October NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Monday, October 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 HADZIC Alen - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
2 HADDAD Justin R. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
3 DUNCAN Corwin - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 7%
3 NOLLNER Dylan - 1% 8% 23% 36% 25% 6%
5 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. - - - - - 1% 4% 12% 23% 28% 21% 9% 2%
6 LAWSON Henry A. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
7 SZAPARY Tristan B. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
8 KRAFT Dennis A. - - - - - 1% 5% 14% 24% 27% 19% 8% 1%
9 WHITE Sean - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
10 LIEF Isaac R. - 3% 11% 22% 26% 21% 11% 4% 1% < 1% - - -
11 WEISS Miles J. - - 3% 14% 34% 35% 13%
12 FRENCH Dylan - 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
13 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
14 NORTH Gary S. - - - - - 1% 4% 11% 22% 29% 22% 9% 2%
15 LEE Daniel Y. - - 1% 5% 11% 20% 24% 20% 12% 5% 1% - -
16 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) - - - - - 2% 6% 16% 25% 26% 17% 6% 1%
17 ZHANG Nicholas Z. - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
18 ZAGORUIKO Ivan - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
19 KUSHNERIK Ethan - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
20 TAFOYA Devin D. - - - - - 2% 6% 15% 25% 27% 18% 7% 1%
21 LEE Ryan - - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 27% 22% 11% 3% -
22 IMREK Samuel A. 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
23 YERGLER Jonathan A. - - - - - 2% 6% 15% 25% 27% 18% 7% 1%
24 KAULL James T. - - - - - - 1% 3% 11% 23% 31% 24% 7%
25 MCDOWALD Curtis E. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
26 RODNEY Adam R. - - - - - - - 1% 6% 17% 30% 32% 14%
27 HILBERT Xavier - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
28 LARSEN Samuel F. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
29 ZAFFT Maximo S. - - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 25% 21% 12% 4% 1% -
30 HANSEN Jonas B. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
31 PRASAD Ankith - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 26% 19% 9% 3% 1% - -
32 LAWSON Nicholas W. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
33 LIVERANT Skyler J. 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
34 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
35 INSLER Ethan C. - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 27% 21% 10% 3% - -
36 BORODITSKY Ethan - - 2% 9% 20% 27% 23% 13% 5% 1% < 1% - -
37 SMOAK Omari Z. - - - - 1% 5% 14% 23% 26% 19% 8% 2% -
38 LIU Alexander - - - - 1% 5% 14% 23% 26% 19% 8% 2% -
39 GALLAGHER PELLETIER Samuel H. - - - - - - 1% 6% 16% 28% 29% 16% 3%
40 PISKOVATSKOV Anton - - - - - 2% 6% 14% 24% 26% 19% 8% 1%
41 LANGE Henry C. - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
42 XU Timothy (Tingwei) - - - - - - 2% 7% 18% 28% 27% 14% 3%
43 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
44 YOO Justin - - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
45 IYOKI Kent 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
46 EWART Jr. Stephen P. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
47 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - 1% 7% 17% 26% 25% 15% 6% 2% < 1% - - -
48 SHELANSKI Isaac 1% 6% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
49 MAZUR Daniil - - - - 1% 5% 12% 22% 26% 20% 10% 3% -
50 CANDELA Nicholas - 4% 16% 30% 30% 15% 3%
51 GUINAN Joseph - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% - - -
52 CANDREVA Hunter R. - - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 26% 18% 8% 2% -
53 FAFARD Fynn - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
54 WU Joseph - - - 1% 6% 14% 23% 25% 19% 9% 3% - -
55 KUMAR Anitya - - 2% 8% 18% 25% 23% 15% 6% 2% - - -
56 SPIER Julian H. - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 25% 17% 7% 2% - -
56 SU Caleb - 3% 11% 22% 27% 21% 10% 3% 1% - - - -
58 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
59 MACZIK Adam W. - - - 2% 7% 17% 25% 25% 16% 6% 2% - -
60 BEKKER Mitchel - - 1% 4% 12% 21% 25% 21% 11% 4% 1% - -
61 JONES Simon A. - - - - - 2% 6% 15% 25% 26% 18% 7% 1%
62 RAMIREZ Yeisser - - 3% 13% 30% 37% 18%
62 EMARA Omar - 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 16% 8% 3% 1% - - -
64 RHYU Kozmo - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 26% 21% 12% 4% 1% - -
65 GIBSON Nowell L. - - - 2% 8% 17% 25% 23% 15% 6% 2% - -
66 FRAY Alexander - - - 2% 6% 14% 23% 24% 18% 9% 3% - -
67 MURPHY Thomas P. 3% 13% 25% 27% 19% 9% 3% 1% < 1% - - - -
68 KHAYAT Ziad - - - - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 27% 25% 13% 3%
68 CLICK Aiden - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 25% 17% 8% 2% - -
70 POPOVICI Michael A. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
71 MOORE Shomari A. 1% 9% 25% 33% 22% 8% 1%
72 KATS Dylan G. - 1% 4% 13% 24% 27% 20% 9% 3% - - - -
72 BEZRODNOV Alexander 1% 5% 14% 24% 26% 18% 9% 3% 1% - - -
74 KADYSZEWSKI Mateo - - - - - 2% 7% 16% 25% 26% 17% 7% 1%
75 LEE Shwan - - 1% 5% 15% 25% 26% 18% 8% 2% - - -
76 IMREK Elijah S. 1% 8% 21% 28% 23% 13% 5% 1% - - - - -
77 KAMBESELES Peter G. - - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 17% 7% 2% - -
78 NOWAK Jakub P. - - 1% 6% 14% 23% 25% 18% 8% 3% - - -
79 MCKEEVER Luca 1% 8% 20% 27% 23% 13% 5% 1% - - - - -
80 JEYOON Ryan S. - - - 2% 9% 19% 26% 23% 13% 5% 1% - -
81 MATTIS George - 4% 15% 26% 27% 18% 8% 2% - - - - -
82 SMITH Dwight - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
82 CARPENTER Liam - - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 26% 22% 11% 3% -
84 VAYSBUKH Konstantin - - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 27% 23% 12% 4% 1% -
85 VERMEULE Spencer - - - 1% 5% 14% 23% 26% 19% 9% 2% - -
86 SHARMA Sanil - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 25% 21% 11% 4% 1% - -
87 CUMMINGS Atticus C. - - - 2% 7% 17% 25% 25% 16% 6% 2% - -
88 YOUNG Peyton E. - - 2% 8% 18% 25% 24% 15% 6% 2% - - -
89 SAITOC Tudor - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 27% 22% 12% 4% 1% -
90 CHU Allan 1% 4% 13% 24% 27% 19% 9% 3% - - - - -
91 SMITH Justin C. - 1% 5% 14% 23% 25% 19% 9% 3% 1% - - -
92 KIM Byung - 2% 9% 20% 27% 23% 13% 5% 1% - - - -
93 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. - - 2% 7% 15% 23% 23% 17% 8% 3% 1% - -
94 CARRIER Gabriel A. - 3% 12% 23% 27% 20% 10% 3% 1% - - - -
95 HONDOR Robert D. - - 1% 4% 12% 21% 25% 21% 11% 4% 1% -
96 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - - 3% 8% 18% 25% 24% 14% 6% 1% - -
97 KANG Philip F. - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 25% 17% 7% 2% - -
