National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Junior Men's Épée

Tuesday, July 6, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAWSON Nicholas W. - - - - 2% 21% 76%
2 LIVERANT Skyler J. - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
3 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
3 WEISS Miles J. - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
5 HANSEN Jonas B. - - - - 3% 24% 73%
6 HILBERT Xavier - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
7 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. - - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
8 SHAH S Ayush - - 3% 18% 38% 32% 8%
9 IMREK Samuel A. - - 5% 22% 42% 27% 4%
9 IYOKI Kent - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
11 SPIER Julian H. - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
12 DOLGONOS Mark - - - 4% 20% 43% 31%
13 LAWSON Henry A. - - - 1% 9% 38% 51%
14 ZAFFT Maximo S. - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
15 KRAVIT Connor B. - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
16 MATTIS George 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
17 SZAPARY Tristan B. - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
18 MORSE Tyler 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% < 1%
19 HAN Matthew - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
20 O'HARA Keegan J. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 8%
21 CANDELA Nicholas - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
22 LONCAR Luka E. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
23 YU Colin - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
24 LEE Ryan - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
25 MARCHANT Albert J. - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
26 ROBINSON Riley - - 2% 13% 37% 38% 10%
27 GYURE Brayden H. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
28 MARAKOV Allen B. - - 2% 10% 31% 42% 15%
29 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
30 KOFROTH Zachary R. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
31 BEKKER Mitchel - 1% 5% 18% 36% 32% 9%
32 LIU John 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
33 RUSSANOV Dennis - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
34 SHIV Rishi - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
35 GRAY Sterling B. - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 3%
35 XU Zitong (Evan) - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 14%
37 KOKENGE Clark 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
38 LI Brian X - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
39 HADDAD Justin R. - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
39 CHONG christopher - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
41 VERMEULE Spencer - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
42 LEE Alexander G. - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
43 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
44 GATZA Logan - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
45 MA Victor 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
46 VAYSBUKH Konstantin - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
47 LIEF Isaac R. 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 11% 1%
48 LIU Alexander - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
49 MOSES Alexander - 3% 16% 36% 35% 9%
50 KIM Ethan J. - 1% 9% 31% 44% 15%
51 JEON Alexander E. - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
52 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
53 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
54 LAWLER Aidan - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
55 LEE Timothy S. - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
56 WESTPHAL David R. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
57 WALSH Kevin - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
57 JAIN Sarthak 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% 1%
59 FRAY Alexander - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
60 MUN Michael K. - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
61 JIN Owen 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
62 SHENG Patrick Y. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
63 MERCHANT Reza H. - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
64 MUGA Boris 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7% 1%
65 MA Ark - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
66 KUSHNERIK Ethan - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
67 MATVEEV Valentin S. - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
68 YUMIACO Nolan C. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
69 DIXON Thomas 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% < 1%
70 JEONG Connor - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
71 ROY Joseph T. - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
72 SOOMRO Adam A. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
73 RODNEY Maxwell - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
74 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
75 KIM William M. - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
75 CLICK Aiden - - 4% 20% 41% 30% 4%
77 NORBUTAS Jackson S. - - 3% 14% 35% 39% 10%
78 GIBSON Nowell L. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
79 JAAFAR Omar 5% 25% 38% 24% 8% 1% -
80 ZHAO corey 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
81 JAMES Samuel 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
82 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
83 LIN Ryan - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
83 STEVENS Daniel - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
85 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
85 GAIDAR Daniel B. - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
87 PRASAD Ankith - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
88 LIN Kyran - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
89 MOOSEKIAN Stafford - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
90 EMARA Omar 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
91 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei - 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
92 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick - 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 3%
93 JIN Alexander - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
94 WOZNIAK David - 1% 7% 26% 41% 23% 2%
95 GARCIA-ROGERS Lucas H. - - 3% 14% 36% 37% 10%
96 IVE Isaac L. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
96 GAO Daniel 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
98 KIM Darius H. 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
99 NOVOJILOV Alexei 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
100 HIGGINS Branford 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
101 GORTI Agustya 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
