The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

December NAC

Cadet Men's Épée

Thursday, December 9, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
2 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 15%
3 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
3 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
5 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 14%
6 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
7 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
8 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
9 ZHANG Nicholas Z. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
10 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
11 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
12 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
13 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
14 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
15 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
16 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
17 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
18 BINDAS Odinn A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
19 JIN daniel 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
20 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
21 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
22 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
23 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
24 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
25 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
26 SU Caleb 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
27 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
28 ZHU Max 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
29 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 9%
30 KANG Philip F. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
31 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
32 NGUYEN Tate 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4% -
33 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
34 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31%
35 ZHAO corey 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
36 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
37 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
38 CUI Oscar (Bo Lang) 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
39 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
40 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
41 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
42 TRIMMER Colin 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
43 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
44 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
45 MISHIMA Torata 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
46 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
47 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
48 MICKO Fritz K. 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
49 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
50 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
51 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
52 ZENG Zihan 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
52 JAIN Sarthak 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
54 ZHANG Caden 100% 66% 23% 4% < 1% - -
55 LACROIX Floryan 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
56 LIU Kyle 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
57 CAO Albert 100% 99% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
58 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
59 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
60 WU Marcus 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
61 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
62 CAO Brad 100% 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
63 PRABHAKAR vibhav 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
64 PAN Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
65 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
66 ZHANG Zan 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
67 KIM Donghyeok 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 4%
68 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 2% -
69 ARKHIPOV Peter 100% 98% 83% 38% 9% 1% -
70 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 10%
71 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
72 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 9%
72 SKAALAND Will 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
74 LEE Seungwon 100% 99% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
75 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
76 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
77 BASOK Nikita 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 3% -
78 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
79 SHIV Rishi 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
80 SARKAR Anish 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
81 GALLO James 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 7%
82 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 96% 73% 34% 9% 1% -
83 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
84 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
85 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
86 AGAON Shawn 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
87 HE Yuhao 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
88 VELINOV Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
89 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
89 WEI Zheng (Jonny) 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2% -
91 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
92 WONG Adrian 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
93 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 2%
94 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
94 SONN Rohan 100% 95% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
96 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
97 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12% 1%
98 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
99 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% 1%
100 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
101 NEAL John P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 13%
102 WEI HUNTER 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
103 LI Chenyu 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
104 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
105 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
106 LIPPMAN Jerome 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
107 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
108 CHU Allan 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% -
109 AGAON Ethan 100% 98% 79% 40% 11% 1%
110 KIM Tei D. 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4%
110 GAO Chaney C. 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
112 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% -
113 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
114 HAN Dongcheng 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
115 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
116 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
117 NOVOJILOV Alexei 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
118 BANKULLA Nihal R. 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
119 REN Jason 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
120 LAI Aedin 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
121 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
122 GREEN Jabreel 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
123 KIM Nathan 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
124 HU Robert J. 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
125 FU Leon 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% - -
126 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
127 ZHOU Justin 100% 96% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
128 POS Theo 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
129 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 90% 54% 17% 3% - -
130 ODEN Isaac M. 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
131 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
132 GOHSMAN Maxwell 100% 35% 5% - - -
133 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
134 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
135 PHAM Sawyer T. 100% 99% 87% 57% 24% 6% 1%
136 EVANS noah 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
137 NATSVLISHVILI John Vano 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
138 DONDISCH ilan 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
139 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
140 LO Jake 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
141 EVERS Gabriel 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
142 HE Zhiheng 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
143 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
144 TORRES Gianni 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
145 WATT Darren 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
146 O'CONNOR Riley 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
147 SONG Troy 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
148 KIM Sullivan 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
149 DIETZ Andor 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 2%
150 GUNDA Saketh 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
151 BOUMEDIENNE Sami 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
152 WU Jonathan 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% 1%
153 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
154 MODULLA Yathin 100% 56% 16% 3% - -
155 CHAMBLISS Logan C. 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
156 JOSLIN Tyler 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
157 MAHESH Tarun 100% 95% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
158 KIM Taeho 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
159 PAN Tristan 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
160 DENNIS Ethan 100% 99% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
161 MANAUGH Guy 100% 82% 35% 8% 1% - -
162 ELYADERANI Paxon 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
163 JONES Tyler 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
164 SHA Michael 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
165 MING Isaac 100% 56% 11% 1% - - -
166 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
166 BRUSKOTTER Reiland 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
168 FAN Wei Jyun 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
169 BEALS Alden 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
170 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
171 BADEA Christian 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% - -
172 SARKAR agniv 100% 98% 80% 39% 9% 1% -
172 SCHARF Ryan 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
172 ZHANG Nathan 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
175 TAROLLI Alexander 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
176 RYEOM JIHOON 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
176 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 84% 38% 8% 1% - -
176 YOON Eric Jeongmok 100% 80% 38% 10% 2% - -
179 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
180 LEE JUNYOUNG 100% 85% 48% 17% 3% - -
181 BUTLER Joel 100% 83% 39% 9% 1% - -
182 WILSON Benjamin H. 100% 72% 21% 2% - - -
183 HU Anton 100% 51% 10% 1% - - -
183 PRAKASH Hari 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.