Division 1 Championships/April NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Friday, April 21, 2023 at 8:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
2 RAMIREZ Yeisser 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
3 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
3 KUMASHI Mihir R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 8%
5 MCDOWALD Curtis E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
6 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
7 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
8 TRAGER Matthew G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
9 LANGE Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
10 KAULL James T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
11 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
12 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
13 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
14 ADLER Ian B. 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6%
15 YOO Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
16 SINGHA Orion 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
17 DUNCAN Corwin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
18 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
19 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 53%
20 HAN Matthew 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
21 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
22 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
23 WHITE Sean 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
24 RODNEY Adam R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
25 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
26 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
27 MATVEEV Valentin S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 13%
28 ISAAC Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 18%
29 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 22%
30 CHEN Eric 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
31 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 87% 47% 13% 1% - -
32 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 4%
33 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
34 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
35 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
36 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
37 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
38 PISKOVATSKOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
39 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
40 LARSEN Samuel F. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8%
41 JIN Owen 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
42 GALLO James 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
43 NOLLNER Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38%
43 RHYU Kozmo 100% 99% 95% 76% 44% 14% 1%
45 PARK Frederick 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
46 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 13% 1%
47 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
48 LO Jake 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
49 MATTIS George 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
50 KIM Byung 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1%
51 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
52 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
53 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
54 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
54 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
56 TSINIS Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
57 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
58 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
59 FULLER George K. 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3% -
59 ZHAO Corey 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
61 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
62 LEE Seungwon 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
63 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
64 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 15% 1%
65 KROPP Jack 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
66 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
67 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
68 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
69 SHELANSKI Isaac 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
70 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 9%
71 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
72 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
73 CLICK Aiden 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
74 SU Caleb 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
75 HE Lawrence 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
76 CIPRIANI Andrea 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
77 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
78 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
79 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
80 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
81 GUINAN Joseph 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
82 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 89% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
83 FU Leon 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% - -
84 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
85 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
86 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
87 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
88 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
89 GUO Austin S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
90 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
91 KIM Dylan J. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
92 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
93 KARNAS Karol 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
94 CHOI Mason 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2% -
95 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
96 KOBI Samuel 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
97 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
97 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 10% 1%
99 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% -
100 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
101 WU Joseph 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
102 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
103 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
104 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
104 AGAON Shawn 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
106 YU Colin 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
107 DIECK Logan O. 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
108 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
108 SHCHUR Landon 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
110 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 97% 75% 34% 7% 1% -
111 LIN Kyran 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
112 ZHENG Haoran 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% -
113 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
114 KRAFT Dennis A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
115 EMARA Omar 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
116 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
117 CHONG christopher 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
118 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 1%
119 POPOVICI Michael A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
119 STRAUSS Luke 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
121 MUGA Boris 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% -
122 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
123 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
124 HUANG Thomas 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
125 KANG Philip F. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
126 CARPENTER Liam 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
127 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% - -
128 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
129 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
130 LI Jesse 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
131 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
132 LEE Noah 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
133 WANG DEVON 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
134 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
135 KIM Nathan 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
136 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
137 DOSS David A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
138 PAK Elliot 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
139 SMOAK Omari Z. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
139 GATZA Logan 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
141 WU Jonathan 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
142 SPIER Julian H. 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 6% 1%
143 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
144 KUMAR Aidan 100% 83% 38% 9% 1% - -
145 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
145 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 76% 34% 7% 1% - -
147 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
148 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
149 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
149 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
151 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
152 GAO Daniel 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
153 HOLTZ Donovan K. 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
154 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
155 KOKENGE Reid 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% -
156 CAO Albert 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
157 NGUYEN Tate 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
158 KATS Dylan G. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5% -
158 AGAON Ethan 100% 77% 33% 8% 1% - -
160 JIN Nicholas 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
161 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% - -
161 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
163 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
164 SHIV Rishi 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
164 JOSEPH William 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
166 JACKSON James 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
167 WOLFE Alex 100% 97% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
167 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
169 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
170 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 1%
171 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
172 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
173 EVANS Tyler 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
174 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
174 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
176 GAO Chaney C. 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% - -
177 CAO Brad 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% - -
178 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
179 MUGA Aiden 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
180 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
181 IVE Isaac L. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
182 CHU Allan 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
183 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
184 DIXON Thomas 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.