National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Wednesday, July 7, 2021 at 8:30 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
2 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 20%
3 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
3 THOMAS Harris 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
5 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
6 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
7 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
8 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
9 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
10 ELYADERANI Paxon 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
11 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
12 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
13 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
14 PARK Elliot 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
15 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
16 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
17 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
18 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
19 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
20 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
21 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
22 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
23 AGAON Shawn 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
24 GALLO James 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
25 JORDAN Anton 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
26 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
27 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30% 4%
28 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
28 KOBI Samuel 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
30 ZHANG Alec 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
31 JIN daniel 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
32 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 2%
33 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
34 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
35 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
36 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
37 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
38 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
39 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
40 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
41 JUN Jaywu 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
42 VRAPI Dorian A. 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
43 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
44 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
45 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
46 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
47 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
48 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
48 MICKO Fritz K. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
50 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
51 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 15%
52 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
53 KARNAS Karol 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
54 ZHAO corey 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 10%
55 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
56 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
57 WU Marcus 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
58 VEZMAR Evan H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
59 SINGH Aryaman 100% 99% 82% 44% 12% 2% -
60 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
61 TREBON Hayden 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
62 MCALISTER Ian 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
63 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
64 DAO Alexander 100% 98% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
65 LI Patrick 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
66 KUMAR Aidan 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 13% 2%
67 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
68 THAKUR Om S. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
69 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
70 NEAL John P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
71 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
72 WANG DEVON 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 27% 4%
72 WANG Clayton 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
74 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
75 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
76 CHOI Mason 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
77 MAHESH Tarun 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
78 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 12%
79 PHAM Sawyer T. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
80 KRZYSIAK David F. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
81 VACCARO Dominick J. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
82 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
83 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
84 WANG owen 100% 97% 76% 39% 10% 1%
85 SARKAR Anish 100% 99% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
85 EVANS noah 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
87 CAO Brad 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
88 KOZAKIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
89 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
90 SNYDER Ari 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
91 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
92 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
93 ULINICH Alexander 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
94 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. 100% 97% 76% 38% 11% 2% -
95 SARKAR agniv 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
96 ZHANG William 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% -
97 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
98 VELINOV Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
98 CHU Allan 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
100 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 2%
101 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 95% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
102 KNOX James 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
103 CHAMBLISS Logan C. 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
104 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
105 MUGA Aiden 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
106 KIM Nathan 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
107 LEE Hudson 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 1%
108 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
109 BRUSKOTTER Reiland 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
110 LEE Seungwon 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
111 KIM Byung 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
112 WU Jonathan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
113 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 95% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
113 LEE Chun Po 100% 74% 34% 10% 2% - -
115 SINFUEGO Adrian 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% - -
116 CORRALES Victor M. 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1% -
117 WOLFE Alex 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
118 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
119 LAI Aiden 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
120 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
120 WONG KEVIN 100% 99% 89% 63% 31% 8% 1%
122 SUN James H. 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
123 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
124 SHA Michael 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% -
125 CHEN Zhengyang 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
126 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
127 XIAO Andrew 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
128 CAO Albert 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
129 SINGH Ravin 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - -
130 SKORUPAN Grant 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
131 MCDONALD Ethan 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
132 WILSON Benjamin H. 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
133 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
134 KOPPE Alexander 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
135 KENT V David 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
136 GOLLIN Luke 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1% -
137 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%
138 TAHOUN Aly 100% 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
138 SONN Rohan 100% 96% 76% 41% 14% 2% -
140 STRAUSS Luke 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 14% 2%
141 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
142 PARK Nicholas 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
142 ZHANG Nathan 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
144 MALHAM Andrew 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
144 DODIN David 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
146 YU Austin 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
147 XIONG Aaron 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
148 DAVIS Jonah 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
148 CLICK Tristan 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
150 GUAN Nathan 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
151 LEE JoonWon 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
152 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
153 XIE Brandon 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
154 LAM Alan 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
155 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
155 WANG Max S 100% 85% 35% 7% 1% - -
157 DILLE Jackson K. 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
158 LEE inwoo 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
159 KIM Sullivan 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% - -
160 PARKS Isaac 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% -
161 XIA Oliver 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
162 PRAKASH Hari 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
163 CHANG Luo Jixiu 100% 91% 63% 28% 8% 1% -
163 KIM Jayden 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
163 LO Jake 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
166 MIAO KUNQI 100% 41% 6% - - - -
167 JONES Reilly 100% 89% 53% 19% 4% - -
167 DONDISCH ilan 100% 11% - - - - -
169 FENG du 100% 60% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.