October NAC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, October 8, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Nicholas Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
2 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
3 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
3 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
5 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
6 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
7 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
8 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
9 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 12%
10 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
11 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
12 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
13 WANG DEVON 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 9%
14 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
15 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
16 LU Ivan 100% 99% 95% 76% 45% 16% 2%
17 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
17 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
19 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
20 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
20 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
22 ZHAO Corey 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
23 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
24 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
25 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 5%
26 KIM Byung 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
27 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
28 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
29 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
30 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 9% 1%
31 LO Jake 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
32 YU Hunter 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 3% -
33 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
34 CHAI Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
35 JORDAN Anton 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
36 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
37 DODIN David 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
38 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
39 MAHESH Tarun 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
40 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
41 HE Zhiheng 100% 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1%
42 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
43 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 10%
44 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
45 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 93% 63% 23% 3%
46 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
47 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
48 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
49 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
50 ZI QIN Shang 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 2%
51 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
51 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
53 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
54 WONG Chi Ho 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
55 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
56 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
57 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
58 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
59 ROMERO KURI Carlos Alexander 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
60 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
61 KNOX James 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 8%
62 RUBIN Daniel 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
63 KOPPE Alexander 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
63 WANG Clayton 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
65 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 99% 86% 54% 21% 5% < 1%
66 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1%
67 LEE Noah 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
68 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
69 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
70 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
71 NGUYEN Tate 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
72 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
73 PANG Lucas 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
74 ZHANG Caden 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
75 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 10%
76 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 14%
77 POS Theo 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
78 PAK Elliot 100% 100% 92% 62% 22% 4% -
79 CHOI Zachary 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
80 KOBI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
81 ZENG Zihan 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 25% 3%
82 ZHU Eric 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 14% 1%
83 PARK Elliot 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
84 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
85 BARG Jonathan 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
86 BRODSKY Julian 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
87 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
88 CHAMBLISS Logan C. 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 11% 1%
88 PARK Nicholas 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
90 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% 1%
91 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
92 EVERS Gabriel 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
93 FU Leon 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
94 CAO Brad 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 15% 1%
95 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 25%
96 ARKHIPOV Peter 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 2%
97 JONES Aiden 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
98 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
98 MAO Benjamin 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
100 KUMAR Aidan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
101 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 30% 5%
102 LEE Chun Po 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
103 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
104 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
104 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
106 GOHSMAN Maxwell 100% 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
106 DONAHUE Lake 100% 98% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
106 XIAO Andrew 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 9% 1%
109 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
110 BUTLER Joel 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
111 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
112 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 6%
112 YAO Bowen 100% 93% 63% 25% 4% - -
114 KOZAKIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
115 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
116 KRZYSIAK David F. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
117 PHAM Sawyer T. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
118 COUSINS Cameron 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
119 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 90% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
120 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
121 LI Patrick 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
122 SCHIEK Harrison 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
123 LIU Yikun 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
124 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
125 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
126 KUGLER Luke 100% 96% 65% 24% 4% - -
126 WANG Jensen 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
128 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
129 CAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
130 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
130 CUI Oscar (Bo Lang) 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 8%
132 LAM Alan 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
133 HEADRICK Lance 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
134 HU Anton 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
135 LEE JoonWon 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
136 ZHAI Avalo 100% 98% 79% 40% 11% 1% -
137 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 17%
138 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
139 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
140 JIN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
141 KARNAS Karol 100% 99% 90% 57% 20% 3%
142 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
143 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
144 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
145 SINGH Aryaman 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
146 CHU Allan 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
147 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 7%
148 FAN Jackson 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
149 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
150 DAVIS Jonah 100% 98% 80% 44% 15% 2% -
150 ZOU Xianyang 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
152 SONN Rohan 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
153 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 9%
154 LAI Boden 100% 98% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
155 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
156 PAN Tristan 100% 99% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
157 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
157 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
157 MIAO KUNQI 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
160 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% - -
161 ZHENG Jerry 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
162 WANG Terry 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
163 PRAKASH Hari 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
164 PATEL Kushal 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
165 CAUCHY Eliot 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
166 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
167 MODULLA Yathin R. 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1%
168 VODOVOZOV Denis 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% -
169 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 71% 28% 5% - -
170 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
171 LI Zachary 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
172 SHA Michael 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
172 MURPHY Aidan 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
174 ZHANG Alec 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
174 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 3% -
176 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
177 WEI Zheng (Jonny) 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
178 TORRES Nicolas 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
179 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% - -
180 FANG Hanning 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
181 HOGE William P. 100% 97% 63% 23% 4% - -
182 MUGA Aiden 100% 95% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
183 DHAL Leon 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
184 LEE Inwoo 100% 99% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
184 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 93% 53% 16% 2% - -
186 HU Robert J. 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
187 KIM Jayden 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
187 MITEV Alexander 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
187 WATT Darren 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
190 WANG owen 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
190 NG Biwon 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
192 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 2%
192 LEE Aiden 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
192 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
195 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
196 KIM Ian 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
197 ALI Farhan 100% 93% 57% 19% 3% - -
198 LEE JiYuen 100% 67% 25% 4% - - -
199 CHAI Ethan 100% 80% 32% 6% 1% -
200 BLACK Zachary 100% 58% 18% 3% - -
201 LIN Zizhen 100% 50% 9% 1% - -
202 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% -
203 PETROV Niki A. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
204 KIM Matthew 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
205 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
206 ZHAO Zidong 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
207 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
207 TRULL A.J. 100% 94% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
207 ZHANG Joe 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1% -
210 XIONG Aaron 100% 99% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
211 KANG EUNWOO 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 2% -
212 MIHALACHE David 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
213 PETERSON Matthew 100% 94% 69% 29% 5% - -
214 GINZBURG Adam 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
215 GRAVES Lawson 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
216 BHATT Arjun 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
217 WANG Steven 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
218 SONG Troy 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
219 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
220 LIANG Eric 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
221 REID Wesley 100% 36% 4% - - - -
222 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
223 LIPPMAN Jake 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
224 KIM Minjae 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
225 CHEN Bowen 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
226 CHADDA Ilyas 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
227 CHUNG Andrew 100% 54% 12% 1% - -
228 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 31% 4% - - - -
228 BENTAHA Averroes 100% 76% 34% 7% 1% - -
230 SUN Neo 100% 22% 2% - - - -
231 JU Hanul 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
231 GOROZA Eric 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
233 MISHRA Milan B. 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
234 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
234 MALHAM Andrew 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
236 SINGH Ravin 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
237 JOHNSON Soren 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
237 MODANLOU Navid 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% - -
239 PAN Anthony 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
239 WU Chi Iong 100% 84% 31% 5% - - -
241 YU Austin 100% 76% 24% 3% - -
242 TEREB Daniel 100% 31% 4% - - - -
242 WU Chi Kuan 100% 28% 3% - - - -
244 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
244 JAIN Samyak 100% 74% 33% 9% 1% - -
246 JIANG Matthew 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
247 MILEY Walker 100% 18% 1% - - - -
247 ZIEGLER John 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.