USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-14 Men's Épée

Thursday, July 4, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MA Ark 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
2 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
3 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
3 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
5 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
6 MCGAW Julian E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
7 LEE Alexander G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
8 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
9 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
10 GRAY Sterling B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
10 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
12 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
13 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
14 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
15 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
16 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2%
17 DAO Matthew M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
18 LEI Jacob 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 5%
19 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
19 ROBINSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
21 GARCIA-ROGERS Lucas H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
22 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
23 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
24 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
25 FELDMAN Jaemin 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
26 USHER Alexander 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
27 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
28 LYUTIKOV Yegor 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
29 ZHU Max 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 7%
30 OH Matthew M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
31 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
32 LEE Noah 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
33 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
34 LIN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
35 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
35 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
37 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
38 CHO Tyler H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
39 KANG Philip F. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
40 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 20%
41 MOHEBI Saam 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 4%
42 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
43 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
44 LIU Jack 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
45 ROBINSON Keegan B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
46 THAYER Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
46 GREEN Ummi 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
48 SHUR Yakov C. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
49 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
50 JAMES Samuel 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 26% 5%
51 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 21% 2%
52 MATTIS George 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
53 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 22% 3%
54 COOPER Rowan 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
55 MCLOUDREY Callan E. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
56 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
57 BUHEIS Alexander I. 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
58 HANRATTY Liam 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
59 LIANG Aaron 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 3%
60 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 36% 9%
61 WONG Daniel 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
62 DENNIS Ethan 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
63 JACKSON James 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
64 RASMUSSEN Jack 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
65 LEONE Charles D. 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
66 ODEN Isaac M. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
67 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
68 DUONG Enoch 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 5% -
69 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
70 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
71 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
72 GASIOROWSKI Devin G. 100% 100% 96% 78% 46% 15% 2%
73 PARKER Riley D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
74 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
75 MANZ Hamilton R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
76 JANG Elliot 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
77 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 12%
78 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 24%
79 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
79 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 98% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
79 ZHAO Luhan 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
82 HOLDERNESS Landon 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 6%
83 GOLDMAN Rami 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
84 MUGA Boris 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
85 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
85 AHN Gus 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
87 PICK Ian 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
88 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
89 GARRETT Samuel 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
90 POPOVICI Andrew E. 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
91 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 1%
91 LANGTON Sawyer 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
93 KROPP Jack 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
94 VAN EIKEMA HOMMES Neil B. 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 17%
95 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
96 DYER Ian E. 100% 85% 47% 13% 2% -
97 KOUSTIKOV Max 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
98 DYER Carson C. 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% - -
99 NIEBERGALL Colin G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
99 LIU Felix 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
99 SCHULTZ Rowan 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
102 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
103 CHEN Eric 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
103 HART Jackson 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
105 THOMAS Harris 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
106 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
107 GILLISON Edward L. 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
108 MATEI Daniel 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
109 JANKOWICH Alexander E. 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
110 LEVY Jeffrey M. 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 12% 2%
111 KOFROTH Zachary R. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
112 ALIYEV Telman 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
113 STEVENS George 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% -
114 VANDERLINDEN Brian 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% -
115 NESTEROV Andrew E. 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 2% -
116 PARK Elliot 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 5% -
117 PANAYOTOV Alexander 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
118 CHUNG Thomas 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% -
119 SMITH Zane A. 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
120 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 2%
121 WU Jason 100% 93% 67% 32% 10% 2% -
121 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 14% 1%
123 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
124 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
125 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
126 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
127 LANGENDERFER Braeden 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
128 THOMPSON Chester 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
129 OH Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
130 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
131 GREEN Jabreel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
132 BANKULLA Nihal R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
133 AU Marcus J. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
133 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
135 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
136 WU Byron 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 2%
137 KOTCHEN Peter Trammell 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
138 FERREIRA Noah J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 6%
139 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 12%
140 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
141 SHIV Rishi 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
142 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
