December NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Friday, December 9, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
2 RAMIREZ Yeisser 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 23%
3 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
3 MCDOWALD Curtis E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
5 POPOVICI Michael A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 24% 4%
6 SHELANSKI Isaac 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 48% 22% 6% 1%
7 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 70% 43% 18% 4% -
8 WHITE Sean 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
9 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
10 KRAFT Dennis A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
11 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 37% 9%
12 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 12% 2%
13 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 83% 62% 38% 17% 5% 1% -
14 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 80% 59% 35% 15% 4% 1% -
15 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
16 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 56% 29% 9% 1%
17 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
18 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
19 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
20 GUO Austin S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 84% 64% 40% 19% 6% 1% -
21 RODNEY Adam R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 77% 46% 14%
22 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
23 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
24 SAITOC Tudor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 68% 43% 20% 6% 1% -
25 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
26 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 87% 67% 39% 15% 3% -
27 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
28 TRAGER Matthew G. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
29 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 72% 47% 23% 8% 2% -
30 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 57% 31% 13% 3% 1% -
31 NOLLNER Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
31 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 73% 48% 24% 8% 2% - - -
33 SMOAK Omari Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 61% 35% 14% 3% -
34 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 4%
35 CIPRIANI Andrea 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
36 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 15%
37 HAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 71% 45% 21% 6% 1%
38 RODNEY Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 59% 31% 12% 3% - -
39 DOSS David A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 88% 71% 46% 22% 7% 1%
39 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 44% 11%
41 VINNITCHOUK Theodore (Ted) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 66% 37% 12% 2%
42 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
43 GORNOVSKY David J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 51% 23% 5%
44 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 71% 45% 21% 6% 1%
44 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 68% 45% 23% 9% 2% - - -
46 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 73% 49% 25% 10% 3% - - -
47 ULINICH Alexander 100% 98% 89% 67% 39% 17% 5% 1% < 1% - - - -
48 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 69% 45% 23% 8% 2% - -
49 SMITH Dwight 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
50 MATTIS George 100% 100% 98% 89% 70% 43% 19% 6% 1% - - -
51 CARPENTER Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 90% 75% 53% 29% 11% 3% -
52 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 62% 35% 13% 3% -
53 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 73% 49% 26% 10% 3% - - -
54 PISKOVATSKOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 68% 41% 16% 3%
55 LI Jesse 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 75% 51% 27% 10% 2% - -
56 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 61% 35% 14% 4% 1% -
57 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 68% 43% 20% 7% 2% - -
58 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
59 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 57% 31% 12% 3% 1% - -
60 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 70% 46% 23% 8% 2% - -
61 CHONG christopher 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
62 EMARA Omar 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -
63 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 52% 26% 8% 1%
64 YERGLER Jonathan A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
65 WONG Chi Ho 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 60% 35% 16% 5% 1% - - -
66 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 90% 74% 50% 26% 9% 2% -
67 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
68 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 50% 24% 8% 2% - - - -
69 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 79% 57% 33% 15% 5% 1% - -
70 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 73% 47% 23% 8% 2% - - -
71 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 99% 97% 87% 68% 43% 20% 7% 1% - -
72 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 86% 65% 39% 17% 5% 1% - - -
73 MAZUR Daniil 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 63% 37% 15% 4% -
74 ZHAO Luhan 100% 99% 95% 80% 55% 29% 11% 3% 1% - - -
75 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 98% 92% 75% 50% 25% 9% 2% - - -
76 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 76% 53% 29% 12% 3% 1% - -
77 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 83% 62% 37% 16% 5% 1% -
78 HESSLEGRAVE Porter B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 81% 61% 38% 17% 6% 1% -
79 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 99% 93% 75% 48% 24% 8% 2% - - - - -
80 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 98% 89% 71% 46% 23% 8% 2% - - - -
81 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 67% 42% 19% 6% 1% -
82 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
83 KOBI Samuel 100% 100% 99% 93% 77% 52% 27% 10% 3% - - - -
84 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 66% 42% 20% 7% 2% - -
85 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
86 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 64% 38% 17% 6% 1% - - -
87 ROSTAL Scott E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 69% 44% 21% 7% 2% - -
88 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 79% 58% 33% 14% 4% 1% -
89 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 61% 35% 13% 3% -
90 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 99% 91% 73% 46% 22% 8% 2% - - - - -
91 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 87% 66% 38% 16% 4% 1% -
92 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 57% 30% 10% 2% -
93 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 61% 35% 14% 4% 1% -
94 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 76% 52% 27% 10% 2% - -
95 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 73% 50% 27% 11% 3% 1% - -
96 KIM Dohyun 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 65% 40% 18% 6% 1% -
97 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 94% 72% 42% 17% 5% 1% - - - - -
98 NGUYEN Tate 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2% < 1%
99 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
100 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 89% 60% 25% 5% < 1%
101 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
102 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
103 EKE Frank 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
103 ZHU Eric 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% < 1% -
105 LEE Noah 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
106 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
107 STEPHAN Jens 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
108 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 7%
109 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 95% 75% 43% 15% 3% -
110 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 8%
111 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
112 DIETZ Andor 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
113 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
114 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
115 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
116 JIN Owen 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
117 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 13% 2%
117 GUINAN Joseph 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
119 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
120 BOUMEDIENNE Sami 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
121 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
122 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
123 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 9% 1%
