Division 1/Parafencing National Championships + April NAC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, April 28, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 IMREK Samuel A. - - - - 3% 26% 70%
2 KROPP Jack - - 4% 17% 37% 32% 9%
3 YAO Geoffrey B. - 1% 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
3 BEZRODNOV Michael - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 26%
5 BEZRODNOV Alexander - - - 1% 9% 37% 52%
6 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
7 IYOKI Kent - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
8 SENNEWALD James J. - - - 5% 20% 42% 32%
9 NORTH Alexander M. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
10 KANG Philip F. - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
11 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
12 DIECK Logan O. 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
13 LEE Shwan - - 3% 19% 45% 32%
14 IMREK Elijah S. - 2% 13% 31% 37% 17%
15 PARK Frederick 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
16 IARIKOV Nicholas - 3% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
17 GAO Daniel - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
18 CHONG christopher - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
19 SU Caleb - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
20 LIN Kyran - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
21 KOKENGE Reid - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
22 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - 3% 19% 41% 30% 7%
23 YOUNG Peyton E. - - 5% 24% 46% 25%
24 BHATNAGAR Ayan 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
25 CHEN Brian 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
26 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
27 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - 3% 19% 42% 35%
28 CAO Brad 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
29 WU Jonathan - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
30 PARK Ian C. - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
31 KATS Dylan G. - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
32 HENSAL Nicolas A. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 9%
33 KNOX James - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 13%
34 STRAUSS Luke 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
35 HEADRICK Lance - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
36 JIN Nicholas - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 14%
37 SISINNI Riccardo - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
38 YUE Hongrui - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
39 PRASAD Ankith - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
40 ZHENG Haoran - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
41 KIM Dylan J. - - 4% 18% 39% 32% 7%
42 NGUYEN Tate - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
43 ZHENG Andy 1% 7% 26% 39% 24% 5%
44 LEE Noah 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
45 DESTEFANO Julius 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
46 GAO Chaney C. - 4% 17% 34% 30% 12% 2%
47 SANTOS Antonio K. 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% - -
47 ZHAO Corey - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
49 HUANG Thomas - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
50 LAI Aedin 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
50 CHEN Leonardo 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
52 LE BORGNE Matthieu 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
53 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick - - - 3% 17% 42% 36%
54 SANTOS Francisco M. 12% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
55 SPINA Joseph B. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
56 MANN Jake R. 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
57 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
58 CLICK Aiden - - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
59 PRIHODKO Max - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
60 SEEFELDT William Henry C. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
61 SINGHA Orion - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
62 MACARTY Jordan T. - 1% 6% 23% 40% 26% 3%
63 MAO Benjamin - 4% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
64 GATZA Logan - 1% 5% 23% 39% 26% 6%
65 CARRIER Gabriel A. - - - 4% 22% 44% 30%
66 LIOZNYANSKY Simon - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
67 JEYOON Ryan S. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
68 KHANNA Nikhil 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
69 SENNEWALD Frederick A. - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
70 LONCAR Luka E. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
71 TIYA BIAYA K. - 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 2%
72 KARNAS Karol - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
73 MOSES Alexander - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
73 LO Jake - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
75 XIE Steven 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
76 WONG Chi Ho - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
77 KIM Nathan 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
78 GLENNON Sebastian J. 16% 37% 33% 12% 2%
79 HILBERT Gabriel E. - 4% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
79 WU Johnny y. 43% 40% 15% 3% < 1% - -
81 DONDISCH ilan 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
82 ESKRIDGE Caleb - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
83 CHOI Kaiden I. 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
84 WOLFE Alex - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 5%
85 HE Patrick 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
86 GALLO James - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
87 JORDAN Anton 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
88 BEALS Alden 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
89 DHAL Leon 3% 29% 41% 22% 5% 1% -
90 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
91 ZHU Eric 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
92 SUN Jason 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
93 HUTTO Joshua - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
94 ATKINS Levi H. 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
95 CHEN Bailey 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% -
96 KIM Benjamin I. - 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
97 MCADOO Declan 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
98 XIA Dashan 5% 21% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
99 MENDOZA Zachari 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
100 LEE Stewart S. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
101 KIM Byung - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
102 MEN Junda 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
103 LEE Inwoo 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
104 ARAVIND Athreya - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
