Division 1/Parafencing National Championships + April NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Saturday, April 27, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
2 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
3 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
3 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
5 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
6 KAULL James T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
7 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
8 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
9 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
10 YOO Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
11 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 6%
12 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
13 LEE Stewart S. 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
14 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
15 SMOAK Omari Z. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 39% 8%
16 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
17 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
18 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
19 KANG Philip F. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
20 CIPRIANI Andrea 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
21 LANGE Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
22 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
23 LAI Boden 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
24 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
25 DIECK Logan O. 100% 97% 78% 43% 15% 3% -
26 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
27 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 20%
28 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13%
29 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
30 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
31 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 95% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
32 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
33 KNYSH Oleg 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
34 EMARA Omar 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
35 TRAGER Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
36 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
37 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
38 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 25% 2%
39 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
40 KIM Byung 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
41 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 6% -
42 JIN Owen 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 3%
43 YANG Boyan 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
44 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
45 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
46 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
47 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 1%
48 KNOX James 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
49 RODNEY Adam R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 44%
50 MATVEEV Valentin S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
51 ZHENG Andy 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
51 GAO Daniel 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
53 CARTY JR Johndale 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
54 KIM Sullivan 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
55 MATTIS George 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
56 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
57 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
58 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 8%
59 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
60 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
61 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
62 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 7%
63 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
64 FU Leon 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
65 SU Caleb 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
66 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% < 1% -
67 ADLER Ian B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
67 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 16%
69 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
70 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
71 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 4% -
72 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
73 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
73 KROPP Jack 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
75 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
76 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 93% 61% 21% 3% -
77 ISAAC Joseph 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 16%
78 CASTELLY Luke 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
79 MAO Benjamin 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
80 JIN Nicholas 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
81 HAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
82 MUGA Boris 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
83 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -
83 BARG Jonathan 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
85 MCDOWALD Curtis E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76%
85 PARK Nicholas 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
87 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
88 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
89 CARPENTER Liam 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
90 DHAL Leon 100% 47% 10% 1% < 1% - -
91 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
92 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 3%
93 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 21% 3%
94 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
94 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
96 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
97 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
98 ZHAO Corey 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
99 LEE Shwan 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
100 KIM Dylan J. 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
101 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
102 ZAGORUIKO Ivan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
103 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
104 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
105 HUTTO Joshua 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% -
106 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
107 ZHENG Haoran 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7% 1%
108 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
109 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
110 KIM Nathan 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
111 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
112 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
113 WANG DEVON 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 4% -
114 YU Austin 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% - -
115 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
116 CHEN Brian 100% 90% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
116 WOLFE Alex 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
118 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
119 FULLER George K. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
120 ZIEGLER John 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
121 MANN Jake R. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
122 GATZA Logan 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
122 LEE Noah 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
124 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
125 LO Jake 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
126 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
127 NGUYEN Tate 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
128 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
129 BEDOR William J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
130 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
131 RAYNIS Jake R. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
132 PARK Frederick 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
133 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
133 DENNIS Ethan 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
135 LAM Alan 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
136 HEADRICK Lance 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
137 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 75% 35% 10% 1% - -
138 MCALISTER Ian 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
139 DONDISCH ilan 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
140 SINGH Aryaman 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
141 STRAUSS Luke 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
142 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
142 HIGGINS Branford 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
144 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1% -
145 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
146 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
147 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
148 GAO Chaney C. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
149 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
149 JIANG ryan 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
151 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
152 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 97% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
153 DAO Alexander 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
154 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 81% 42% 11% 1% - -
155 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
156 KARNAS Karol 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
157 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
158 MEN Junda 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
159 GALLO James 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
160 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
161 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
162 WANG justin 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
163 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 93% 61% 21% 3% -
164 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
165 PAK Elliot 100% 91% 54% 17% 3% - -
166 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
167 SHELANSKI Isaac 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
167 JORDAN Anton 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
167 DOWDELL Riley 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
170 LIN Kason 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
171 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 92% 56% 19% 3% - -
172 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 86% 49% 17% 3% - -
173 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
174 KOKENGE Reid 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
175 CAO Brad 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
176 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
177 KRISHNAN Skanda 100% 92% 56% 17% 3% - -
178 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% - -
179 ZHENG Jerry 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
180 CAO Albert 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
181 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 53% 12% 1% - - -
182 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
183 XIA Dashan 100% 92% 56% 17% 3% - -
184 HUANG Thomas 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
185 WU Joseph 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 18% 2%
186 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
187 JAIN Aditya 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% - -
188 SHA Michael 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% - -
189 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
189 WONG King-Yee 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
191 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
192 KENT V David 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
193 WONG Baron 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
194 LEE JoonWon 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
195 ZHU Eric 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
196 CHEN Leonardo 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
197 PRIHODKO Max 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
198 MUGA Aiden 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
199 HU Robert J. 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
200 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
201 SONG Troy 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
202 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.