143 HERBEL Micah O. 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
143 JUN Jaywu 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
145 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
146 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
147 ALFARO Justus 100% 99% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
147 TANG William 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
149 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
150 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
151 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
152 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
153 KING Cameron 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
154 DIXON Thomas 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
155 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
156 MIN MARCUS 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 3% -
157 GRAYSON Shane W. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
158 GREGORY Nicholas 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
159 HE Lawrence 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
160 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
160 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
160 ZHANG Alec 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
160 NICHOLS JR Cortez 100% 97% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
164 AGAON Shawn 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 22% 4%
165 MARIN Lucas 100% 79% 27% 4% - - -
166 POPOVICI Maximilian P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
167 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
168 PARNAS Ely 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
169 PHAM Ian Q. 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
170 SCHLEUDER Aidan 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
170 DINKINS Shuayb 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
170 DIBENERDINI Aidan 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
173 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
174 SMITH Jackson 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
175 HWANG Samuel W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
176 SONN Rohan 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 2% -
177 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
178 AMMON Blue 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
179 KOPPE Alexander 100% 92% 57% 19% 3% - -
180 LEE Hudson 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
181 HAN David 100% 82% 46% 15% 3% - -
182 KOKENGE Reid 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2% -
183 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
184 ZHANG Andrew 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
185 REDHEAD Nolan P. 100% 67% 24% 5% - -
186 YOUNG Jr Colby 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
187 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% -
188 DILLE Jackson K. 100% 73% 29% 5% - -
189 MUN Chur-Yong 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
190 COFFEY Jacob 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
191 TUCKER Henry M. 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 3% -
192 CASTLE Aaron 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
193 KIM Darius H. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
194 JAAFAR Omar 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
195 WONG Nathan 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% -
196 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
197 SIDDIQUI HUMZA K. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
198 WANG DEVON 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
199 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 7%
200 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
200 WOZNIAK Ignacy 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
200 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
203 NOEL Sebastien A. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 18% 2%
204 HA Daniel 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
205 CHOI Isaac 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
206 UZGIRIS Kovas 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 2%
206 SHERWOOD Dominic 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 2%
208 NORTON Theo B. 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
209 GALIS Nicholas 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
210 KIM Edward J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
211 AKOCS Ethan 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
212 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
212 MILLER Lance W. 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 2% -
214 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 89% 52% 14% 2% - -
215 MISHIMA Torata 100% 94% 68% 30% 8% 1% -
216 WANG Eric S 100% 95% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
217 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
218 BINDAS Odinn A. 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
218 STEWART Charlie 100% 76% 34% 9% 1% - -
220 SCHARF Ryan 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
221 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% - -
222 LEVCHOOK Thomas 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
223 DU Drake 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
224 GOUVEIA Conall 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
225 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
226 BAKER Toby 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
227 NGUYEN Tate 100% 76% 35% 10% 1% - -
228 TAROLLI Alexander 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
229 ZIEBART Jeremy J. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
230 JIN daniel 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5%
231 CAO Albert 100% 84% 41% 10% 1% -
232 COLLINS Damase 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% -
233 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
234 BAGCHI Aritra 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
235 BHARGAV Siddharth 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
236 AGAON Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
237 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
238 KNOEPFFLER Alex 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 26% 3%
238 KAGAN Spencer E. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
238 DRIBIN Ezra 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
241 ZHOU Jiasheng 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
242 GU Brian 100% 87% 47% 14% 2% - -
243 LI Benjamin 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
244 BUROVSKY Maxim 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
245 LOU Kevin 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
246 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
247 MCALISTER Ian 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
248 CHATZIKALFAS Dimitris E. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
249 BLOESCH Philip E. 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
250 STRAUSS Luke 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
251 BENATER Ethan 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
252 BARTCH Ethan L. 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% - -
253 SIMMONS Tristan A. 100% 97% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
254 CHAMBLISS Logan C. 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
255 KOBI Samuel 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
256 MICKO Fritz K. 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
257 WU Joseph 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
258 STENNIS Brendan 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
259 PARK Frederick 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
260 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
261 BISEN Aryaman 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% - -
262 CHOI Mason 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
263 PRYOR Jake 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
264 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
265 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
266 DIVERIS Joseph 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
267 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
267 ROMERO KURI Carlos Alexander 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
269 GRZYBICKI Kaj 100% 96% 73% 36% 11% 2% -
270 CAO Brad 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
271 MCCRACKEN Dylan 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
272 ISRAEL Reason E. 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
273 RIPLEY ian 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
274 BOWDEN Ian 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
274 TREBON Hayden 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
274 LIU Andrew 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
277 THOMAS HRZIC Nico D. 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
278 TRUJILLO Andres 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
279 HURDAL Leif G. 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% - -
280 CHEN Matthew 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
281 MURDOCH ROY Charlie 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
282 EDWARDS Strummer 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
283 SCEROLER Anslee 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.