July Challenge & Parafencing Nat'l Championships

Junior Men's Épée

Thursday, July 22, 2021 at 9:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
2 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
3 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
3 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
5 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 38%
6 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
7 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
8 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
9 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
10 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
11 MA Ark 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
12 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
13 LIU John 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 3%
14 WICKBOLDT Eric 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
15 KUMAR Anitya 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
16 WIMMER Chandler M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
17 KUMASHI Mihir R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
18 XU Zitong (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
19 RUSSANOV Dennis 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
20 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
21 ZHANG Nicholas Z. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
22 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 93% 69% 29% 4%
23 DAO Matthew M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
24 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
25 RONG Yao 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
26 GRAYSON Shane W. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
27 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
28 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 7%
29 COOPER Rowan 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
30 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
31 KANG Philip F. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
32 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 99% 92% 65% 29% 6% 1%
33 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
34 PAN Eric 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
35 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
36 GRABER Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
37 MATTIS George 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
38 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
39 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
40 MUN Michael K. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
41 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 14%
42 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
42 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
44 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
45 SINGHA Orion 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
46 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 9%
47 MUGA Boris 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
48 ZHU Max 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
49 WANG Nathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
50 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
51 VINNITCHOUK Theodore (Ted) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 27%
52 GRAY Sterling B. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 36% 6%
52 GAO Daniel 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
54 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
55 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
55 JOSEPH William 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
57 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 20%
58 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
59 CHOI Isaac 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
60 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 97% 82% 49% 19% 4% -
61 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
62 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
63 SHIV Rishi 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
64 WEI Jonny 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
65 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
66 MERCHANT Reza H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
67 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
68 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
69 LIBSON Tazman 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
70 MA Victor 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
71 STRAUSS Luke 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
72 KOKENGE Clark 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
73 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
74 MISHIMA Torata 100% 99% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
75 KRAVIT Connor B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
76 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
76 WANG DEVON 100% 98% 75% 30% 6% -
78 SJOSTEDT Jacob H. 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
79 JIN Alexander 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
80 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
81 FELDMAN Jaemin 100% 100% 93% 62% 24% 4% -
82 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
82 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
84 JIN daniel 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
84 WONG Daniel 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
86 PARK Brian 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
86 GUNDA Saketh 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% - -
88 PARK Ian C. 100% 99% 94% 70% 32% 6% -
88 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
90 WESTPHAL David R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 33% 6%
90 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
90 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
93 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 2% -
94 AHN Gus 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
95 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
96 LAI Coby 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
97 SHI Edric 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
98 WONG NICHOLAS A. 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
99 GALLANT Antoine 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
100 LAWLER Aidan 100% 98% 82% 46% 12% 1%
101 ZHAO corey 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
102 ZHENG Haoran 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
103 KIM Ethan J. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
104 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
105 KOBI Samuel 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 3% -
106 ROBINSON Riley 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
107 BLISS Atticus H. 100% 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
108 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 36% 5%
109 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
109 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
111 HOLDERNESS Landon 100% 99% 87% 55% 22% 5% -
112 JIN Owen 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
113 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 99% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
113 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
115 ANDREEV Arthur 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
116 SHETTY Surya 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 3% -
117 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
118 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 5%
119 LI Patrick 100% 98% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
120 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2%
121 WU Byron 100% 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
122 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 18%
123 LIN Ryan 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
124 LESPERANCE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
125 WOZNIAK David 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
126 HE Yuhao 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
127 LIANG Aaron 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
128 PARK Frederick 100% 96% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
129 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
130 LIU Kyle 100% 100% 98% 81% 41% 8%
131 TUCKER Owen J. 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1%
132 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
133 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
134 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 94% 61% 23% 4% - -
135 KIM Dylan J. 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
136 WEISE Eli S. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
137 GARCIA-ROGERS Lucas H. 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 7%
138 WU Jonathan 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
139 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
140 LEE Alexander G. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
141 JAIN Sarthak 100% 100% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
142 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
143 CHO Tyler H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
143 CHOI Mason 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
145 GARRETT Samuel 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
146 LEE Noah 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
147 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 93% 67% 29% 7% 1%
148 HONG James 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
149 DENNIS Ethan 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
150 GREEN Jabreel 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
151 SIVAGAR Leo 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
152 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
153 CHU Allan 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
154 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
155 LACROIX Floryan 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
156 KIM William M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
157 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
158 YUMIACO Nolan C. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
159 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
159 PHAM Sawyer T. 100% 81% 37% 9% 1% - -
159 MAGDA Daniel 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
162 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
163 SURESH NEERAJ 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
164 LEE Matthew C. 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 3% -
165 LI Brian X 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
166 DU Drake 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -
167 HIGGINS Branford 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2% -
168 KIM Darius H. 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
168 LEVITSKY Jonathan 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
170 KOKENGE Reid 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
171 PARK Nicholas 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
172 GUI Runlin 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
173 NEAL John P. 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
174 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
175 LEE Seungwon 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
176 VALES Keyan 100% 93% 51% 13% 1% -
177 WOLFE Alex 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
178 PRIHODKO Max 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
179 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
180 YUAN Calvin 100% 50% 13% 2% - - -
181 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
181 ZHANG Alec 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
183 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
183 SKAALAND Will 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
185 KHANNA Keshav 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
185 YANG Edward 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
187 KIM Sterling S. 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
187 COVAL Benjamin 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
189 SOOHOO Jackson F. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
190 KIM Aaron J. 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
191 DIXON Thomas 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
192 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
193 VACCARO Dominick J. 100% 90% 44% 10% 1% - -
194 FU Ethan 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
195 LIM Matthew T. 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
195 XIAO Andrew 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
197 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -
198 WANG owen 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
199 DIVERIS Joseph 100% 47% 7% - - - -
200 GREEN Ummi 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
201 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
202 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
202 WONG KEVIN 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
204 KOPPE Alexander 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
205 EVANS noah 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
205 ZHANG Andrew 100% 31% 3% - - -
207 CUI Oscar (Bo Lang) 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
208 LEE Timothy S. 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
209 KIM Sullivan 100% 22% 2% - - - -
210 GAO Chaney C. 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
210 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 31% 3% - - - -
212 FORSYTHE Hunter 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
213 LO Jake 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
214 GU Aidan 100% 76% 23% 3% - - -
215 LOWE-THORPE Tyler 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
216 SHA Michael 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
217 HOGAN Gideon 100% 6% - - - - -
218 DU SHUNYU K. 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.