National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Men's Épée

Sunday, June 30, 2024 at 10:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIOZNYANSKY Simon - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
2 RODNEY Adam R. - - - - 5% 29% 66%
3 CALDERON Diego - - 4% 20% 41% 34%
3 SANDERS Ian W. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
5 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. - - - - 6% 34% 60%
6 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
7 EWART Jr. Stephen P. - - - 2% 12% 41% 45%
8 ZAGORUIKO Ivan - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
9 WEISS Miles J. - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
10 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
11 GIBSON Nowell L. - 1% 6% 20% 37% 30% 7%
12 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
13 IYOKI Kent - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
13 IMREK Elijah S. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
15 YOUNG Peyton E. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
16 LIU Alexander - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
17 LAWSON Nicholas W. - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
18 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
19 SU Caleb - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
20 ZHENG Andy - 6% 22% 37% 26% 7% 1%
21 YAO Geoffrey B. 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
22 KARNAS Karol 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
23 LO Jake - 5% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
24 GORNOVSKY David J. - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
25 BARG Jonathan 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
26 HEADRICK Lance 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
27 KAULL James T. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
28 KATS Dylan G. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
29 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
30 LIVERANT Skyler J. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
31 MACZIK Adam W. - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
32 IRWIN Peter 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
33 CARRIER Gabriel A. - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
34 SENNEWALD James J. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
35 BEZRODNOV Michael - 1% 7% 24% 39% 24% 4%
36 DIECK Logan O. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
37 MURPHY Thomas P. - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
38 MOOSEKIAN Stafford - - 1% 9% 40% 41% 9%
39 ZHENG Haoran 1% 7% 28% 42% 20% 2%
40 LE BORGNE Matthieu 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
41 MOSES Alexander - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
42 GOHEL Dayus T. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
43 CANDELA Nicholas - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
44 KANG Philip F. - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 8%
44 MAZUR Daniil - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
46 MATTIS George - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
47 CHONG christopher - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
47 BIDA Sergey - - - - 4% 31% 65%
49 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 6%
50 CARTY JR Johndale 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
51 SPIER Julian H. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
52 PANG Lucas 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
53 MUGA Boris - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
54 RICHARD Owen - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
55 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
56 KNOX James - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
57 SHARMA Sanil - 3% 14% 34% 35% 13%
58 GRIFFITHS Ryan - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
59 MILLER Jeffrey E. - 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
60 TAFOYA Devin D. - - 2% 11% 33% 41% 13%
61 CHAI Jonathan - 4% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2%
62 IARIKOV Nicholas 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
63 LAI Boden 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
64 KIM Nathan 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
65 LEE Noah 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% < 1%
66 NORTH Gary S. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
67 DUNCAN Corwin - - 1% 8% 32% 47% 12%
68 LIN Harrison 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
69 SOULAIRE Tom 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
70 HILBERT Gabriel E. 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
71 SHAN Junzhe 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
72 SILVERS Noah E. - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
73 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. - - - 3% 16% 41% 41%
74 KUSHNERIK Ethan - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
74 WANG Clayton 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
76 RUBIN Daniel 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
77 PARK Ian C. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 3%
78 MCDOWALD Curtis E. - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
78 STRAUSS Luke - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
80 CHEN Leonardo 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
81 KIM Donghyeok - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
82 KHAYAT Ziad N. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
83 KUMAR Aidan 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
84 YANG Boyan 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
85 ARAVIND Athreya 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
86 GAO Chaney C. 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
87 LEE Samuel Y. 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1% -
88 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
88 CLICK Aiden - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
90 KIM Byung - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
91 PACYNA ATILLA 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
92 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
93 MITEV Alexander 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
94 DAVOODIAN Christopher - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 2%
95 KOKENGE Reid 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
96 MICKO Fritz K. 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
97 VAYSBUKH Konstantin - 6% 24% 39% 26% 5%
98 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
99 NGUYEN Tate 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% -
100 TREBON Hayden 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
101 WU Joseph - 2% 14% 35% 36% 11% 1%
102 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 6%
103 TIKHONOV Iliya 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
104 ZHAO Corey - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
105 XIAO Hanzhi （Shawn） 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
106 MACARTY Jordan T. 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
106 LEONE III Charles D. 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
108 FRAY Alexander - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
109 HAN Matthew - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 11%
110 MANN Jake R. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
111 DOYON - VERDON William 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
112 YUE Hongrui 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
113 LIN Kyran - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
114 ZHANG Caden 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
