% 1% -
143 CHO Tyler H. - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
143 CHOI Mason 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
145 GARRETT Samuel 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
146 LEE Noah - 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
147 CHAWLA Armaan 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
148 HONG James 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
149 DENNIS Ethan 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
150 GREEN Jabreel 4% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
151 SIVAGAR Leo 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
152 GATZA Logan - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
153 CHU Allan 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
154 DEKERMANJI Christopher 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
155 LACROIX Floryan 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
156 KIM William M. - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
157 LIN Kyran - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4%
158 YUMIACO Nolan C. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
159 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% -
159 PHAM Sawyer T. 19% 44% 28% 8% 1% - -
159 MAGDA Daniel 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
162 MCKEEVER Luca 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
163 SURESH NEERAJ 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
164 LEE Matthew C. 2% 15% 35% 33% 14% 2% -
165 LI Brian X - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
166 DU Drake 16% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
167 HIGGINS Branford 2% 15% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
168 KIM Darius H. 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
168 LEVITSKY Jonathan 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
170 KOKENGE Reid 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
171 PARK Nicholas 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
172 GUI Runlin 1% 7% 22% 36% 26% 8% -
173 NEAL John P. 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
174 SENNEWALD James J. 13% 37% 35% 14% 2% -
175 LEE Seungwon 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
176 VALES Keyan 7% 41% 38% 11% 1% -
177 WOLFE Alex 19% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
178 PRIHODKO Max 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
179 SHAH Maximilian A. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
180 YUAN Calvin 50% 37% 11% 2% - - -
181 LEHR William D. - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
181 ZHANG Alec 6% 25% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
183 KIM Benjamin I. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
183 SKAALAND Will 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
185 KHANNA Keshav 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
185 YANG Edward 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
187 KIM Sterling S. 5% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
187 COVAL Benjamin 55% 36% 9% 1% - - -
189 SOOHOO Jackson F. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
190 KIM Aaron J. 1% 11% 31% 35% 17% 4% -
191 DIXON Thomas 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
192 MACARTY Jordan T. 2% 16% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
193 VACCARO Dominick J. 10% 46% 34% 9% 1% - -
194 FU Ethan 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
195 LIM Matthew T. 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
195 XIAO Andrew 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
197 NIKOLOV Peter 11% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
198 WANG owen 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
199 DIVERIS Joseph 53% 40% 6% - - - -
200 GREEN Ummi 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
201 PAHLAVI Kamran 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
202 CROSSMAN Brandon 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
202 WONG KEVIN 23% 41% 27% 9% 1% - -
204 KOPPE Alexander 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
205 EVANS noah 46% 39% 12% 2% - -
205 ZHANG Andrew 69% 27% 3% - - -
207 CUI Oscar (Bo Lang) 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
208 LEE Timothy S. 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 9% 1%
209 KIM Sullivan 78% 20% 2% - - - -
210 GAO Chaney C. 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
210 CHRISTENSEN Parker 69% 28% 3% - - - -
212 FORSYTHE Hunter 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
213 LO Jake 31% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
214 GU Aidan 24% 53% 20% 3% - - -
215 LOWE-THORPE Tyler 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
216 SHA Michael 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
217 HOGAN Gideon 94% 6% - - - - -
218 DU SHUNYU K. 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.