National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Junior Men's Épée

Tuesday, July 6, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
2 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
3 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
3 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
5 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
6 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
7 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
8 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
9 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 4%
9 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
11 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
12 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
13 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
14 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
15 KRAVIT Connor B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
16 MATTIS George 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
17 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
18 MORSE Tyler 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% < 1%
19 HAN Matthew 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
20 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8%
21 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
22 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
23 YU Colin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
24 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
25 MARCHANT Albert J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
26 ROBINSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 10%
27 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
28 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 15%
29 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
30 KOFROTH Zachary R. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
31 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
32 LIU John 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
33 RUSSANOV Dennis 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 13%
34 SHIV Rishi 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
35 GRAY Sterling B. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
35 XU Zitong (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
37 KOKENGE Clark 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
38 LI Brian X 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
39 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
39 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
41 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
42 LEE Alexander G. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
43 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
44 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 5%
45 MA Victor 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
46 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 7%
47 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
48 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
49 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
50 KIM Ethan J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 15%
51 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
52 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
53 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
54 LAWLER Aidan 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
55 LEE Timothy S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
56 WESTPHAL David R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
57 WALSH Kevin 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
57 JAIN Sarthak 100% 99% 88% 59% 26% 6% 1%
59 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
60 MUN Michael K. 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
61 JIN Owen 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
62 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
63 MERCHANT Reza H. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
64 MUGA Boris 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8% 1%
65 MA Ark 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
66 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
67 MATVEEV Valentin S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
68 YUMIACO Nolan C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
69 DIXON Thomas 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% < 1%
70 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
71 ROY Joseph T. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
72 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
73 RODNEY Maxwell 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
74 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
75 KIM William M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
75 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 4%
77 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 10%
78 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
79 JAAFAR Omar 100% 95% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
80 ZHAO corey 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1%
81 JAMES Samuel 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
82 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 3%
83 LIN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
83 STEVENS Daniel 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
85 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 6% -
85 GAIDAR Daniel B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
87 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
88 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
89 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
90 EMARA Omar 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
91 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
92 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
93 JIN Alexander 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
94 WOZNIAK David 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 2%
95 GARCIA-ROGERS Lucas H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
96 IVE Isaac L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
96 GAO Daniel 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
98 KIM Darius H. 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
99 NOVOJILOV Alexei 100% 94% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
100 HIGGINS Branford 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
101 GORTI Agustya 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
102 GRABER Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
103 ZHENG Hagen 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
103 RHYU Kozmo 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
105 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 7%
106 GRAYSON Shane W. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
107 DENNIS Ethan 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
108 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
109 KRONROD Tal 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
110 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
111 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
112 GALLO James 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
113 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
114 JIN daniel 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 2% -
115 KIM Dylan J. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
116 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
117 GLAZ Nicholas S. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16% 2%
118 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
119 ELLIS Yehia S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
120 PARK Elliot 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
121 TUCKER Owen J. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
122 WONG NICHOLAS A. 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
123 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
124 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
125 DU Drake 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
126 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
127 USHER Alexander 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
128 COOPER Rowan 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
129 KUMASHI Mihir R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
130 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
131 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
132 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 39% 9%
133 CAI Kevin P. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
134 CHOI Mason 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
135 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 9%
136 ZHU Max 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
137 DAO Matthew M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
138 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
139 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
140 ANDREEV Arthur 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
141 ZUKOFSKY Zachary 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
142 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 100% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
142 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
144 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14% 1%
145 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
146 WOZNIAK Sebastian 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 21% 3%
147 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
148 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
149 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 94% 69% 33% 10% 1% -
150 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
151 WANG owen 100% 53% 15% 2% < 1% - -
152 MAGDA Daniel 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
153 SVIRINOVSKYI Illia 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
154 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
