Division 1/Parafencing National Championships + April NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Saturday, April 27, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SILVERS Noah E. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
2 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
3 LAWSON Nicholas W. - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
3 BEZRODNOV Alexander - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
5 WEISS Miles J. - - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
6 KAULL James T. - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
7 MACZIK Adam W. - - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9%
8 NORTH Gary S. - - 1% 9% 32% 43% 15%
9 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
10 YOO Justin - - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
11 SENNEWALD James J. - 1% 8% 24% 37% 26% 6%
12 IMREK Samuel A. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
13 LEE Stewart S. 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
14 MOORE Shomari A. - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
15 SMOAK Omari Z. - 1% 5% 19% 37% 32% 8%
16 MILLER Jeffrey E. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
17 CARRIER Gabriel A. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
18 LEE Daniel Y. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
19 KANG Philip F. - 1% 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
20 CIPRIANI Andrea - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
21 LANGE Henry C. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
22 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
23 LAI Boden 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
24 LIOZNYANSKY Simon - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
25 DIECK Logan O. 3% 19% 34% 28% 12% 3% -
26 HENSAL Nicolas A. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
27 GRIFFITHS Ryan - - 1% 6% 25% 48% 20%
28 TAFOYA Devin D. - - 2% 12% 33% 40% 13%
29 LIU Alexander - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
30 KUSHNERIK Ethan - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
31 HILBERT Gabriel E. 5% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
32 HADDAD Justin R. - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
33 KNYSH Oleg - - - 4% 19% 44% 33%
34 EMARA Omar - - 3% 18% 37% 32% 9%
35 TRAGER Matthew G. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
36 CANDELA Nicholas - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
37 IYOKI Kent - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
38 PARK Ian C. - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 2%
39 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. - - - 1% 6% 30% 63%
40 KIM Byung - 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
41 ZAYDMAN David M. 1% 6% 24% 39% 24% 5% -
42 JIN Owen - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 3%
43 YANG Boyan 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5% -
44 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
45 LIN Kyran - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
46 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
47 LONCAR Luka E. - 4% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
48 KNOX James 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
49 RODNEY Adam R. - - - 1% 12% 42% 44%
50 MATVEEV Valentin S. - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
51 ZHENG Andy 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
51 GAO Daniel 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
53 CARTY JR Johndale 20% 41% 29% 8% 1% - -
54 KIM Sullivan 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
55 MATTIS George - 3% 15% 34% 32% 13% 2%
56 NORTH Alexander M. - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
57 IMREK Elijah S. 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
58 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick - - 3% 16% 37% 36% 8%
59 SHAH S Ayush - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
60 FULLERTON Houston T. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
61 KIM Benjamin I. - 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4%
62 BEZRODNOV Michael - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
63 JEYOON Ryan S. - 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 4%
64 FU Leon 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
65 SU Caleb - 4% 19% 36% 29% 9% 1%
66 ROMANOV Ethan 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% < 1% -
67 ADLER Ian B. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
67 MOSES Alexander - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
69 SZAPARY Tristan B. - - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
70 SANDERS Ian W. - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
71 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
72 FRAY Alexander - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
73 CUMMINGS Atticus C. - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
73 KROPP Jack 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
75 MELCHER Jack H. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
76 DAVOODIAN Christopher 7% 32% 40% 18% 3% -
77 ISAAC Joseph - 1% 8% 31% 44% 16%
78 CASTELLY Luke 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
79 MAO Benjamin 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
80 JIN Nicholas 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
81 HAN Matthew - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
82 MUGA Boris 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
83 CHOI Kaiden I. 10% 33% 37% 16% 3% - -
83 BARG Jonathan 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
85 MCDOWALD Curtis E. - - - - 2% 22% 76%
85 PARK Nicholas 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
87 LEE Samuel Y. 3% 16% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
88 WU Jonathan - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
89 CARPENTER Liam - 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
90 DHAL Leon 53% 37% 9% 1% < 1% - -
91 HILBERT Xavier - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
92 YOUNG Peyton E. - 1% 9% 28% 40% 20% 3%
93 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
94 YAO Geoffrey B. 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
94 SINGHA Orion - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
96 NIKOLOV Peter 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
97 GIBSON Nowell L. - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
98 ZHAO Corey 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
99 LEE Shwan 1% 8% 29% 41% 19% 3%
100 KIM Dylan J. 1% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
101 KATS Dylan G. - 5% 17% 32% 31% 13% 1%
102 ZAGORUIKO Ivan - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