124 LO Jake 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
125 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
125 SHIV Rishi 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
127 ZHANG Caden 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
128 HUDSON Jeffrey (Jeff) A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 6%
129 LIU Kyle 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
130 LIN Kyran 100% 97% 83% 53% 23% 5% 1%
131 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
132 KANG Philip F. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
133 BEDOR William J. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
134 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
135 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
136 HOLTZ Donovan K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
137 LEE Seungwon 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
138 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
139 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
140 ODEN Isaac M. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
141 DENNIS Ethan 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
142 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
142 YU Hunter 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
144 MA Victor 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
145 NIXON Christian A. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
145 JIN Daniel 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
147 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 6%
148 PARK Elliot 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
149 PHAM Sawyer T. 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
150 STRAUSS Luke 100% 97% 83% 54% 24% 6% 1%
151 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 98% 84% 56% 24% 6% 1%
152 AMELI Sean 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
152 CAI Brian 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
154 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
155 SU Caleb 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
156 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
157 JOSEPH William 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
158 SPRINGER Michael 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
159 MUGA Boris 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 8% 1%
160 SHCHUR Landon 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
161 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
162 FREIMAN Samuel (Sam) E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
162 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
162 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
165 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 9% 1%
166 TSANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
167 MISHIMA Torata 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
168 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
169 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
170 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
170 WELDON Benjamin 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
172 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
173 MEHALL Michael 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
174 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
175 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 99% 82% 46% 15% 3% -
176 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
177 KIM Donghyeok 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
178 KUMAR Aidan 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
179 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
180 ELZAYN Hadi S. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
181 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
182 IRWIN Peter 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
183 JORDAN Anton 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
184 PRIHODKO Max 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% -
184 WANG DEVON 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
186 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
187 JOHNSTON Conner S. 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
188 GAO Daniel 100% 99% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
189 ZHANG YuJian 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
190 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
191 FU Leon 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
192 ELLIS Yehia S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
193 DU SHUNYU K. 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
194 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
194 CUI Oscar (Bo Lang) 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
196 CHOI San 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
197 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 96% 77% 46% 18% 4% -
197 MENDOZA Zachari 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
197 SHEN Max 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
200 TRIMMER Colin 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
200 GALLANT Antoine 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 18% 3%
202 MARIN Lucas 100% 88% 56% 24% 6% 1% -
203 LI Chenyu 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
204 PAN Tristan 100% 82% 33% 7% 1% - -
205 KIM William M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
205 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 6% 1%
207 ALVIOR Joshua Aethan B. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
207 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 87% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
209 ALVIOR Jacob A. 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
210 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
211 CHIEN Zachary M. 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
211 COHEN Jared E. 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 5% 1%
213 GRAY Sterling B. 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
213 SHA Michael 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
215 KIM Byung 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
216 GREGORY Abram 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
217 WU Jonathan 100% 97% 81% 50% 21% 5% -
218 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 13%
219 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
220 HE Zhiheng 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
220 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
222 DOELEMAN zeno 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
223 SWANSON Lars M. 100% 86% 50% 18% 4% - -
224 CAO Albert 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
225 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 98% 86% 58% 27% 7% 1%
226 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
227 FIECHTNER Thomas A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
227 EVERS Gabriel 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
229 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
230 GAINES Aaron 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
231 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 91% 63% 30% 9% 1% -
232 SLAVINSKIY Alan 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
233 KIM Sterling S. 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
233 GAO Chaney C. 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
233 MCMANUS Farran 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
236 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
236 CHU Allan 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
236 GALLO James 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
239 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
240 CAO Brad 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
241 BEAVER Aaron 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
242 WATT Darren 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
243 POS Theo 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
244 SARKAR Anish 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
245 YAO Shun 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
246 ZHANG Nathan 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
247 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 44% 11%
248 VANDERVELDE Pierce F. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
249 KIM Sullivan 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
250 FULLER George K. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
251 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
251 MING Nathan 100% 47% 11% 1% - -
253 KIM Darius H. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
253 LEE Chun Po 100% 91% 59% 19% 3% - -
255 SINHA Zaan 100% 50% 13% 2% - - -
256 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
257 MACK Jason A. 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
258 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 47% 8% 1% - - -
259 LEE JiYuen 100% 19% 2% - - - -
260 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.