Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Cadet Men's Épée

Friday, April 22, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
2 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
3 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
3 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
5 BINDAS Odinn A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
6 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 9%
7 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
8 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
9 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
10 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
11 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
12 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
13 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
14 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
15 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
16 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
17 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
17 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
19 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
20 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
21 KOBI Samuel 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
21 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
21 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
24 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
25 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
26 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
27 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
28 CUI Oscar (Bo Lang) 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
29 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
30 GALLO James 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
31 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 2%
32 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
33 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
34 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
35 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
36 GAO Chaney C. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% < 1%
37 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
38 PHAM Sawyer T. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
39 CAO Brad 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
40 HEADRICK Lance 100% 94% 61% 24% 5% < 1% -
41 POS Theo 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
42 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
43 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
44 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
45 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
46 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
47 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
47 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 8% 1%
49 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
50 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
51 NATSVLISHVILI John Vano 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
52 CHUNG Yeongbin 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
53 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 6% -
54 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
55 JIN daniel 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
56 KUMAR Aidan 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
57 AGAON Shawn 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
58 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
59 CAO Albert 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 9% 1%
60 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
61 TORRES Gianni 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
62 TREBON Hayden 100% 100% 97% 78% 35% 5%
63 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
64 CHU Allan 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
65 WEI Zheng (Jonny) 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% < 1%
66 ZHAO corey 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
68 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
69 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 4%
70 WEI Michael 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
71 WU Jonathan 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
72 WANG Terry 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
73 WANG owen 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 15% 2%
74 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
75 JORDAN Anton 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
76 ZENG Zihan 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
77 KNOX James 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
78 LO Jake 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
79 DU SHUNYU K. 100% 96% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
80 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
81 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
82 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
83 ZHANG Alec 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
84 WANG Trontour 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
85 WOLFE Alex 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
86 PARK Elliot 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 11%
87 LEE Seungwon 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
88 KIM Byung 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
89 AGAON Ethan 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
89 CREMONA Diego Maria 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1%
91 SHA Michael 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
92 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4%
93 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
94 FU Leon 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
95 CHAI Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
96 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
96 XIAO Andrew 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
98 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
99 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
100 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
100 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
102 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
103 CHOI Aleksey 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
104 LIN Kason 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
105 DAVIS Jonah 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
105 YU Hunter 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
107 MAHESH Tarun 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
108 KIM Nathan 100% 98% 82% 48% 14% 1%
109 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
110 EVERS Gabriel 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
111 TORRES Nicolas 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
112 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
113 WANG DEVON 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
114 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
115 LI Patrick 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
116 HE Zhiheng 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
116 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 7% 1%
116 PRAKASH Hari 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% - -
119 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 3%
120 VEZMAR Evan H. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
121 FAN Wei Jyun 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
122 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
123 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
124 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
125 PARK Nicholas 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
126 ZHU Eric 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
127 PAK Elliot 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
128 NGUYEN Tate 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2%
129 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
130 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 78% 32% 6% - -
130 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 95% 68% 25% 4% -
132 GAITHER Christopher W. 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
133 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
134 MCADOO Declan 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
135 MUGA Aiden 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
136 VACCARO Dominick J. 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
136 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
138 HANNON Owen 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
139 FENG du 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
140 EVANS noah 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
141 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
141 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
143 WU Marcus 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
144 WANG Aidan 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
145 LIU Noah 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
146 RICHARDSON Ray 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
147 SINHA Zaan 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
148 QUITORIANO Matthew 100% 97% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
149 SINGH Aryaman 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
150 LIN Harrison 100% 72% 29% 5% - -
151 HU Anton 100% 68% 22% 3% - -
152 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
153 XIE Brandon 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
154 KIM Sullivan 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
154 TAM Ethan 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
154 GAO Zachary 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
157 ULINICH Alexander 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
158 WATT Darren 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
159 LEE JoonWon 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
160 BRUSKOTTER Reiland 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
160 SARIKONDA Akhil 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
162 HU Robert J. 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
163 MODULLA Yathin 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
164 BYARS John 100% 32% 4% - - - -
165 WANG Steven 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
166 LI Zachary 100% 95% 65% 26% 6% 1% -
167 REDDY Arya 100% 90% 48% 12% 2% - -
168 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
169 SONG Troy 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -
170 SNYDER Ari 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
171 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
172 ARUN VIKHYAT 100% 85% 48% 17% 3% - -
173 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% -
174 ZHANG Eric 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
175 KIM Ian 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
176 ZHUANG William 100% 90% 57% 21% 3% -
177 KUBATIN Anton V. 100% 82% 43% 14% 2% - -
178 ZHAO Zidong 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
179 ARMITAGE Liam 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
179 ROSS Connor 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
181 MENDOZA Zander 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
181 MALHAM Andrew 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.