Division 1 Championships/April NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Friday, April 21, 2023 at 8:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 IMREK Samuel A. - - 4% 18% 39% 32% 7%
2 RAMIREZ Yeisser - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
3 LAWSON Nicholas W. - - 2% 12% 29% 38% 19%
3 KUMASHI Mihir R. - - 4% 17% 38% 33% 8%
5 MCDOWALD Curtis E. - - - - 5% 29% 66%
6 KUSHNERIK Ethan - - 1% 4% 20% 43% 32%
7 MILLER Jeffrey E. - 2% 12% 33% 35% 16% 2%
8 TRAGER Matthew G. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
9 LANGE Henry C. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
10 KAULL James T. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
11 SZAPARY Tristan B. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
12 HADDAD Justin R. - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
13 LAWSON Henry A. - - - 3% 16% 41% 41%
14 ADLER Ian B. 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
15 YOO Justin - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
16 SINGHA Orion 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
17 DUNCAN Corwin - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
18 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
19 EWART Jr. Stephen P. - - - 1% 8% 39% 53%
20 HAN Matthew - 1% 7% 24% 38% 24% 5%
21 ZAFFT Maximo S. - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
22 BEZRODNOV Alexander - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 5%
23 WHITE Sean - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
24 RODNEY Adam R. - - 1% 6% 27% 44% 23%
25 SILVERS Noah E. - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
26 CANDELA Nicholas - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
27 MATVEEV Valentin S. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
28 ISAAC Joseph - - 1% 6% 27% 48% 18%
29 HANSEN Jonas B. - - 1% 6% 27% 44% 22%
30 CHEN Eric 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
31 WRIGHT Christopher 13% 40% 35% 11% 1% - -
32 TOWNSEND Avery S. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
33 FULLERTON Houston T. - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
34 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
35 MELCHER Jack H. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
36 WEISS Miles J. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
37 LIVERANT Skyler J. - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
38 PISKOVATSKOV Anton - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
39 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
40 LARSEN Samuel F. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
41 JIN Owen 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 7% 1%
42 GALLO James 8% 33% 38% 17% 4% - -
43 NOLLNER Dylan - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
43 RHYU Kozmo 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
45 PARK Frederick 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
46 ZHANG Andy W. - 4% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
47 NORTH Gary S. - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
48 LO Jake 1% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2%
49 MATTIS George 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
50 KIM Byung 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1%
51 SANDERS Ian W. - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
52 GRIFFITHS Ryan - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
53 SENNEWALD James J. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
54 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 10%
54 SHAH S Ayush - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
56 TSINIS Alexander E. - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
57 JEON Alexander E. - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 4%
58 SMITH Nicholas S. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
59 FULLER George K. 2% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3% -
59 ZHAO Corey 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
61 IYOKI Kent - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
62 LEE Seungwon 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
63 JEYOON Ryan S. 1% 9% 32% 39% 17% 3% -
64 PRASAD Ankith - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 1%
65 KROPP Jack 1% 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
66 TAFOYA Devin D. - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
67 HILBERT Xavier - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 10%
68 LEE Shwan - 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
69 SHELANSKI Isaac - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
70 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) - - 2% 16% 39% 33% 9%
71 LIU Alexander - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
72 MOSES Alexander - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
73 CLICK Aiden 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
74 SU Caleb 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
75 HE Lawrence 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
76 CIPRIANI Andrea - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
77 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
78 BEZRODNOV Michael 2% 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
79 JONES Simon A. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
80 SHAH Maximilian A. 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
81 GUINAN Joseph - 4% 18% 35% 31% 12% 1%
82 HILBERT Gabriel E. 11% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
83 FU Leon 12% 36% 36% 13% 2% - -
84 GANA Jr Jorge M. 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
85 GOLDFINE Ian J. 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
86 MURPHY Thomas P. 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
87 HENSAL Nicolas A. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
88 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
89 GUO Austin S. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 13% 2%
90 KIM Benjamin I. 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
91 KIM Dylan J. 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
92 MOORE Shomari A. - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
93 KARNAS Karol 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
94 CHOI Mason 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
95 PARK Ian C. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
96 KOBI Samuel 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
97 KHAYAT Ziad N. - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
97 LONCAR Luka E. - 4% 18% 38% 30% 9% 1%
99 LIEF Isaac R. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% -
100 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
101 WU Joseph - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
102 YOUNG Peyton E. 1% 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
103 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
104 DESTEFANO Julius 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
104 AGAON Shawn 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
106 YU Colin - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
107 DIECK Logan O. 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
108 LEE Samuel Y. 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
108 SHCHUR Landon 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
110 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 3% 22% 41% 27% 6% 1% -
111 LIN Kyran 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
112 ZHENG Haoran 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
113 GOHEL Dayus T. 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
114 KRAFT Dennis A. - - 2% 14% 34% 37% 13%
115 EMARA Omar 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
116 MUNLIN Donovan 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
117 CHONG christopher 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
118 MACARTY Jordan T. 2% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
119 POPOVICI Michael A. - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
119 STRAUSS Luke 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
121 MUGA Boris 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
122 SAVORETTI Francesco 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
123 LEE Daniel Y. - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
124 HUANG Thomas 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
125 KANG Philip F. 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
126 CARPENTER Liam - 3% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
127 O'DONNELL Benjamin 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
128 IARIKOV Nicholas 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
129 CARRIER Gabriel A. 5% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
130 LI Jesse - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
131 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
132 LEE Noah 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
133 WANG DEVON 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
134 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
135 KIM Nathan 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
136 FRAY Alexander - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
137 DOSS David A. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
138 PAK Elliot 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
139 SMOAK Omari Z. - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 5%
139 GATZA Logan 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
141 WU Jonathan 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
142 SPIER Julian H. 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
143 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
144 KUMAR Aidan 17% 44% 29% 8% 1% - -
145 KHANNA Nikhil 14% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
145 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
147 VAYSBUKH Konstantin - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
148 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
149 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
149 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 5% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
151 YAO Geoffrey B. 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
152 GAO Daniel 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
153 HOLTZ Donovan K. 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
154 MACZIK Adam W. 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
155 KOKENGE Reid 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
156 CAO Albert 7% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
157 NGUYEN Tate 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
158 KATS Dylan G. 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
158 AGAON Ethan 23% 44% 26% 7% 1% - -
160 JIN Nicholas 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
161 NIKOLOV Peter 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
161 PHUKAN Rohin 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
163 DISIMONE David Z. 27% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
164 SHIV Rishi 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
164 JOSEPH William 6% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
166 JACKSON James 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
167 WOLFE Alex 3% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
167 HUSSAIN Kamran 18% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
169 GIBSON Nowell L. 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
170 INSLER Ethan C. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
171 SPINA Joseph B. 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
172 MCKEEVER Luca 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
173 EVANS Tyler 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
174 IMREK Elijah S. 6% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
174 ROLLO Emmett H. 41% 43% 14% 2% - - -
176 GAO Chaney C. 6% 29% 39% 20% 4% - -
177 CAO Brad 28% 44% 22% 5% 1% - -
178 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
179 MUGA Aiden 52% 36% 10% 1% - - -
180 CHIN Dylan A. 37% 42% 18% 3% - -
181 IVE Isaac L. < 1% 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
182 CHU Allan 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
183 CHOI Kaiden I. 43% 42% 13% 2% - - -
184 DIXON Thomas 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.