USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, July 6, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
2 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
3 AGAON Shawn 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
5 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
6 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 23%
7 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
8 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 6%
9 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
10 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
11 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
12 CANO Marcos E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
13 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
14 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
15 JIN daniel 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
16 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 10%
17 BUROVSKY Maxim 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
18 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
18 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
20 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 46%
21 LANGTON Sawyer 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
22 LEONE Charles D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
22 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
24 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 18%
25 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
26 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
27 WANG DEVON 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
28 KUMAR Aidan 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
29 THOMAS Harris 100% 97% 80% 49% 20% 4% -
30 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
31 KOBI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
32 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 4%
33 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
34 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
35 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
36 BINDAS Odinn A. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
36 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
38 LIU Andrew 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
39 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
40 VELINOV Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
41 NEAL John P. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21% 2%
42 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
43 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
44 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
45 POSTMA Jacob 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
46 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
47 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
48 PANAYOTOV Alexander 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
49 JUN Jaywu 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 14% 2%
50 AGAON Ethan 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 6%
51 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
52 GIUSSANI Edoardo 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 1%
53 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
54 DRIBIN Ezra 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 6%
55 JANG Elliot 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
55 HUNT Aidan 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
57 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
58 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 3%
59 GAITHER Christopher W. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
60 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 18%
61 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1% -
62 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
63 PHAM Sawyer T. 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
64 MCDONALD Ethan 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
65 ZHAO Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
66 KNOEPFFLER Alex 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 13%
67 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
68 CHAMBLISS Logan C. 100% 100% 96% 80% 51% 20% 4%
69 COPEN Samuel S. 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
70 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% -
71 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
72 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
73 NOEL Sebastien A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
74 CAO Brad 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
75 GONZALEZ Joseph G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
76 WANG owen 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 5% -
77 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
78 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 5%
79 BAGCHI Aritra 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
80 TREBON Hayden 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
81 MICKO Fritz K. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
82 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 2%
83 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
84 CHU Allan 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
85 JORDAN Anton 100% 99% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
86 CAO Albert 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
87 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
87 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
89 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 11%
90 KOPPE Alexander 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
91 VEZMAR Evan H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
92 ZHANG Alec 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
93 LI Patrick 100% 99% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
94 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
95 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
96 MCALISTER Ian 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
97 SONN Rohan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
98 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
99 PARK Elliot 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
100 MUMMIDI Rishi 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
101 GUPTA Karan 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
102 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 97% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
103 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
104 KESTNER Jack 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
105 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
106 STRAUSS Luke 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
107 LO Jake 100% 97% 81% 52% 22% 5% 1%
108 JONES Aidan 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
109 ZHANG Kingston 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 4% -
110 FRIEDMAN Leo D. 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 32% 7%
111 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
112 MEDINA Michael A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 6%
113 LEE Hudson 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -
114 MUSIENKO Alexander 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 16% 2%
115 RUBIN Jake 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
116 SNYDER Ari 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
117 ARICO Trey 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 7% 1%
118 STEVENSON Emitt M. 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
119 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
120 KARNAS Karol 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
121 WALIGORA Sebastian 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
122 SARKAR agniv 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
123 ROMERO KURI Carlos Alexander 100% 73% 34% 9% 2% - -
124 PRITCHARD Aidan 100% 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 1%
124 XIE Brandon 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
126 BLOESCH Philip E. 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
127 KIM Sullivan 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
128 VEERAVALLI Vivek 100% 90% 49% 14% 2% - -
129 KOZAKIEWICZ Filip 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
130 DURKIN Tristan E. 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
131 NGUYEN Tate 100% 97% 68% 27% 6% 1% -
132 KIM Nathan 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
133 CORRALES Victor M. 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
133 SONG Alexander 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
135 HIGGIN Matthew 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
136 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
137 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 98% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
138 VACCARO Dominick J. 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
139 SARKAR Anish 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
140 HERNANDEZ Cole F. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
141 SCOFIELD Thien J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21% 2%
142 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 97% 80% 49% 20% 4% -
143 SHA Michael 100% 95% 62% 22% 4% - -
144 CAZALET George 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
145 CHOI Mason 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
146 JAAFAR Hamza 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
146 HOLLAND Thomas 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
148 CASASSOVICI Georges 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
148 FERRIERE Joshua 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
150 YU Austin 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
151 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
152 KIM Jayden 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
153 EVANS noah 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 3% -
154 KRZYSIAK David F. 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% - -
154 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 99% 89% 64% 29% 7% 1%
156 DAO Alexander 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
157 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
158 TAKEDA Aidan K. 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
158 HAMZA Tudor 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 2% -
158 WALIGORA Krystian 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
161 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 99% 89% 63% 31% 9% 1%
162 THOMAS Michael 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
163 KIM Byung 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
164 BLANCO Renn 100% 89% 47% 13% 2% -
165 DILLE Jackson K. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
166 DUAN eric 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
167 AYALA Nayen L. 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
168 MUGA Aiden 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
169 GRZYBICKI Kaj 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
170 GOMEZ Chase S. 100% 83% 45% 14% 3% - -
171 EDWARDS Strummer 100% 32% 5% - - - -
172 KUBATIN Anton V. 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
173 STRONG David 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
174 SKORUPAN Grant 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
174 ANDERSON Kai 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 1% -
174 SCEROLER Anslee 100% 73% 27% 5% - - -
177 SINHA Zaan 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
178 GREGSTON Layland 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
179 PARK Nicholas 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
180 WORRALL Cary 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
181 GAO Chaney C. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
181 LOWENSTEIN Isaac 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
183 CHUNG Michael 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
183 DAVIS Jonah 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
185 POPA Ethan 100% 91% 55% 19% 3% - -
186 USDIN Anton 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
188 ELYADERANI Paxon 100% 93% 69% 36% 12% 2% -
189 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
190 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 83% 45% 14% 3% - -
191 WOLFE Alex 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
192 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 79% 33% 7% 1% - -
193 BHARGAV Angad 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
194 BANSAL Arjun 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
195 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 91% 60% 22% 3%
196 CHEN Bailey 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
197 CHANG Benjamin 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
198 GOLLIN Luke 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
199 DRASKOVICH Nikolas 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
199 HUBSCHER Max 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
201 YPHANTIDES George 100% 100% 92% 63% 23% 4% -
202 FRASSETTO Marcus A. 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
203 WILSON Benjamin H. 100% 84% 40% 10% 1% - -
203 LIANG derek 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
205 DELONG Alasdair R. 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
206 SOSNICK Samuel 100% 69% 23% 4% - - -
207 MITTLER Frederick 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% - -
207 PRABHAKAR Agasthya 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
209 QUINTERO Julian 100% 60% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.