115 WANG William M. 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 2%
116 BHATNAGAR Ayan 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
117 GUINAN Joseph - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
118 HSU Hao - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
119 ZAYDMAN David M. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
120 EMARA Omar - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
121 WRIGHT Christopher 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
122 KIM Benjamin I. 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1%
123 HRAPSKY Ryan J. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
123 KOYFMAN Benjamin 8% 30% 37% 19% 4% - -
125 JOVANOVIC Jovan - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
126 SHAH S Ayush - - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
127 NORBUTAS Jackson S. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 7%
128 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
129 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
130 PARK Nicholas 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
131 GAO Daniel - 1% 6% 23% 39% 28% 4%
132 HU Lucas 18% 44% 29% 8% 1% - -
133 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
134 XU Timothy (Tingwei) - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
135 JEYOON Ryan S. 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
136 LEE Stewart S. 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
137 TIEN Jabin 9% 34% 39% 16% 2% -
138 SINGHA Orion 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
139 FULLERTON Houston T. - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
140 BEZRODNOV Alexander - - 3% 16% 36% 36% 8%
141 HU Robert J. 9% 33% 39% 17% 2% - -
141 ROMANOV Ethan 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
143 NIKOLOV Peter 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
144 KIM Sullivan 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
145 GALLANT Antoine 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
146 WU Jonathan 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
147 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
148 KHANNA Nikhil 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
149 FU Leon 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
150 HENSAL Nicolas A. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
151 NOWAK Jakub P. - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 4%
152 MCALISTER Ian 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
153 O'DONNELL Benjamin 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
154 LONCAR Luka E. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 6%
155 ROMERO KURI Carlos Alexander 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
156 CHEN Brian 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
157 BUI Henry 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
158 GALLO James 3% 18% 35% 30% 13% 3% -
158 ABBOUD Michael 19% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
160 PAN Tristan 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
161 DENNIS Ethan 2% 17% 34% 30% 14% 3% -
162 CHIEN Brandon 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1%
163 MELCHER Jack H. - 1% 8% 32% 45% 15%
164 GARRETT Samuel 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
165 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
166 SNYDER Ari 49% 37% 11% 2% - - -
167 LI Jesse 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
168 PARKER Isaiah 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
169 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 3% 18% 39% 32% 7% 1% -
170 XIE Steven 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
171 MCDOWELL Will 40% 43% 15% 2% - - -
172 LANGE Henry C. - - < 1% 2% 14% 39% 45%
173 KROPP Jack - 5% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
174 ZAYDMAN Ethan 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
175 HIGGINS Branford 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
176 TRULL A.J. 5% 22% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
177 LAI Aedin 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
178 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
179 ARKHIPOV Peter 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
180 DANIELS Jonah 25% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
181 ZHAI Avalo 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
182 SHIN Andy (Sung-moon) (Andy) - - 1% 12% 42% 37% 7%
182 JIANG ryan 12% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
184 WANG Daniel 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
184 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 28% 44% 23% 5% - - -
184 TANG William 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% - -
187 SMITH Justin C. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
187 WONG Chi Ho - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
189 MEGGERS Davin 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
190 JORDAN Anton 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
191 DESTEFANO Julius 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
192 ZHU Eric 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
193 DHAL Leon 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
194 KIM Dylan J. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
195 ATKINS Levi H. 50% 38% 11% 1% - -
196 WANG justin 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
197 NORMILE Nicholas 39% 43% 16% 2% - -
198 PRIHODKO Max 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
199 SPINA Joseph B. 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
200 PARK Frederick 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
201 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
202 DURKIN Tristan E. 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
203 MAO Benjamin 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
204 HE Kaixuan 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
204 LI Zachary 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
206 UKOLOV Dimitri 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
206 WOLFE Alex 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
208 NORTH Alexander M. - 3% 14% 31% 34% 15% 2%
209 SUVOROV Yuly 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 2% -
210 BOUDREAUX James 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
211 KIM Taeho 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
212 MOORE Shomari A. - < 1% 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
212 JIN Owen - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 2%
214 CHIN Dylan A. 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
215 HUTTO Joshua 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
215 TOLLEFSON Zachary 11% 37% 35% 14% 3% - -
217 CHOI Kaiden I. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
218 CUMMINGS Atticus C. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
219 VACCARO Dominick J. 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
219 ENSLEY Diego 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
221 XIA Dashan 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
222 ZI QIN Shang 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
223 BOYCE Samuel H. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
224 LAM Alan 9% 35% 39% 15% 2% -
225 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
226 CASTELLY Luke 13% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
227 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
228 NEAL John P. 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
229 CAO Albert 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
230 FANG Hanning 50% 38% 10% 1% - -
231 LEE Aiden 53% 36% 10% 1% - - -
232 ROLLO Emmett H. 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.