154 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
156 ROGAK Benjamin A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
157 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
158 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 2%
159 SLAVINSKIY Alan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
160 SHREM Samuel G. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 10% 1%
161 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
162 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
163 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
164 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% - -
165 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 98% 84% 53% 22% 5% -
166 STRAUSS Luke 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
167 KAUFMANN Connor G. 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
167 ALFAIATE Lucas 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
169 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
170 HARRIS Roark S. 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
170 CHO Tyler H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
172 JOSEPH William 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
173 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 3% -
174 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
175 DOAN Joseph M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
176 KUMAR Anitya 100% 100% 99% 90% 68% 33% 7%
177 WU Byron 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
178 ELYADERANI Paxon 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
179 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% -
180 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 100% 96% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
181 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
182 LAI Coby 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 2% -
183 MICKO Fritz K. 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1% -
184 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
185 CHUNG Thomas 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
186 KIM Aaron J. 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
187 WINTERSHEIMER Adam 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
188 PAPAVASSILIOU Christos 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
189 LIM Matthew T. 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
190 TARBUSKOVICH III John 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1%
191 WIMMER Chandler M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
192 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
192 GUI Runlin 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
194 KING Cameron 100% 97% 76% 37% 8% 1%
195 CHILANA Savitoz (Savi) 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
196 WICKBOLDT Eric 100% 96% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
197 PARK Frederick 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
198 MOHEBI Saam 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
199 WEISE Eli S. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
200 LEE Matthew C. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
201 GARCIA-ROGERS Kyle J. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
201 THOMAS Harris 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
201 KWONG Jason 100% 89% 51% 16% 2% - -
204 PERSAUD Daivik 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
205 YULE Alexander L. 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
206 WONG Daniel 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 4% -
207 FELDMAN Jaemin 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
208 PARKER Riley D. 100% 95% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
208 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
210 GREEN Jabreel 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
211 KUCZAJDA Matthew 100% 98% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
212 LEE Seungwon 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
213 PARK Vincent 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
214 WALKER IV Weymouth D. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
214 CUMMINGS Kai 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
216 LIANG Aaron 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
216 PARNAS Ely 100% 97% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
218 SMITH Jackson 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
219 LURVEY Samuel 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
220 KAJI Ty 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
221 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
221 MILLER Lance W. 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
221 SCHARF Ryan 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
224 SONN Rohan 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
225 OH Matthew M. 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
225 HARR Carver 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
227 SCHULTZ Alex 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
227 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
227 SURESH NEERAJ 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
230 KOPPE Alexander 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
230 WANG Eric S 100% 89% 54% 17% 3% - -
230 HEIM Bryce 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
233 VALES Keyan 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
234 SCHLEUDER Aidan 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
234 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
234 SONG Ervin 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
237 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
238 LUKANYUK Lorence 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
238 AHN Gus 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
240 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% -
241 MOON Ryan Y. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
242 MARRAN Erik R. 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% -
243 ZHAO Luhan 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
244 CHU Allan 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
245 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1%
246 TREBON Hayden 100% 92% 61% 23% 5% - -
247 FENWICK Luke A. 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
248 AU Marcus J. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
248 EKE Frank 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
250 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 5% -
250 SHETTY Surya 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
252 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
253 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
253 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
255 MARKAS Justin W. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
256 KIM Ryan 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
257 JACKSON James 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
258 PARK Brian 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
259 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
259 KENT Matthew 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
261 KOKENGE Reid 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
262 LAING Christopher 100% 42% 9% 1% - - -
263 LEE Chun Po 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
264 CHOE Andrew 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
265 KIM Sterling S. 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
266 NESTEROV Andrew E. 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
266 XIA Oliver 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
268 WENGER Caleb 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
269 BLISS Atticus H. 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 9% 1%
270 MISHIMA Torata 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
271 NIEBERGALL Colin G. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
271 MORTON William 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
271 SHEN Max 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
274 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
275 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
275 SOOHOO Jackson F. 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
275 BARGE Jackson 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
275 ULINICH Alexander 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
279 GU Brian 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
280 DAVIS Jonah 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
281 WANG DEVON 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
282 KOBI Samuel 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
283 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
284 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 96% 77% 44% 14% 2%
285 NOP Will H. 100% 90% 56% 18% 3% - -
285 LI Jalen 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
287 LIU Frank 100% 88% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
288 WEAVER Neil 100% 96% 71% 32% 7% 1%
289 WHITEHURST JJ 100% 91% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
290 BENINI Alexander J. 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
291 KARKI Salyan 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
292 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
292 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
292 SVIBEN Cameron 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
295 SHA Michael 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
295 PATENAUDE Kameron 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
297 KOPPE Benjamin 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
298 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 23% 2% - - - -
299 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
299 PRAKASH Hari 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
301 LI Nathan 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.