December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Monday, December 4, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 BIDA Sergey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
2 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
3 RAMIREZ Yeisser 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
3 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
5 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
6 YOO Justin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
7 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 70% 41% 15% 3%
8 KNYSH Oleg 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
9 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
10 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
11 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 72% 48% 24% 8% 2% -
12 KANG Philip F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 63% 38% 17% 5% 1% -
13 SHELANSKI Isaac 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 59% 31% 10% 1%
14 SHAH S Ayush 100% 99% 94% 73% 41% 13% 2%
15 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 22%
16 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 70% 42% 16% 4% -
17 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
18 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 45% 18% 3%
19 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 28%
20 RODNEY Adam R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
21 EMARA Omar 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 64% 39% 18% 5% 1% -
22 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 64% 38% 16% 4% 1% -
23 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 81% 60% 34% 14% 4% -
24 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
25 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 97% 85% 63% 36% 15% 5% 1% - - - -
26 CIPRIANI Andrea 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 56% 25% 5%
27 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 70% 41% 15% 3%
28 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 58% 31% 11% 2% -
29 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 68% 42% 19% 5% 1% -
30 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 70% 43% 19% 5% 1%
31 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
32 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 83% 62% 37% 16% 5% 1% - -
33 JIN Owen 100% 100% 99% 91% 73% 46% 21% 6% 1% < 1% -
34 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 64% 39% 18% 6% 1% - - -
35 LARSEN Samuel F. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
36 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
36 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 66% 42% 20% 7% 2% - -
38 MATVEEV Valentin S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
39 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 63% 37% 17% 5% 1% - -
39 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 70% 42% 17% 4% 1% -
41 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 73% 49% 25% 9% 2% - - -
42 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 17%
43 LANGE Henry C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20% 2%
44 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
45 KUMASHI Mihir R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
46 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
46 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 80% 58% 33% 14% 4% 1% - -
48 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 79% 55% 29% 11% 3% 1% - -
49 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 69% 44% 20% 6% 1%
50 ISAAC Mena 100% 100% 100% 97% 87% 68% 43% 20% 7% 1% - - -
51 WHITE Sean 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
52 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 63% 36% 15% 4% 1% - - -
53 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
53 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 80% 58% 33% 15% 5% 1% - - -
55 DUNCAN Corwin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 64% 36% 13% 2%
56 KAULL James T. 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 14%
57 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 72% 47% 23% 8% 2% - -
58 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 69% 42% 18% 5% 1% -
59 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
60 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 59% 33% 13% 3% 1% -
61 ZHANG Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 58% 32% 13% 3% -
62 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 76% 51% 26% 10% 3% 1% - - -
63 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 71% 46% 22% 8% 2% - -
64 NOLLNER Dylan 100% 100% 98% 87% 63% 30% 7%
65 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 50% 26% 9% 2% - - -
66 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 57% 30% 10% 2% -
67 YERGLER Jonathan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 80% 54% 25% 5%
68 SINGHA Orion 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
69 GORNOVSKY David J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 61% 33% 11% 2%
69 FU Leon 100% 100% 97% 86% 64% 37% 16% 5% 1% < 1% - - -
71 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 90% 71% 45% 21% 7% 2% - - - -
72 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 98% 90% 72% 45% 21% 7% 1% - - -
73 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 71% 47% 24% 9% 2% - -
75 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 67% 42% 20% 7% 1% - -
76 TRAGER Matthew G. 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 12% 2%
77 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 99% 95% 80% 56% 30% 12% 3% 1% - - - -
78 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 78% 54% 28% 11% 3% 1% - -
79 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 69% 45% 22% 8% 2% -
79 TREBON Hayden 100% 100% 99% 94% 80% 56% 30% 12% 3% 1% - - -
81 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1%
82 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 63% 38% 16% 5% 1% -
83 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 100% 97% 88% 70% 45% 22% 8% 2% - - - -
84 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 64% 38% 16% 4% -
85 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 50% 23% 6% 1%
86 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 80% 55% 28% 9% 2% -
87 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
88 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 98% 91% 73% 48% 24% 9% 2% - - - -
89 LI Jesse 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 72% 46% 22% 7% 1% - -
90 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 100% 99% 93% 73% 43% 18% 5% 1% - - - -
90 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 89% 69% 41% 18% 5% 1% - - - -
92 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 58% 32% 13% 4% 1% - - -
93 CHONG christopher 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
94 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 97% 86% 64% 36% 14% 3% - - -
95 MA Victor 100% 99% 95% 80% 55% 29% 11% 3% - - - -
96 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 70% 45% 21% 7% 1% - -
97 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 98% 86% 61% 32% 12% 3% 1% - - - - -
98 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
99 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
100 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
101 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5% -
101 PARK Frederick 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
103 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 11%
104 TIEN Jabin 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
105 FULLER George K. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
106 WU Joseph 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
107 BEDOR William J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
108 LEE Stewart S. 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
109 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% 1% -
110 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
111 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
112 ZHANG ethan 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
113 KIM Byung 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 19% 3%