103 SVERDLOV Seth 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
104 ATKINS Levi H. 19% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
105 HUTTO Joshua 1% 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% -
106 MACARTY Jordan T. 1% 9% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
107 ZHENG Haoran 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
108 CHONG christopher - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
109 GANA Jr Jorge M. - - 5% 20% 38% 29% 7%
110 KIM Nathan 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
111 TIKHONOV Iliya 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
112 SPIER Julian H. - 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2%
113 WANG DEVON 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
114 YU Austin 12% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
115 ZAYDMAN Ethan 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
116 CHEN Brian 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
116 WOLFE Alex 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
118 PRASAD Ankith - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
119 FULLER George K. - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
120 ZIEGLER John 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
121 MANN Jake R. 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
122 GATZA Logan 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
122 LEE Noah 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
124 SODERBERG Alex Z. - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
125 LO Jake 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
126 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
127 NGUYEN Tate 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
128 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
129 BEDOR William J. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
130 CLICK Aiden - 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
131 RAYNIS Jake R. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
132 PARK Frederick 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
133 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
133 DENNIS Ethan 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
135 LAM Alan 15% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
136 HEADRICK Lance 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
137 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
138 MCALISTER Ian 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
139 DONDISCH ilan 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
140 SINGH Aryaman 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
141 STRAUSS Luke 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8% 1%
142 TIKHONOV Daniel 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
142 HIGGINS Branford 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
144 DESTEFANO Julius 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1% -
145 MOOSEKIAN Stafford - - 2% 12% 35% 40% 11%
146 RHYU Kozmo - 1% 10% 31% 39% 17% 2%
147 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
148 GAO Chaney C. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
149 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
149 JIANG ryan 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% 1% -
151 SMITH Nicholas S. - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
152 ESKRIDGE Caleb 3% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
153 DAO Alexander 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
154 KOYFMAN Benjamin 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
155 TOWNSEND Avery S. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
156 KARNAS Karol 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
157 RICHARDS Jackson D. 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
158 MEN Junda 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
159 GALLO James 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
160 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
161 CHRISTENSEN Parker 5% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
162 WANG justin 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
163 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 7% 32% 40% 18% 3% -
164 O'DONNELL Benjamin 3% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
165 PAK Elliot 9% 38% 36% 14% 3% - -
166 BHATNAGAR Ayan 3% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
167 SHELANSKI Isaac - < 1% 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
167 JORDAN Anton 12% 32% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
167 DOWDELL Riley 16% 39% 33% 11% 2% - -
170 LIN Kason 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
171 KHANNA Nikhil 8% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
172 GLENNON Sebastian J. 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
173 IARIKOV Nicholas 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
174 KOKENGE Reid 3% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
175 CAO Brad 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
176 CHIN Dylan A. 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
177 KRISHNAN Skanda 8% 35% 39% 15% 2% - -
178 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
179 ZHENG Jerry 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
180 CAO Albert 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
181 WILLIAMS Logan 47% 41% 11% 1% - - -
182 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
183 XIA Dashan 8% 35% 39% 15% 2% - -
184 HUANG Thomas 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
185 WU Joseph - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
186 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
187 JAIN Aditya 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
188 SHA Michael 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
189 BOYCE Samuel H. - 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
189 WONG King-Yee 54% 36% 8% 1% - - -
191 SPINA Joseph B. 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
192 KENT V David 28% 40% 23% 7% 1% - -
193 WONG Baron 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
194 LEE JoonWon 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
195 ZHU Eric 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
196 CHEN Leonardo 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
197 PRIHODKO Max 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
198 MUGA Aiden 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
199 HU Robert J. 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
200 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
201 SONG Troy 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
202 KNUDSEN Travis 35% 42% 18% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.