102 GRABER Andrew J. - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
103 ZHENG Hagen - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
103 RHYU Kozmo 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
105 INSLER Ethan C. - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 7%
106 GRAYSON Shane W. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
107 DENNIS Ethan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
108 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar - 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
109 KRONROD Tal - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
110 CHAWLA Armaan 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
111 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 5%
112 GALLO James 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
113 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
114 JIN daniel 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1% -
115 KIM Dylan J. 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
116 GANA Jr Jorge M. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
117 GLAZ Nicholas S. - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
118 KROPP Jack - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
119 ELLIS Yehia S. - - 2% 11% 33% 40% 14%
120 PARK Elliot 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
121 TUCKER Owen J. 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
122 WONG NICHOLAS A. 1% 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
123 RICHARD Owen - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
124 SMITH Nicholas S. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
125 DU Drake 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
126 YOUNG Peyton E. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 2%
127 USHER Alexander - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
128 COOPER Rowan 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
129 KUMASHI Mihir R. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
130 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 8%
131 GOHEL Dayus T. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
132 LEE Daniel Y. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
133 CAI Kevin P. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 7%
134 CHOI Mason 4% 22% 40% 27% 7% -
135 JIN Nicholas - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
136 ZHU Max 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
137 DAO Matthew M. - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
138 WU Joseph - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
139 SILVERS Noah E. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 22%
140 ANDREEV Arthur - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
141 ZUKOFSKY Zachary 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% - -
142 BUYANOV Nikita V. - 6% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
142 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3%
144 KIM Benjamin I. - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
145 LIOZNYANSKY Simon - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
146 WOZNIAK Sebastian - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
147 ZHOU Stanley Q. 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
148 PARK Ian C. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
149 ALVAREZ Ian T. 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
150 BORATIN Daniel I. 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
151 WANG owen 47% 39% 12% 2% < 1% - -
152 MAGDA Daniel 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
153 SVIRINOVSKYI Illia 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
154 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2%
154 LEONE III Charles D. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
156 ROGAK Benjamin A. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
157 SHARMA Sanil - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 13%
158 DOLMETSCH Max - 1% 9% 27% 39% 22% 2%
159 SLAVINSKIY Alan - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
160 SHREM Samuel G. - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
161 O'DONNELL Benjamin 10% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
162 TUMIBAY Noah C. 4% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
163 GOLDFINE Ian J. - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
164 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
165 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
166 STRAUSS Luke 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
167 KAUFMANN Connor G. 1% 14% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
167 ALFAIATE Lucas 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
169 SHAH Maximilian A. - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
170 HARRIS Roark S. 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
170 CHO Tyler H. - - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
172 JOSEPH William 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 3% -
173 SCHULZE Ethan 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
174 LEHR William D. - 4% 16% 32% 32% 15% 2%
175 DOAN Joseph M. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
176 KUMAR Anitya - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 7%
177 WU Byron 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
178 ELYADERANI Paxon 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
179 CHEN Eric - 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% -
180 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 4% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
181 SIMPSON Patrick 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
182 LAI Coby 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 2% -
183 MICKO Fritz K. 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
184 PAHLAVI Kamran 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
185 CHUNG Thomas 4% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
186 KIM Aaron J. 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
187 WINTERSHEIMER Adam 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
188 PAPAVASSILIOU Christos 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
189 LIM Matthew T. 51% 38% 10% 1% - -
190 TARBUSKOVICH III John 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
191 WIMMER Chandler M. - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
192 DISIMONE David Z. 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
192 GUI Runlin 5% 22% 37% 28% 8% 1%
194 KING Cameron 3% 21% 39% 29% 7% 1%
195 CHILANA Savitoz (Savi) 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
196 WICKBOLDT Eric 4% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
197 PARK Frederick 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
198 MOHEBI Saam - 4% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
199 WEISE Eli S. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