114 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 9%
115 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
116 LAM Alan 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
117 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
117 KROPP Jack 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
119 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
120 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 98% 84% 53% 22% 5% -
121 WELDON Benjamin 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
122 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
123 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
123 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
125 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 8%
126 MCDANIELS Jeremy 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
127 CAO Brad 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% -
128 WICAS Graham E. 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
129 KUMAR Anitya 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 20% 3%
130 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
131 CAI Brian 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4% -
132 TOLKACHEV Igor 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
133 HEIM Bryce 100% 97% 80% 49% 20% 4% -
134 GASPAROVICH IV George M. 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 21% 4%
135 MUGA Aiden 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
136 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 18% 3%
137 WU Jonathan 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
138 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
139 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
140 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
141 HUTTO Joshua 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
142 HIGGINS Branford 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
143 JIANG ryan 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
144 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 36% 7%
144 CAO Albert 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
146 ZHENG Haoran 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
147 KIM Nathan 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
148 NGUYEN Tate 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
149 PRIHODKO Max 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
150 PAK Elliot 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
151 TOUSSAINT Semaj 100% 71% 27% 5% 1% - -
152 MCCOWN Ronan 100% 93% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
153 LEE JoonWon 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
154 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 8%
155 GAO Chaney C. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
156 ZHAO Corey 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
157 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
158 CHIEN Zachary M. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
158 CARPENTER Liam 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
160 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
161 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
162 SINGH Ravin 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
163 LEE Noah 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
164 SHIV Rishi 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
164 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
166 SHA Michael 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
167 SMOAK Omari Z. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
168 GUINAN Joseph 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
168 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
170 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
171 HE Zhiheng 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
172 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 94% 58% 20% 4% - -
173 KYPRAIOS Nicholas 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
174 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 97% 75% 35% 7%
175 KNOX James 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
176 ZHANG Caden 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
176 LIOU Solomon 100% 97% 77% 37% 8%
178 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
179 SHEN Max 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
180 KIM Sterling S. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
181 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
182 HEADRICK Lance 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%
183 JOSEPH William 100% 100% 93% 68% 28% 6% -
184 CHEN Wesley 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
184 KUMAR Aidan 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
186 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
187 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
188 SMITH Justin C. 100% 98% 89% 63% 31% 9% 1%
188 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
190 CARTER Austin L. 100% 96% 70% 29% 6% 1% -
191 NEAL John P. 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
191 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
193 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% - -
194 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
195 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
196 DORASZELSKI Mark 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
196 RICHARD Owen 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5% -
198 LUEDECKE Myles A. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 3% -
199 LAI Boden 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
200 JORDAN Anton 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1% -
201 SHCHUR Landon 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
202 SNYDER IV William B. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
203 KATS Dylan G. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
204 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
205 PARK Nicholas 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
206 PRIHODKO Andrew 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
207 YU Hunter 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
208 SO Lorenzo 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
209 HU Robert J. 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
209 YANG Boyan 100% 94% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
211 COHEN Jared E. 100% 93% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
212 SINHA Zaan 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
213 CHOI San 100% 69% 28% 7% 1% - -
214 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
215 SAKO Ayrton J. 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
216 LEE DoWon 100% 30% 4% - - - -
217 LIM Timothy D. 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
218 FAN Beichen 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
219 ZHU Eric 100% 65% 25% 5% 1% - -
219 WONG King-Yee 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
221 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
222 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 95% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
223 AMOLSCH Dylan 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
224 CHRISTY Peter C. 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
225 DU SHUNYU K. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
226 PAN Tristan 100% 51% 13% 2% -
227 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
227 LAI Aedin 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
229 MING Nathan 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
230 MILLER Lance W. 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
230 PARCELEWICZ John M. 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
230 REPIC Oliver 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
233 STEPHENS Corbin 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
234 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
234 EMMERT JP 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
236 SCHARF Ryan 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
237 BUI James H. 100% 86% 53% 20% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.