105 MCALISTER Ian - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
106 WU Joseph - - 1% 8% 31% 43% 17%
107 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 1% 6% 25% 40% 22% 5% -
108 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
109 CAO Albert - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
110 SIM Ian 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
111 FU Leon - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
112 FRAY Alexander - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
113 VEZMAR Evan H. 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
114 PARK Nicholas 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
115 PAK Elliot 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
116 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - 3% 14% 34% 35% 13%
117 CARTY JR Johndale 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
118 O'DONNELL Benjamin - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
119 NIKOLOV Peter - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
120 TIKHONOV Iliya 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
121 CHOI San 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
122 ZHENG Jerry 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% - -
122 KIM Alexander 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
124 ANDERSON Kai 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
125 SVERDLOV Seth - 4% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
126 LIU Yikun 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4% -
127 RICHARDS Jackson D. 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% 1%
128 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
129 TIKHONOV Daniel 3% 17% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
129 OBERDERFER Vladimir 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
131 LEE Samuel Y. - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4%
132 LEE Daniel Y. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
133 BARG Jonathan - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
134 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
135 ODEN Isaac M. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
136 REPIC Oliver 9% 34% 38% 15% 2% - -
137 LAI Boden 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
138 MING Nathan 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
139 CHIN Dylan A. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
140 CHRISTENSEN Parker - 7% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
141 JU Hanul 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
142 WANG justin 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
143 WANG owen 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
144 HIGGINS Branford 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
145 ROLLO Emmett H. 3% 21% 40% 28% 7% 1%
146 ZAYDMAN Ethan 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
147 SHCHUR Landon 2% 13% 35% 37% 13% 2%
148 SINGH Ravin 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% - -
149 SUN Jeffrey 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
150 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% - -
151 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
152 HU Robert J. 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
153 KNUDSEN Travis 1% 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
154 KIM Jayden 1% 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% -
155 ZAYDMAN David M. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
156 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
157 WONG Baron 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
158 DANIELS Jonah 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
159 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
160 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
160 JIANG ryan 3% 16% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
162 KIM Ian 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
163 KENT V David 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
163 WANG Terry 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
165 LIN Kason 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
166 AGARWAL Adheesh 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
167 SEO Shawn 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
168 GADBURY Logan 80% 19% 1% - - - -
169 KUO Rylan 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
170 MITEV Alexander 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
171 LAM Alan 9% 30% 37% 20% 4%
172 DIETZ Andor 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 3%
173 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
174 RHYU Kozmo - 5% 18% 35% 31% 11%
175 ROMANOV Ethan 14% 41% 33% 11% 2% -
176 TIEMANN Landen 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
177 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
178 CASTELLY Luke - 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2%
179 AGGELER Donovan 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
180 CHANG Andrew 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
181 MUGA Aiden 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
182 WANG DEVON - < 1% 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
183 ZIEGLER John 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
184 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
185 LEE JoonWon 1% 9% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
185 HE Zhiheng 3% 14% 29% 31% 17% 5% 1%
187 LI Chenyu 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 3% -
188 DAO Alexander 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
189 WILLIAMS Logan 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
190 SINGH Aryaman 4% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
191 SHIN Ryan 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
192 SHA Michael 3% 17% 34% 30% 14% 3% -
192 CROSSMAN Brandon 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
194 HUANG Kenneth 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
195 TURK Reggie 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
196 KOYFMAN Benjamin 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
197 WONG King-Yee 35% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
198 ZHAO Jonathan 3% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
198 KRISHNAN Skanda 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
200 ALI Farhan 8% 31% 39% 19% 4% - -
201 KIM Remington 80% 18% 2% - - - -
202 YANG Boyan 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
203 MILLER Lance W. 29% 44% 22% 5% - -
204 LEE DoWon 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
205 HOWARD Jackson 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
206 DAVIS Jonah 12% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
207 PETROVICH Alexandar 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
208 YU Austin 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
209 O’CONNOR Nathan (Finn) 46% 40% 13% 2% - - -
210 STAFFORD Bryan 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.