98 LONCAR Luka E. - - - 2% 7% 18% 26% 25% 15% 6% 1% - -
99 BOYCE Samuel H. - 4% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
100 SHAH S Ayush - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
101 SENNEWALD James J. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
102 GOHEL Dayus T. - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
103 GORNOVSKY David J. - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
104 KAMBESELES Jack M. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4%
105 FORTIN Paul - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
106 UKOLOV Dimitri - 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
107 CHOI Mason 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
108 SHIV Rishi - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
108 BRUNET Nathan - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
110 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
111 EKE Frank 2% 10% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
112 ANDREEV Arthur - 1% 6% 21% 39% 29% 5%
113 FULLERTON Houston T. - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
114 POULIQUEN Nicolas J. 1% 11% 29% 33% 19% 6% 1%
114 HUSSAIN Kamran 3% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
116 MELCHER Jack H. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 4%
117 DIECK Logan O. 2% 12% 27% 31% 20% 7% 1%
118 CANAUX Gabriel A. - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
119 ROSTAL Scott E. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
119 KOBI Samuel - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
119 HE Lawrence 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
122 CAI Brian - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
123 WRIGHT Christopher 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% - -
124 SUVOROV Yuly 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
125 MUNLIN Donovan - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
126 WHITE Khristopher E. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
127 GAO Chaney C. 4% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
128 PARK Elliot 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
129 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
130 PARK Ian C. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
130 CHO Tyler H. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
132 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
133 LACROIX Floryan 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
134 MORSE Tyler 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
135 HOLTZ Donovan K. 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5%
136 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
137 JIN Owen 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
138 LIPPMAN Eli - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
139 GREGORY Abram 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
140 PRIHODKO Max 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
141 MCDANIELS Jeremy 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
142 CHEN Eric - 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
143 BEDOR William J. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
144 JIN Nicholas 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
145 DENNIS Ethan 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
146 PELLEGRINO Maurício - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
147 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
148 CHIRASHNYA Adam 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
148 SMITH Nicholas S. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
148 KHANNA Nikhil 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
151 PARK Frederick 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
152 XU Zitong (Evan) - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
153 KIM Dylan J. 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
154 PINILLA POLANCO arthur andrey 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
155 HAN Matthew - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
156 JOVANOVIC Jovan - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
157 NIKOLOV Peter 1% 10% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
158 MOSES Alexander - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
159 KIM Sterling S. 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
160 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
161 ZENG Zihan 10% 28% 34% 20% 7% 1% -
162 O'DONNELL Benjamin 11% 37% 35% 14% 3% - -
163 MILLER Jeffrey E. - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
164 MARIN Lucas 14% 34% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
165 BEZRODNOV Michael 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
166 PETROSEWICZ Thomas (TJ) ". - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
166 JOHNSTON Conner S. 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
168 SANDERS Ian W. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
169 KROPP Jack - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
170 BUYANOV Nikita V. 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
171 THAYER Bryce 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
172 NORTH Alexander M. 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
173 FULLER George K. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 17% 3%
174 LEE Seungwon 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
175 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
176 GAO Daniel 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
177 RODNEY Maxwell 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
178 IVAKIMOV Vasil - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
179 YAO Geoffrey B. 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
180 GATZA Logan - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
181 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
182 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
183 WESTPHAL David R. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
184 GYURE Brayden H. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
185 GARRETT Samuel 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
186 MANDOKI Sandor I. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
186 HASSAN Sultan 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
188 WONG Chi Ho 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
189 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
190 GASPAROVICH IV George M. - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 1%
191 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
192 PHUKAN Rohin 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
193 GRAY Sterling B. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