200 LEE Matthew C. 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
201 GARCIA-ROGERS Kyle J. 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
201 THOMAS Harris 3% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
201 KWONG Jason 11% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
204 PERSAUD Daivik 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
205 YULE Alexander L. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
206 WONG Daniel 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
207 FELDMAN Jaemin 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
208 PARKER Riley D. 5% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
208 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
210 GREEN Jabreel 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
211 KUCZAJDA Matthew 2% 17% 34% 30% 14% 3% -
212 LEE Seungwon 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
213 PARK Vincent 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
214 WALKER IV Weymouth D. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
214 CUMMINGS Kai 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
216 LIANG Aaron 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
216 PARNAS Ely 3% 30% 40% 21% 5% 1% -
218 SMITH Jackson 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% 1%
219 LURVEY Samuel 8% 33% 38% 17% 3% - -
220 KAJI Ty 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
221 MACARTY Jordan T. 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
221 MILLER Lance W. 19% 41% 29% 10% 2% - -
221 SCHARF Ryan 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
224 SONN Rohan 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
225 OH Matthew M. 2% 14% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
225 HARR Carver 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
227 SCHULTZ Alex - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
227 DEKERMANJI Christopher 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
227 SURESH NEERAJ 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
230 KOPPE Alexander 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
230 WANG Eric S 11% 36% 36% 15% 2% - -
230 HEIM Bryce 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
233 VALES Keyan 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
234 SCHLEUDER Aidan 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
234 SINGHA Orion - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
234 SONG Ervin 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
237 NIKOLOV Peter 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
238 LUKANYUK Lorence 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
238 AHN Gus 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
240 MURPHY Thomas P. 6% 28% 40% 22% 4% -
241 MOON Ryan Y. 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
242 MARRAN Erik R. 12% 36% 34% 15% 3% -
243 ZHAO Luhan 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
244 CHU Allan 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
245 JEYOON Ryan S. 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
246 TREBON Hayden 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
247 FENWICK Luke A. 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
248 AU Marcus J. 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
248 EKE Frank - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
250 LOGUE Ethan D. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
250 SHETTY Surya 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
252 PHUKAN Rohin 18% 39% 31% 10% 2% - -
253 ROTHKA Spencer J. 34% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
253 MCDERMOTT Brian 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
255 MARKAS Justin W. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
256 KIM Ryan 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
257 JACKSON James 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
258 PARK Brian 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
259 BHATNAGAR Ayan 4% 21% 37% 27% 10% 2% -
259 KENT Matthew 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
261 KOKENGE Reid 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
262 LAING Christopher 58% 34% 8% 1% - - -
263 LEE Chun Po 46% 40% 13% 2% - - -
264 CHOE Andrew 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
265 KIM Sterling S. 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
266 NESTEROV Andrew E. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
266 XIA Oliver 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
268 WENGER Caleb 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
269 BLISS Atticus H. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
270 MISHIMA Torata 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
271 NIEBERGALL Colin G. - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
271 MORTON William 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
271 SHEN Max 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
274 RICHARDS Jackson D. 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
275 CHIRASHNYA Adam 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
275 SOOHOO Jackson F. 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
275 BARGE Jackson 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
275 ULINICH Alexander 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
279 GU Brian 24% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
280 DAVIS Jonah 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
281 WANG DEVON 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1% -
282 KOBI Samuel 11% 33% 35% 17% 3% -
283 CARRIER Gabriel A. 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
284 LEE Shwan < 1% 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
285 NOP Will H. 10% 35% 38% 15% 3% - -
285 LI Jalen 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
287 LIU Frank 12% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
288 WEAVER Neil 4% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1%
289 WHITEHURST JJ 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
290 BENINI Alexander J. 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
291 KARKI Salyan 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
292 HILBERT Gabriel E. 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
292 ILYAS Zakariya 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
292 SVIBEN Cameron 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
295 SHA Michael 39% 42% 16% 2% - - -
295 PATENAUDE Kameron 13% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
297 KOPPE Benjamin 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
298 CHRISTENSEN Parker 77% 21% 2% - - - -
299 KNUDSEN Travis 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
299 PRAKASH Hari 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
301 LI Nathan 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.