National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Men's Épée

Sunday, June 30, 2024 at 10:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
2 RODNEY Adam R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 CALDERON Diego 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
3 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
5 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
6 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
7 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
8 ZAGORUIKO Ivan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
9 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
10 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
11 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 7%
12 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
13 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
13 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
15 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
16 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
17 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
18 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
19 SU Caleb 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
20 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
21 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
22 KARNAS Karol 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
23 LO Jake 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
24 GORNOVSKY David J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
25 BARG Jonathan 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
26 HEADRICK Lance 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
27 KAULL James T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
28 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
29 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
30 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
31 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
32 IRWIN Peter 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
33 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
34 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
35 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28% 4%
36 DIECK Logan O. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
37 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
38 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50% 9%
39 ZHENG Haoran 100% 99% 92% 64% 22% 2%
40 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
41 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
42 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
43 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
44 KANG Philip F. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
44 MAZUR Daniil 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
46 MATTIS George 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
47 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
47 BIDA Sergey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
49 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
50 CARTY JR Johndale 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
51 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
52 PANG Lucas 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
53 MUGA Boris 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
54 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
55 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
56 KNOX James 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
57 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
58 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
59 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
60 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13%
61 CHAI Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
62 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
63 LAI Boden 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
64 KIM Nathan 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
65 LEE Noah 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% < 1%
66 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
67 DUNCAN Corwin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 12%
68 LIN Harrison 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
69 SOULAIRE Tom 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
70 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 95% 76% 42% 15% 3% -
71 SHAN Junzhe 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
72 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
73 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
74 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
74 WANG Clayton 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
76 RUBIN Daniel 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
77 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 23% 3%
78 MCDOWALD Curtis E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
78 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
80 CHEN Leonardo 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
81 KIM Donghyeok 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
82 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
83 KUMAR Aidan 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
84 YANG Boyan 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
85 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
86 GAO Chaney C. 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
87 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 1% -
88 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
88 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 39% 9%
90 KIM Byung 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
91 PACYNA ATILLA 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
92 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
93 MITEV Alexander 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
94 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 2%
95 KOKENGE Reid 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
96 MICKO Fritz K. 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1%
97 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
98 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
99 NGUYEN Tate 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
100 TREBON Hayden 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
101 WU Joseph 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12% 1%
102 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 6%
103 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
104 ZHAO Corey 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
105 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% 1% -
106 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
106 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
108 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
109 HAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
110 MANN Jake R. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
111 DOYON - VERDON William 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
112 YUE Hongrui 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
113 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
114 ZHANG Caden 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
115 WANG William M. 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 2%
116 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
117 GUINAN Joseph 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
118 HSU Hao 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 6%
119 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
120 EMARA Omar 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
121 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
122 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 98% 79% 42% 11% 1%
123 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 10%
123 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
125 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
126 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
127 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
128 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
129 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% -
130 PARK Nicholas 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
131 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 4%
132 HU Lucas 100% 82% 38% 10% 1% - -
133 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
134 XU Timothy (Tingwei) 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
135 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
136 LEE Stewart S. 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
137 TIEN Jabin 100% 91% 57% 18% 2% -
138 SINGHA Orion 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
139 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
140 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 44% 8%
141 HU Robert J. 100% 91% 58% 19% 2% - -
141 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
143 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
144 KIM Sullivan 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
145 GALLANT Antoine 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
146 WU Jonathan 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
147 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
148 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
149 FU Leon 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
150 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
151 NOWAK Jakub P. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
152 MCALISTER Ian 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
153 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% -
154 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
155 ROMERO KURI Carlos Alexander 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
156 CHEN Brian 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
157 BUI Henry 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
158 GALLO James 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
158 ABBOUD Michael 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
160 PAN Tristan 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
161 DENNIS Ethan 100% 98% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
162 CHIEN Brandon 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
163 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 15%
164 GARRETT Samuel 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
165 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
166 SNYDER Ari 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
167 LI Jesse 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
168 PARKER Isaiah 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
169 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 97% 79% 40% 8% 1% -
170 XIE Steven 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
171 MCDOWELL Will 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
172 LANGE Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 45%
173 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
174 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
175 HIGGINS Branford 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
176 TRULL A.J. 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
177 LAI Aedin 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
178 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
179 ARKHIPOV Peter 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
180 DANIELS Jonah 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
181 ZHAI Avalo 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
182 SHIN Andy (Sung-moon) (Andy) 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44% 7%
182 JIANG ryan 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
184 WANG Daniel 100% 93% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
184 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
184 TANG William 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% - -
187 SMITH Justin C. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
187 WONG Chi Ho 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
189 MEGGERS Davin 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
190 JORDAN Anton 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
191 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
192 ZHU Eric 100% 83% 43% 13% 2% - -
193 DHAL Leon 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
194 KIM Dylan J. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
195 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
196 WANG justin 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
197 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
198 PRIHODKO Max 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
199 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
200 PARK Frederick 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
201 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
202 DURKIN Tristan E. 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
203 MAO Benjamin 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7% -
204 HE Kaixuan 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
204 LI Zachary 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
206 UKOLOV Dimitri 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
206 WOLFE Alex 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
208 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
209 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2% -
210 BOUDREAUX James 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
211 KIM Taeho 100% 59% 17% 3% - - -
212 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
212 JIN Owen 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 18% 2%
214 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 64% 23% 5% - - -
215 HUTTO Joshua 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
215 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 89% 51% 17% 3% - -
217 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
218 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
219 VACCARO Dominick J. 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
219 ENSLEY Diego 100% 95% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
221 XIA Dashan 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
222 ZI QIN Shang 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
223 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5% -
224 LAM Alan 100% 91% 57% 18% 2% -
225 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
226 CASTELLY Luke 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
227 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
228 NEAL John P. 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
229 CAO Albert 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
230 FANG Hanning 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
231 LEE Aiden 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
232 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 78% 38% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.