194 FU Leon 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% - -
195 LEE JoonWon 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
196 KIM Benjamin I. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
197 BOUMEDIENNE Sami 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
198 ROLLO Emmett H. 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
199 TABLEMAN Doug S. - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
200 SCHULZE Ethan 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
201 SPINA Joseph B. 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
202 BRETON Jayden 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
203 IARIKOV Nicholas 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
204 PAK Elliot 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
205 JIN Daniel 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
206 KIM Nathan 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
207 WU Jonathan 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1%
208 NEAL John P. 17% 37% 31% 13% 2% -
209 WOLFE Alex 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 2% -
209 GAO Tiger - 3% 11% 26% 33% 21% 5%
211 KUMAR Aidan 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
212 MODULLA Yathin R. 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
213 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. - 4% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
214 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick - 3% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1%
215 LEE Samuel Y. 3% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
216 KOKENGE Clark - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
217 CHONG christopher - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 16%
218 CAO Albert 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
219 DEKERMANJI Christopher 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
220 JOSEPH William - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
221 STRAUSS Luke 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3% -
222 JACKSON James 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
222 CAO Brad 22% 41% 27% 9% 1% - -
224 ZHANG Alec 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
225 YOON Nathan 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 2%
225 ALVAREZ Ian T. 3% 19% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
227 NGUYEN Tate 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
228 HENSAL Nicolas A. 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
228 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
228 KARNAS Karol 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
228 SONN Rohan 18% 41% 30% 10% 2% - -
232 JORDAN Anton 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
233 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
234 LAI Aedin 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
235 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. 34% 42% 20% 4% - - -
236 MACARTY Jordan T. 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
236 YU Hunter 31% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
238 CHRISTENSEN Parker 7% 41% 36% 13% 2% - -
239 SWANSON Lars M. 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
239 KILUK Andrew 2% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3% -
241 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - 3% 12% 27% 32% 20% 5%
242 PADHYE Siddhant 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
243 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
244 CHAWLA Armaan 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
244 CUI Oscar (Bo Lang) 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
244 ZHU Eric 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
247 WRIGHT Ezra B. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
248 LIN Kyran 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
249 ZHANG William 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
250 SHEN Max 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% - -
251 LIM Timothy D. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
252 KOPPE Alexander 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
253 HEADRICK Lance 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
254 WANG DEVON 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
254 MISHIMA Torata 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
256 MUGA Aiden 26% 44% 24% 5% - - -
257 CARTER Austin L. 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% - -
257 ELLIS Yehia S. - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
257 SPRINGER Michael 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
260 SHA Michael 31% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
260 MENDOZA Zachari 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
262 HILBERT Gabriel E. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
262 KANAR Ian - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
264 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
264 LIU Kyle 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
266 ZHANG Caden 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
266 POS Theo 3% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
268 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
268 PHAM Sawyer T. 9% 34% 36% 16% 4% - -
270 GOLDFINE Ian J. 1% 7% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
271 KIM Ian 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
272 LEONE III Charles D. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
272 PARK Nicholas 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
274 WATT Darren 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
275 ELZAYN Hadi S. 6% 28% 40% 20% 4% - -
276 YAO Shun 13% 34% 33% 16% 3% - -
277 GLAZ Nicholas S. 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
278 HIGGINS Branford 8% 26% 33% 23% 9% 2% -
278 WANG Clayton 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
278 LEE Chun Po 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
281 HE Zhiheng 27% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
282 XIAO Andrew 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
283 MICKELSON Jacob P. 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
284 DESTEFANO Julius 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
284 CROSSMAN Brandon 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
284 EVERS Gabriel 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
287 TIERNEY Luke 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
288 FANG Hanning 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
289 LEE JiYuen 69% 27% 3% - - - -
290 DIVERIS Joseph 52% 36% 10% 2% - - -
291 WALTHER Bryan M. 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.